No more pretending that Trump is not a Russian ally. If you read only one thing about Ukraine this week, it should be this one.

Phillips OBrien@phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 2d ago

Free weekend out. The big story is that Donald Trump is now free to be what he always was--strong supporter of Vladimir Putin and an agent pushing for Russian victory. He no longer has to pretend he cares at all about Ukrainian dead or Russian War crimes. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-up...

Every night, thousands of Kyiv residents head down to the metro to protect themselves from Russian attacks. Many of them have probably gotten used to this. But it would be a shame if WE got used to this. ukraineinsights.substack.com/p/war-crimes...

We will care for our neighbors & enforce our laws, not commit pogroms Every day, POTUS proves his unfitness to more Americans His grip on power weakens and his desperation grows

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 5d ago

Trump tries to start a race war: "The once Great State of Minnesota is being taken over by Somali Immigrants ... The Somalians should not be allowed to get away with what they are doing. They view you as weak and stupid people. Fight back Minnesota, fight back!"

Every night, thousands of Kyiv residents head down to the metro to protect themselves from Russian attacks. Many of them have probably gotten used to this. But it would be a shame if WE got used to this. ukraineinsights.substack.com/p/war-crimes...

First they came for our two-way fixed effects. Now they're coming for time fixed effects! #EconSky www.nber.org/papers/w35807

"But in the case of basic replication requirements, other disciplines seem to be purposefully making themselves less trustworthy, relevant, and self correcting."

Jason Fletcher@jasonmfletcher.bsky.social · 2w ago

Top economics research jumps over a low hurdle jasonmfletcher.substack.com/p/top-econom...

First sentence says it all. From @thestudyofwar.bsky.social

Europe must say to China that it will stop all trades with China if untill China stop helping Putin to kill Europeans. No more money to those who kill us. We must sanction the genocider enablers

Tatyana Deryugina@tderyugina.bsky.social · 3w ago

In my latest policy brief for @econ4ua.bsky.social, Oleksandr Shepotylo and I look at the role of China in propping up Russia's war against #Ukraine. We also discuss what Europe should do to stop it. econ4ua.org/wp-content/u...

In my latest policy brief for @econ4ua.bsky.social, Oleksandr Shepotylo and I look at the role of China in propping up Russia's war against #Ukraine. We also discuss what Europe should do to stop it. econ4ua.org/wp-content/u...

Why go to the trouble of holding a sham election? Because media headlines will still refer to it as an "election". #Russia

In my latest policy brief for @econ4ua.bsky.social, Oleksandr Shepotylo and I look at the role of China in propping up Russia's war against #Ukraine. We also discuss what Europe should do to stop it. econ4ua.org/wp-content/u...

#EconSky: it’s once again time for our call for papers/proposals for the annual NBER conference+publication combo on Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy (EEPE). Submit here by October 20th, 2026. More details below. And please spread the word! conference.nber.org/confsubmit/b...

Submission: NBER Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy Conference, Page 1 of 2 - MyNBER

conference.nber.org

#EconConf

Tatyana Deryugina@tderyugina.bsky.social · 4w ago

#EconSky: it’s once again time for our call for papers/proposals for the annual NBER conference+publication combo on Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy (EEPE). Submit here by October 20th, 2026. More details below. And please spread the word! conference.nber.org/confsubmit/b...

#EconSky: it’s once again time for our call for papers/proposals for the annual NBER conference+publication combo on Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy (EEPE). Submit here by October 20th, 2026. More details below. And please spread the word! conference.nber.org/confsubmit/b...

Submission: NBER Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy Conference, Page 1 of 2 - MyNBER

conference.nber.org

Economists for #Ukraine is planning a series of free public policy forums on Ukraine-related issues. If you're interested, please fill out this form. And please spread the word! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Economists for Ukraine Policy Forums

docs.google.com

My coauthors and I have released a new report on how the Medicaid provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act could affect Illinois’ budget and Medicaid coverage. Here are our main findings: igpa.uillinois.edu/wp-content/u...

Economists for #Ukraine is planning a series of free public policy forums on Ukraine-related issues. If you're interested, please fill out this form. And please spread the word! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Economists for Ukraine Policy Forums

docs.google.com

With Russia ramping up its hybrid war, Europe must accept that deterrence is not alarmism, preparedness is not provocation, and strength is often the precondition for peace, write @tderyugina.bsky.social, @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social, and @ilonasolohub.bsky.social. bit.ly/3Tdb01H

Will Europe Be as Unprepared as Ukraine Was?

Tatyana Deryugina, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Ilona Sologoub say that the main challenge is not merely to spend more, but to change entrenched habits of mind.

bit.ly

New piece with @tderyugina.bsky.social and @ilonasolohub.bsky.social The main message is: Europe in 2025 is #Ukraine in 2014. Not investing in defense, thinking the war is local, letting RUS information space, believing that someone else will protect, trying to make a deal with Putin Big mistakes

Will Europe Be as Unprepared as Ukraine Was?

Tatyana Deryugina, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Ilona Sologoub say that the main challenge is not merely to spend more, but to change entrenched habits of mind.

project-syndicate.org

Forthcoming in the AER: "The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival" by Julian Reif and Tatyana Deryugina.

The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival

(Forthcoming Article) - Many environmental hazards have long-run health effects, but quasi-experimental studies typically measure outcomes and treatment over short time periods. We develop a new framework for quantifying the effect of air pollution exposure on life expectancy. Using daily changes in wind direction as an instrument for air pollution, we first charac- terize the dynamic mortality effects of short-run exposure. We then incorporate these estimates into a demographic model to quantify the lifelong effects of a permanent re- duction in air pollution exposure. Ninety percent of the survival benefits accrue after the first fifty years of life.

aeaweb.org

US bombed a wedding celebration in Iran, killing at least four, wounding dozens of others, reports now widely confirm. Town near Hormuz, wedding near a communications tower, no reason to think US targeted the wedding itself. But that’s why the choice to launch each round of bombing is so serious.

Apparently, this is how MAGA stays so strong: holding people hostage. 🙃

"Russia's Allies Are More Helpful Than Ukraine's" This might sound like an exaggeration, but it's not. Europe has been quite cowardly in standing up to Russia, and the US is looking more like a Russia ally. @phillipspobrien.bsky.social elaborates. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-up...

Weekend Update #198: Russia's Allies Are More Helpful Than Ukraine's

Actually, The USA Is Quite A Good Ally For Russia; Ukraine Is Slowly But Steadily Liberating Territory.

phillipspobrien.substack.com

The US "is now fighting this war simply because it has no idea what else to do, and does not have the courage to admit that it has failed." phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/midweek-up...

Midweek Update #24: The USA Is Not A Serious Country

In Strategy And Planning The USA Is A Self-Destructive Mess: Here Is A Short-Term Way To Stop The Bleeding

phillipspobrien.substack.com

Me trying to keep up with Claude's output

Lucy and Ethel in the Chocolate Factory

ALT: Lucy and Ethel in the Chocolate Factory

static.klipy.com

#EconSky: Do you find yourself arguing over the true state of the US economy? Do you wish you had easy access to a bunch of basic stats on hand? And maybe some indication of where the economy is headed? Check out usbarometer.com

US Economy Barometer: Jobs, Prices, Wages & Debt in Simple Graphs

Forecasts of US inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and wages, plus simple graphs of jobs, prices, housing, pay, and consumer sentiment — updated monthly from official sources.

usbarometer.com

#EconSky: Do you find yourself arguing over the true state of the US economy? Do you wish you had easy access to a bunch of basic stats on hand? And maybe some indication of where the economy is headed? Check out usbarometer.com

US Economy Barometer: Jobs, Prices, Wages & Debt in Simple Graphs

Forecasts of US inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and wages, plus simple graphs of jobs, prices, housing, pay, and consumer sentiment — updated monthly from official sources.

usbarometer.com

Writing a paper introduction is more art than science, but a good formula gets you most of the way there. Today's blog post: a paragraph-by-paragraph template that is used pretty commonly, plus the mistakes I see most often. 🧵 #EconSky deryugina.com/a-two-for-on...

Tens of thousands of Kyiv residents routinely spend the night sleeping inside metro stations to hide from Russian bombs. With their kids, their pets, without their comfortable beds. Last night, over 56,000 people spent the night this way. www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...