Vitor Possebom
@vitorpossebom.bsky.social
Assistant Professor at Sao Paulo Schools of Economics (FGV). Ph.D. 2022 at Yale. Passionate about Econometrics, especially Causal Inference. (He/his) https://sites.google.com/site/vitorapossebom/
I’m looking for podcast recommendations! Maybe something based on history, like Revolutions: open.spotify.com/show/05lvdf9T7… Or maybe something about economic policy? Like Americas Quarterly (open.spotify.com/show/5PCntXM9L ), but about the economy?
It is great seeing a new WP out in the wild! 👇👇👇
Vitor Possebom@vitorpossebom.bsky.social · 3y ago🚨New Working Paper🚨 Was Javert right to be suspicious? Unpacking treatment effect heterogeneity of alternative sentences on time-to-recidivism in Brazil by Acerenza (scholar.google.com/citations?user…), Possebom and Sant’Anna (@pedrosantanna.bsky.social) Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2311.13969
📉📈#Econsky, some of you may be interested in my new working paper about MTE with Duration Outcomes. @pedrosantanna.bsky.social and Santi are amazing co-authors.
Vitor Possebom@vitorpossebom.bsky.social · 3y ago🚨New Working Paper🚨 Was Javert right to be suspicious? Unpacking treatment effect heterogeneity of alternative sentences on time-to-recidivism in Brazil by Acerenza (scholar.google.com/citations?user…), Possebom and Sant’Anna (@pedrosantanna.bsky.social) Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2311.13969
🚨New Working Paper🚨 Was Javert right to be suspicious? Unpacking treatment effect heterogeneity of alternative sentences on time-to-recidivism in Brazil by Acerenza (scholar.google.com/citations?user…), Possebom and Sant’Anna (@pedrosantanna.bsky.social) Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2311.13969
🚨 Call for Papers —Conference on the economics of migration in Latin America, Mar. 14–15 in Washington —Featuring top researchers @sandrarozo.bsky.social @dmckenzie.bsky.social @claireadida.bsky.social et al., run by HUMANS network of LACEA —With a keynote by me —Submissions due 🔜 December 15
Sometimes, I think that journals do not know that many of its readers have eyesight problems... Elsevier's font size is so small and its line spacing is miniscule.
QT with 10 of your favorite novels Ubirajara by Alencar Vidas Secas by Ramos Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix Assassin’s Apprentice by Hobb The Final Empire by Sanderson Percy Jackson and The Lightening Thief by Riordan I tried to focus on the novels that marked my life in some way.
Following my theme of comparing academic and fictional writing, are there any similarities between economic papers and world building in fantasy? Are theory papers hard world building (LoTR)? Are empirical work more like soft world building (Narnia)? What about Econometrics?
Vitor Possebom@vitorpossebom.bsky.social · 3y agoOne of my pastimes is to watch videos about writing fiction. Many things that work when writing fiction also work when writing academic papers! I think this video on editing is quite useful: youtu.be/WLAmilJx3Us?.... E.g., accept that your manuscript will evolve a lot over time!
Probable Causation is an amazing podcast and this interview with Allison Stashko is awesome: open.spotify.com/episode/0rfq... They discuss the effect of newly elected prosecutors and police killings in the US. It is based on this paper: drive.google.com/file/d/1LwnA....
#EconSky 📉📈 Advances in Econometrics is putting together an issue on "Econometrics of Climate, Energy, and Green Transition" edited by Eric Hillebrand, Marina Friedrich, & @smueconomics.bsky.social's Tom Fomby. Paper submissions due Nov 30! Info at: tinyurl.com/py9n677y
If you're studying outcomes whose distributions resemble those in this picture then this new NBER working paper may be of interest. www.nber.org/papers/w31814
One of my pastimes is to watch videos about writing fiction. Many things that work when writing fiction also work when writing academic papers! I think this video on editing is quite useful: youtu.be/WLAmilJx3Us?.... E.g., accept that your manuscript will evolve a lot over time!
🙌 Our paper on "Natural Experiments: Missed Opportunities for Causal Inference in Psychology" just got accepted in Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science (AMPPS). Thanks to @mp-grosz.bsky.social, @dingdingpeng.the100.ci & a great coauthor team. Pre-print: osf.io/preprints/ps...
Richard Blundell inaugurated Tilburg U's new Koopmans seminar series with a brilliant talk on wage paths, human capital formation, and labor market inequality, against the broad background of the IFS Deaton Review of inequality ifs.org.uk/inequality/ www.tilburguniversity.edu/current/news...
Econometrics Thread (#EconSky): "The Effect of Conviction and Incarceration on Recidivism" Today, I want to talk about two recent working papers: - Kamat, Norris and Pecenco (2023): bit.ly/3QjqdbX - Humphries, Ouss, Stavreva, Stevenson and van Dijk (2023): bit.ly/3Mrrdtp +
Over the last year consumer prices rose 3.9% on average. Individual workers experienced an average 6.8% increase in hourly wage. Half experienced wage increases of 5.2% or greater. 25% of workers saw their wages fall by 0.3% or worse. 25% saw their wages rise by 15.9% or more.
Portuguese uses the same word for gym and academia. But what I discovered to love about going to the gym is the exact opposite of academic life. At the gym, reward is immediate. You finish your series and you are happy that you completed a task. But academic life is all about delayed gratification.
New #openaccess article in the Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics: "Foetal Exposure to Air Pollution and Students' Cognitive Performance: Evidence from Agricultural Fires in Brazil" (by Juliana Carneiro, Matthew A. Cole & Eric Strobl) doi.org/10.1111/obes...
So what iPad app is everyone using to read and scribble on pdfs for refereeing? #EconSky
I’m thinking about getting a tablet to read or annotate papers. If I can attach some sort of keyboard to work in a plane, it is even better. Do you have any recommendations?
Hi #EconSky, does anyone have suggestions on any reference I should look at regarding the use of the newly introduced wildboostrap command in Stata 18? I would like to understand in particular if I could/should use it as an alternative to boottest. Thank you!
Paris School of Economics is hiring this year, open field: econjobmarket.org/positions/9954 Here's a thread for Americans who might be interested in coming to Europe about the things I wish I knew last year. TLDR: you should apply…even though EU salaries are waaay lower than the US...
Yet another great and concise summary of the recent advances in econometric methods: This time about the synthetic control method (SCM), by @vitorpossebom.bsky.social #EconSky
Vitor Possebom@vitorpossebom.bsky.social · 3y agoEconometric Thread (#EconSky): Today, I will briefly discuss a few recent papers expanding the synthetic control method (SCM). I will talk about three WPss: Abadie + L'Hour (2019), Grossi, Lattarulo, Mariani, Mattei + Oner (2020); Cao + Dowd (2019) and Cattaneo, Feng, Palomba +Titiunik (2023).
Econometric Thread (#EconSky): Today, I will briefly discuss a few recent papers expanding the synthetic control method (SCM). I will talk about three WPss: Abadie + L'Hour (2019), Grossi, Lattarulo, Mariani, Mattei + Oner (2020); Cao + Dowd (2019) and Cattaneo, Feng, Palomba +Titiunik (2023).
Sometimes, academic life has its perks. Visiting the Federal University of Paraíba (sigaa.ufpb.br/sigaa/public...) was a wonderful experience. Their students and faculty are doing super cool research on relevant topics for Brazilian policy makers.
There are many interesting papers in this thread.
Ingo E. Isphording@ingoisphording.bsky.social · 3y agoIn about an hour, we start the IZA/ECONtribute Workshop on the Economics of Education in Bonn. In this thread, I will try to cover all presented papers. Program and zoom link 👇 conference.iza.org/conference_f...
We conclude the first session with Alexander Smith (West Point): Universal preschool programs may generate very heterogeneous effects on later adult earnings depending on the counterfactual care settings they replace.
In about an hour, we start the IZA/ECONtribute Workshop on the Economics of Education in Bonn. In this thread, I will try to cover all presented papers. Program and zoom link 👇 conference.iza.org/conference_f...
I asked Bing’s Dall-E to illustrate my paper in a steam punk style! Any thoughts on the results?
Vitor Possebom@vitorpossebom.bsky.social · 3y ago🚨Publication Alert🚨 "Crime and Mismeasured Punishment: Marginal Treatment Effect with Misclassification" by Vitor Possebom (2023, doi.org/10.1162/rest...) I am so happy that my JMP was accepted at the REStat! I am thankful to so many people who helped me through this journey.
