Joeri Rogelj

@joerirogelj.bsky.social

prof. climate science & policy | Imperial College London | 1.5C/net zero/carbon budget/pathways/justice | IPCC & UNEP lead author | ESABCC member | father

"On a hotter planet, there will be more heatwaves, and they will become more intense" It's remarkable how straightforward a message can at times still be informative.

Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial@ic-cep.bsky.social · 4w ago

The drying of France’s Loire River and intensifying European heatwaves are stark reminders of a warming world. As Professor @joerirogelj.bsky.social explains: “On a hotter planet, there will be more heatwaves, and they will become more intense.”

The drying of France’s Loire River and intensifying European heatwaves are stark reminders of a warming world. As Professor @joerirogelj.bsky.social explains: “On a hotter planet, there will be more heatwaves, and they will become more intense.”

France's heatwave 'desert': River is reduced to sandbank

As Europe experienced its most severe ever recorded heatwave in June, drought conditions worsen in France as images show a completely barren Loire River in Montjean-sur-Loire.

dailymail.com

Professor @joerirogelj.bsky.social and Dr @robinlamboll.bsky.social have contributed to the latest Indicators of Global Climate Change (IGCC) assessment, showing human-induced warming reached 1.37°C in 2025. At current emissions trends, 1.5°C could be exceeded within around four years.

Earth's climate continues to warm as heat accumulation reaches record levels

Researchers from Imperial College London have contributed to a major international climate assessment showing that the Earth is accumulating heat at...

imperial.ac.uk

I just resigned from NASA. It breaks my heart to leave, but I’ve become convinced the best path forward is to do the best science I can, and that can’t be here anymore. I’m still in love with the promise of those four magic letters. Ad astra per aspera, and remember: Earth is the only good planet.

A commentary in @nature.com argues the 1.5°C temperature limit has “outlived its usefulness” because we’re headed towards overshoot and should be replaced by a “clean-energy shift” metric. That’s the wrong diagnosis. Here is why. www.nature.com/articles/d41...

As we breach 1.5 °C, we must replace temperature limits with clean-energy targets

Actionable goals are needed to guide the world towards what needs to happen most quickly: shifting economies to clean energy sources.

nature.com

Today, ESM2025 officially comes to an end! Since 2021, our European consortium has been building a new generation of Earth System Models to support mitigation & adaptation strategies aligned with the Paris Agreement. Watch these clips of our final video to see how far we've come! 🧵👇 #ESM2025isOver

In 2009, the Maldives’ underwater cabinet meeting showed the world the reality of rising seas. 🌊 As Professor @joerirogelj.bsky.social notes, it helped put the 1.5°C target “front and centre.” 16 years on, its message is more urgent than ever.

'This is going to be much bigger than we thought': The legacy of a famous underwater photoshoot

The photo shaped the world's perception of the existential threat climate change poses to low-lying island nations.

bbc.co.uk

COP30: Study reveals “highest possible ambition” for countries' climate pledges With COP30 kicking off on Monday, a new paper by Julia Schönfeld and Professor Joeri Rogelj provides a framework for assessing countries’ climate pledges 🧵 Learn more: ow.ly/CiB050XnMK2

COP30: Study reveals “highest possible ambition” for countries' climate pledges | Imperial News | Imperial College London

A new study, for the first time, shows how the ‘highest possible ambition’ of countries' climate pledges can be assessed.

ow.ly

Stories abound these days showing that global warming exceeding 1.5C is now part of science's best estimate. What does that mean for the #ParisAgreement 1.5C goal? A good time to revive a thread about a piece we wrote earlier this year on this topic in @science.org 👇🌍🌡️

Joeri Rogelj@joerirogelj.bsky.social · last yr.

What becomes of the 1.5°C goal now that global warming is approaching that level?🌍🔥🌡️ In a new @science.org Policy Forum we explain how the 1.5°C goal remains a critical legal & ethical benchmark, even as the world nears and may soon exceed 1.5°C of global warming🧵1/ www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Two years ago, the @esabcc.bsky.social published its advice on the EU's 2040 emissions reduction target. We indicated a 90-95% reduction relative 1990 levels. Today, EU climate ministers agreed on a 90% target, with an 66.25-72.5% reduction as part for its new NDC for 2035.

European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change@esabcc.bsky.social · 9mo ago

Today, EU climate ministers agreed on a 90% net reduction in GHG emissions by 2040. The Council also updated the NDC with an indicative 66.25–72.5% reduction by 2035 The @esabcc.bsky.social contributed to this process by providing independent scientific advice on the 2040 climate target.

Today is the official launch of this year's @unep.org #EmissionsGap report. It's title says it all OFF TARGET that's true for progress, NDCs and implementation

UN Environment Programme@unep.org · 9mo ago

New national climate plans have barely moved the needle on limiting global warming. Yet there is hope. According to UNEP's latest #EmissionsGap Report, accelerated adoption of renewable energy and falling costs mean we have the tools to cut emissions now: www.unep.org/news-and-sto...

Illustration of a dart missing the bullseye on a colorful target, symbolizing global temperature goals at risk due to inaction.