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Raúl Duarte González

@rduartegonzalez.bsky.social

Postdoc at Yale @yaleeconomics.bsky.social - prev. Ph.D. in Political Economy & Government @gsas.harvard.edu & @harvardkennedy.bsky.social | political economy + development + public finance. From 🇵🇾 raulduarte.org

19 Posts454 Follower761 Folgt
Ethan Mollick@emollick.bsky.social · 12h ago

"so this is fun, and exactly what i wanted, but now lets try one that actually is educational" This is actually pretty impressive. It kept the constraint of multiple genres but did a nice job explaining recursion, in its programming meaning, in an interesting and accessible way.

Ethan Mollick@emollick.bsky.social · yesterday

How do you explain recursion? This one is pretty fun. I had Claude Opus 5.5 make: "A video explaining recursion, where every explanation about recursion has a radically different video style, make this self-referential & clever & fast moving." All code, no images. Nine genre shifts, one prompt...

Peter Sagal@petersagal.bsky.social · last mo.

In his speech yesterday, Canada PM Mark Carney seemed to try to explain to the President what a “trade deficit” is. You’re not just giving another country 100s of millions of dollars… You’re buying things from them! That you want!

Another prominent justification for U.S. tariffs has been their claim that, since the United States runs a trade deficit with Canada, we were "ripping them off" But the United States' narrow merchandise trade deficit only exists because the U.S. buys so much of its energy from us. Canada fuels American growth: supplying 99% of their natural gas imports, 85% of electricity imports, and 60% of crude oil imports. I don't think they want us to stop sending it. And the comprehensive U.S.-Canada trade balance, which includes the many services - from finance to entertainment - that we buy from the U.S. shows a persistent American trade surplus. Most fundamentally, trade is about building mutual strength - creating a relationship that benefits both countries. For example, Canada is the largest customer for U.S. cars - in fact, we buy more American-built cars than the United Kingdom, Japan, and China combined.
AEA Journals@aeajournals.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Forthcoming in the AER: "Fighting for Growth: Labor Scarcity and Technological Progress During the British Industrial Revolution" by Hans-Joachim Voth, Bruno Caprettini, and Alex Trew.

Fighting for Growth: Labor Scarcity and Technological Progress During the British Industrial Revolution

(Forthcoming Article) - We establish a link between labor scarcity and the adoption of labor-saving technology in industrializing England. During the Napoleonic Wars, more than 10 percent of the male population served in the armed forces. Where recruitment was heavy, more machines economizing on labor were adopted. Naval recruitment, instrumented by warships’ coastal access, provides exogenous variation in labor scarcity and suggests that the link between labor shortages and adoption is causal. Where mechanical skills were abundant, the impact of labor scarcity on adoption appears to be larger.

aeaweb.org

NBER@nber.org · 2mo ago

Data from 380 trillion tokens of AI consumption across more than 400 models (2 percent of global AI consumption) shows detailed effects of AI on firms, markets, and workers, from Nicola Borri, Aleh Tsyvinski, and Yukun Liu www.nber.org/papers/w35451

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Katie Drummond@katie-drummond.bsky.social · 4mo ago

How interesting that Meta called @wired.com "dishonest" and then (quietly) removed the face-recognition system it had previously (also quietly) integrated into an app downloaded onto 50 million phones. Dishonest!

Meta Deletes Face-Recognition System From Its Smart Glasses App After WIRED Report

The code WIRED identified is gone from the latest version of Meta AI, the companion app for the company’s smart glasses. Meta won’t say why or whether it’s coming back.

wired.com

NBER@nber.org · 4mo ago

New evidence on Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act: tariff hikes cut targeted imports sharply, with costs borne mainly by US importers, reducing welfare by about 0.2 percent of GDP, from Kris James Mitchener and Mathieu Pedemonte www.nber.org/papers/w35249

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Raúl Duarte González@rduartegonzalez.bsky.social · 6mo ago

After a long job market spanning multiple disciplines, I am glad to share I will join @fiu.bsky.social as an AP of Economics in 2027, after a postdoc at the Cowles Foundation at Yale @yaleeconomics.bsky.social s.bsky.social with their new Political Economy program! cowles.yale.edu/political-ec...

Political Economy

Political Economy is a growing and interdisciplinary field at Yale, bridging the Departments of Economics and Political Science. Faculty include leading scholars who study the intersection of economic...

cowles.yale.edu

Raúl Duarte González@rduartegonzalez.bsky.social · 8mo ago

New IGC blog post w/ my advisor Anders Jensen: how AI can reshape tax administration by detecting evasion, targeting audits, and improving taxpayer services. Where does AI add real value, and where does it fall short? www.theigc.org/blogs/intell...

Intelligent taxation and AI: Promises and pitfalls

Artificial intelligence is reshaping tax administration, from audit targeting to taxpayer services—yet real gains depend on data, governance, and implementation

theigc.org