1/8 🧵 New paper with @isabellatingley.bsky.social, now out open access in the @bjpols.bsky.social “The Legacy of Mexico’s Drug War on Youth Political Attitudes” Our paper examines how growing up amid criminal violence and militarized security shapes political attitudes later in life.
Thomas Zeitzoff
@zeitzoff.bsky.social
Professor @au-spa.bsky.social Pol Violence | Pol Psychology New Book: “NO OPTION BUT SABOTAGE” Substack: https://zeitzoff.substack.com 1st Book: "Nasty Politics" Website: www.zeitzoff.com
Got great feedback at @belfercenter.bsky.social yesterday for a new project on how people think about the political future. 2 highlights from the survey data:* 1) Ds, Rs, & independents are all worried about AI 2) Strong support for reining in Big Tech/AI *Forthright/Bovitz, N=1,405, Aug-Sep 2026
This is the season I picked to introduce my son to Tottenham 🫠
Why are Americans more skeptical of AI than those in other countries? I don't think there's a uniquely Americans strain of technophobia. My sense is that many Americans have a rational fear/loathing of the people (CEOs) who will benefit $$ in an AI future.
Fascinating piece from @garciaponce.bsky.social on how Mexican criminal organizations operate and even govern alongside the state. goodauthority.org/news/how-mex...
How Mexico’s cartels rule alongside government institutions
Research in Michoacán shows how criminal groups survive leadership turnovers, expand into new markets, and retain power.
goodauthority.org
1. This is the platonic ideal of a Union goal. While the results have changed under Richter, the game model has not. 2. Just holy shit, Cavan Sullivan. Running out of superlatives.
Where does democracy in the U.S. and around the world currently stand? New from @adamprz.bsky.social, one to the smartest thinkers on the subject. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/11/o...
Opinion | Are Our Expectations Too High for Democracy? Adam Przeworski Thinks So. (Gift Article)
What is democracy, and is it in crisis?
nytimes.com
I loved my PhD methods training at NYU (a lot of causal inference + design). But I do find myself teaching myself and reading a lot up on measurement (it's a fascinating topic).
Princeton Niehaus Center (@niehauscenter.bsky.social) now accepting applications for 2027–28 postdoctoral fellowships: niehaus.princeton.edu/fellowships Deadline: Thursday, October 15, 2026
Apply for our Fellowships
Apply NowThe Niehaus Center for Globalization and Governance (NCGG) at Princeton University's School of Public and International Affairs invites applications for postdoctoral research associates from ...
niehaus.princeton.edu
I tried to make some sense of how we can think about Trump's increasingly chaotic and erratic foreign policy and what it means for those of us who study leader psychology. zeitzoff.substack.com/p/its-a-mad-...
It’s a Mad World: Trump, Rationality, and IR Theories
Trump doesn’t break our IR theories—he just shows our measurement problems
zeitzoff.substack.com
I’ve got a new post. Trump's erratic foreign policy chaos doesn't break our models of leader behavior. It just shows us where we need better measurement.* zeitzoff.substack.com/p/its-a-mad-...
It’s a Mad World: Trump, Rationality, and IR Theories
Trump doesn’t break our IR theories—he just shows our measurement problems
zeitzoff.substack.com
Many folks are replying to lament the loss of the paper. I agree we shouldn't give up on it! Google Docs version history + Pangram + submissions of multiple iterations of the paper + giving an exam on the paper is quite effective - see this syllabus, for example bpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com/sites.dartmo...
Friends don't let friends give assignments that are AI-cheatable
Interested in the public’s skepticism towards new technology like AI? @janzilinsky.bsky.social and I’ve got a paper for you. We built a scale and found that worries about social media, AI, and modernity form a coherent anti-tech disposition. Conditionally accepted at @ajpseditor.bsky.social
In possibly the fastest shift in public opinion I've ever seen, local data center approval went from -5 to -65 in less than a year heatmap.news/daily/data-c...
People are conflating the success of left-leaning, progressive candidates with a broader leftward shift among Democratic voters. My read is that it’s driven more by deep anger among Democratic voters who think party leaders haven’t used the power they have to fight Trump II aggressively enough.
I wrote this because most journalists facing this pressure can’t. The paper we count on to check authoritarianism spiked an investigation into the Democratic Party because the party’s lawyers threatened to sue. Holding authoritarians accountable starts with holding your own side accountable.
With Fear and Favor
Institutions don’t have courage. They have incentives.
data4democracy.substack.com
while this post is about launch systems on aircraft carriers, it basically applies to almost all of Trump's policies. reversion to some previous era based on the most bizarre, deliberate misreading of available facts and evidence
Maybe there’s a kickback in here somewhere, but based on his public remarks, we’re going to spend billions reverting to a worse, older system because Trump has some weird irrational aversion to magnets. Which he apparently thinks don’t work if they get wet?
Very cool article by @rossandersen.bsky.social on the new archaeological and DNA evidence changing our understanding of human history. www.theatlantic.com/science/2026...
The Human-Origin Story Is Being Radically Revised
New secrets from our past have been coming out in droves.
theatlantic.com
This is a great day for public health. “In a move that seemed out of reach just six months ago, the Food and Drug Administration approved Moderna’s influenza vaccine for older adults on Wednesday, the first licensed flu shot made using messenger RNA technology.” @jackiantonovich.bsky.social
FDA approves Moderna’s mRNA flu vaccine, the first to use the technology
The FDA has approved Moderna’s influenza vaccine, the first licensed flu shot made using messenger RNA technology.
statnews.com
His #1 near-term recommendation: convene committee leaders and use the DNC's authority to draft a fundraising code of conduct for candidates and committees. Not in the DNC release.
For a congressman to violently assault his ex-spouse is not a private/family matter.
GOP Rep. Jim Jordan on alleged spouse and child abuser Max Miller: “This is a family matter. I know Max is a good man. I hope he wins re-election.” www.nytimes.com/2026/08/02/u...
Somehow missed this one. Seems like a pretty relevant and well-done paper!
Excited to share my new paper w/ @janzilinsky.bsky.social that's conditionally accepted at @ajpseditor.bsky.social 🎉 Is there a general "anti-technology" orientation among Americans? We built a scale and found that worries about social media, AI, and modernity do form a coherent disposition.
This may have been one of the most statistically one-sided World Cup finals in history, particularly in terms of shot production: Spain outshot Argentina 22–3, while Argentina failed to register a single shot on target over 120 minutes.
Political scientists do not have a good account of where political issues come from. Why does tangling with the medical system make us think of universal healthcare, while wildfire smoke registers as just a thing to get through? What forges the links between our daily experiences & 'politics?'
how is every politician not out there talking about the smoke and their plans to reduce emissions
Democrats have stopped talking about climate. Strategists say that's smart—but they're wrong. Making climate a top priority wins votes, and barely 1 in 10 voters will vote against climate action. Read all about it in my newsletter, "Notes from the Electric Era." electricnotes.news/p/yes-democr...
Yes, Democrats Should Talk About Climate.
Talking about Climate Change is a Political Winner.
electricnotes.news
800+ wildfires in Canada. Wildfire smoke is choking large parts of the U.S. and Canada right now. In my book I ask whether the increasing negative effects of climate change like this will be a tipping point that mobilizes people. www.bbc.com/news/article...
More than 800 Canadian wildfires burning as air quality alerts extend to US
The air quality in large parts of Michigan, Minneapolis and Minnesota is deemed "hazardous" by authorities.
bbc.com
This is a misleading argument, based as it is on a single case — the canonical case — of a partisan military leader, and the system worked to remove him. The historical reality is that in the last 100 years, MacArthur is the only real case.
While Americans often indulge in nostalgia about a military that has remained above the fray of party politics, the historical reality is quite different.