Courts can undermine democracy even when fully independent. IQSS affiliate Andrew O’Donohue finds vulnerability factors include partisan power-sharing, political establishment strength, and public mobilization. www.iq.harvard.edu/news/2026/10... #Democracy #Government #Harvard

Why Courts Sometimes Undermine Democracy | The Institute for Quantitative Social Science

IQSS affiliate Andrew O'Donohue set out to understand why democracies are in danger. The answer led him somewhere he didn’t expect — the courts.

iq.harvard.edu

IQSS alumnus Andrew O'Donohue set out to understand why democracies are in danger. The answer led him somewhere he didn’t expect: the courts. www.iq.harvard.edu/news/2026/10... #JusticeSystem #Democracy #Harvard #Government #PoliticalResearch #Turkey

Why Courts Sometimes Undermine Democracy | The Institute for Quantitative Social Science

IQSS affiliate Andrew O'Donohue set out to understand why democracies are in danger. The answer led him somewhere he didn’t expect — the courts.

iq.harvard.edu

🔊New research paper from @caltechlcssp.bsky.social's Co-Director @rmichaelalvarez.bsky.social, @caltech.edu & Research Affiliate @debanks.bsky.social, @iqss.bsky.social! 🗳️A must read if you're interested in contemporary electoral dynamics! frontiersin.org/journals/pol... #Elections #Midterms2026

Frontiers | Partisan preferences remain stable as decisive voters remain persuadable: evidence from five years of political turmoil

IntroductionIn the post-COVID era, the United States has experienced a dizzying array of political shocks, including the events surrounding 6 January, the Su...

frontiersin.org

R. Michael Alvarez@rmichaelalvarez.bsky.social · 2w ago

New Research Alert! @debanks.bsky.social and I have been studying the dynamics of US elections for a few years. Here's our latest on persuadable voters, give it a read - timely as we are only two weeks out of Election Day here in the US! www.frontiersin.org/journals/pol...

Friday at 1pm: New R user? A two-hour workshop from the Center for Geographic Analysis ( @cga-harvard.bsky.social) introduces spatial analysis in R — proximity, overlay, and geostatistical operations. Registration required. gis.harvard.edu/event/gettin... #RStats #GIS

Thursday at 3pm: Dan Mattingly (@mattingly.bsky.social) asks whether pro-CCP messaging in Chinese AI models persuades global audiences, presenting “AI Slopaganda and Its Limits” at the Alesina Seminar. www.iq.harvard.edu/event/dan-ma... #PoliticalEconomy #AI

After eight years leading the Harvard Radcliffe Institute, IQSS affiliate Tomiko Brown-Nagin reflects on her time at Harvard as she prepares to leave for Stanford’s Graduate School of Education.

Parting words from a scholar who stepped up — Harvard Gazette

Tomiko Brown-Nagin reflects on her work as Radcliffe dean and as leader of high-stakes University initiatives.

news.harvard.edu

AI article reviews now beat human peer reviews at their best. A new paper by IQSS director Gary King and director of Data Science Services Steven Worthington asks what that should mean for journals. gking.harvard.edu/peerless/ #PeerReview #AI #OpenScience

AI Article Reviews Dominate Human Peer Reviews at Their Best: Evidence and Policy Choices | Gary King

We show that AI-generated article reviews are now better, by every measure we could construct, than reviews written by well-compensated human experts and judged to be of unusually high quality by journal...

gking.harvard.edu

Wednesday at 12 noon: Abhinandan Dalal presents “Partial Identification of Causal Effects for Endogenous Continuous Treatments” at this week’s #AppliedStatistics Workshop. www.iq.harvard.edu/event/abhina... #CausalInference #Statistics

Dataverse 6.12 is now available, with new API capabilities, performance and security improvements, and a range of bug fixes. github.com/IQSS/dataver... #Dataverse #ResearchData #OpenData #OpenScience

Release v6.12 · IQSS/dataverse

Dataverse 6.12 Please note: We are investigating an issue (#12724) where we suspect that new installations on PostgreSQL 16 will fail but it works fine on PostgreSQL 17. (Upgrading an existing Data...

github.com

How will the November midterms shake out? IQSS director Gary King, IQSS research associate Danny Ebanks, and @caltech.edu professor @jnkatz.bsky.social built an interactive forecast for US House and Senate seats on the ballot. gking.harvard.edu/electit/ #Elections #AmericanPolitics #Forecasting

ElectIt: forecasts for all US House and Senate seats in the 11/3/2026 election

By Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King. We make these forecasts (including all data, methods, and procedures) public because academics learn by making themselves vulnerable to being proven wrong.

gking.harvard.edu

IQSS affiliate Michael Brenner on the role of universities in the age of AI. news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor... #AI #HigherEducation

‘I don’t know if this is going to turn out well.’ — Harvard Gazette

With a split-screen view of a turbulent tech revolution, Michael Brenner makes a case for the value of human guidance

news.harvard.edu

Thursday at 3pm: Andrea Galeotti (London Business School) asks why small groups produce more cross-group ties, presenting “Small-Group Interactions Reduce Homophily by Muting Directed Search” at the Alesina Seminar. www.iq.harvard.edu/event/andrea... #Networks

New 2026 US House & Senate election forecasts, using available political science knowledge & our methods from “If a Statistical Model Predicts That Common Events Should Occur Only Once in 10,000 Elections, Maybe It’s the Wrong Model” with @DannyCEbanks and @Jonathan_N_Katz. GaryKing.org/electit

ElectIt: forecasts for all US House and Senate seats in the 11/3/2026 election

By Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King. We make these forecasts (including all data, methods, and procedures) public because academics learn by making themselves vulnerable to being proven w...

garyking.org

IQSS affiliate Mina Cikara joins a panel on intergroup cooperation — why groups that could fight sometimes cooperate instead, in people, zebras, even ants. current.fas.harvard.edu/stories/expl... #Psychology

Exploring why different groups of people, zebras, and even ants make nice

Cooperation can make us stronger, building alliances and increasing the availability of resources. A recent symposium hosted by the Human Evolutionary Biology Initiative brought together researchers to...

current.fas.harvard.edu

OpenDP Library v0.16.0 is now available, with new functionality, expanded documentation and smoother onboarding for new contributors. github.com/opendp/opend... #DifferentialPrivacy #OpenSource #ResearchData

Release OpenDP 0.16.0 · opendp/opendp

CHANGELOG

github.com

Leading political scientists and political methodologists Danny Ebanks, @jnkatz.bsky.social, & Gary King are out with their forecasts for the midterms. They currently forecast that Democrats have a 91% chance of taking the House and a 65% chance of taking the Senate.

ElectIt: forecasts for all US House and Senate seats in the 11/3/2026 election

By Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King. We make these forecasts (including all data, methods, and procedures) public because academics learn by making themselves vulnerable to being proven w...

gking.harvard.edu

I don’t do election forecasts in my own work but it’s really good for all of us that political scientists like Danny Ebanks, @jnkatz.bsky.social, @garyking.bsky.social, @peterenns.bsky.social, & others are doing them.

Beautiful forecasting page from Gary King and company. gking.harvard.edu/electit/#our...

ElectIt: forecasts for all US House and Senate seats in the 11/3/2026 election

By Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King. We make these forecasts (including all data, methods, and procedures) public because academics learn by making themselves vulnerable to being proven w...

gking.harvard.edu

See the latest #2026elections forecast for the US House and Senate in an interactive page published by IQSS director Gary King's team. GaryKing.org/electit #USSenate #USHouse #Elections #DataScience #PoliticalScience

ElectIt: forecasts for all US House and Senate seats in the 11/3/2026 election

By Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King. We make these forecasts (including all data, methods, and procedures) public because academics learn by making themselves vulnerable to being proven w...

garyking.org

Support for single-payer health care is rising. The budget is the obstacle. IQSS affiliate David Cutler (@davidmcutler.bsky.social) examines what Medicare for All would require, writing in @JAMA.com Health Forum. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam... #HealthPolicy

What does holding a grudge cost you? Tyler VanderWeele, faculty director of the Human Flourishing Program at IQSS, tells @cbsnews.com how forgiveness has measurable benefits. www.cbsnews.com/video/lettin... #Flourishing #SocialScience #Psychology

Letting go: Why holding onto grudges can be damaging

Studies have shown that people who hold grudges have greater levels of cardiovascular trouble, and higher levels of depression and anxiety. But according to one survey, four out of five adults harbor...

cbsnews.com

Why hasn’t AI triggered mass layoffs? IQSS affiliate Raffaella Sadun ( @raffasadun.bsky.social) weighs in on why adopting AI has not yet meant the job losses many predicted. news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor... #AI #FutureOfWork #Harvard

Why AI hasn’t triggered mass layoffs — yet — Harvard Gazette

Artificial intelligence can do some jobs already, but experts say CEOs have good reasons to keep humans on the payroll.

news.harvard.edu

IQSS affiliate Benjamin Schneer ( @benschneer.bsky.social) finds voters respond to the individual candidate, not the name above them on the ballot. www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty-rese... #Elections #SocialScience

Does the top of the ticket influence down-ballot races?

Research indicates that top-of-the-ticket candidates may not influence how voters view down-ballot candidates as much as conventional wisdom suggests.

hks.harvard.edu

Thursday at 3pm: Adam Berinsky ( @adamberinsky.bsky.social) asks whether LLMs can shift voter attitudes, presenting “Persuasion through the use of human–artificial intelligence dialogues” at this week’s Alesina Seminar. www.iq.harvard.edu/event/adam-b... #AI #Elections #Harvard #MIT

Friday and Saturday: @cga-harvard.bsky.social turns 20, marking the anniversary with two days of keynotes, panels, and workshops on where spatial research goes next. gis.harvard.edu/2026-cga-con... #GIS #GeographicAnalysis #SpatialData

IQSS affiliate Mahzarin Banaji finds LLMs amplify human biases rather than mitigate them. A recent experiment saw an LLM advise girls to pursue stereotypical careers and to ask for lower salaries than what it advised boys. news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor... #AI #ImplicitBias #MachineLearning #Harvard

One effort to safeguard humanity: AI “constitutions” — Harvard Gazette

Berkman Klein Center heard calls to keep models “honest, helpful, harmless.” It’s a work in progress.

news.harvard.edu

Wednesday at 12 noon: Aleksandra Conevska presents “Electoral Accountability and Industrial Change: Regulator Selection and Alternative Energy Growth” at the #AppliedStatistics Workshop. appliedstatsworkshopgov3009.hsites.harvard.edu/event/aleksa... #Harvard #Elections #Energy

Aleksandra Conevska (Harvard) | Applied Statistics Workshop Gov 3009

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appliedstatsworkshopgov3009.hsites.harvard.edu

Join the next webinar on supporting Journal data sharing in a Dataverse-supported repository! support.dataverse.harvard.edu/event/gettin... Note: Harvard Dataverse Repository support is exclusively for the research data associated with publications (not for publications). See you in October!

Thursday at 3pm: Stephen Chaudoin looks at international law, accusations, and trustworthy sources, presenting "Persuasion and Backlash from International Law in Global Swing States" at this week's Alesina Seminar. www.iq.harvard.edu/event/stephe... #politicaleconomy #International Relations #ICC

Stephen Chaudoin (Alesina Seminar) | The Institute for Quantitative Social Science

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iq.harvard.edu

Wednesday at 12pm: the #AppliedStats Workshop continues with Greg Lanzalotto ( @upenn.edu ), presenting "Estimating Unreported and Unobservable Uses of Force Using Police Body-Worn Camera Data. appliedstatsworkshopgov3009.hsites.harvard.edu/event/greg-l...