Ben Zipperer

@benzipperer.org

Economist at @epi.org https://www.epi.org/people/ben-zipperer/

Very useful suggestions for economists verifying that AI-generated code correctly implements the design, so we can focus on the harder, less-automatable question: does the design actually identify the effect being claimed?

Arin Dube@arindube.bsky.social · 2d ago

Maybe not a popular post for here, but this is my assessment. In economics research, there are some easy ways to get a decent amount of verification of accuracy for AI generated code or algebra. 1/

Research on immigration flows can point to complex, heterogeneous effects. But in research on increased immigration _enforcement_, negative social consequences are pretty much the rule. Arrests, detentions, and deportations make everyone worse off.

Jake Grumbach@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 3d ago

This paper shows that immigration enforcement can _increase_ crime. Undocumented immigrants already have the lowest crime rate, but tough-on-immigration policy makes immigrants less likely to report crime. So immigration enforcement worsens the problem it was ostensibly meant to solve

Community Engagement and Public Safety: Evidence from
Crime Enforcement Targeting Immigrantst
By FELIPE GONÇALVES, ELISA JÁCOME, AND EMILY WEISBURST*
We study the role of victim reporting in the production of public safety.
We examine the Secure Communities program, a crime-reduction policy that involved police in detecting unauthorized immigrants and increased deportation fears in immigrant communities. We find that the policy reduced the likelihood that Hispanic victims report crimes to police and increased offending against Hispanics. The number of reported crimes is unchanged, masking these opposing effects. We show that reduced reporting drives the offending increase and provide the first elasticity of offending to victim reporting in the liter-ature, calculating that a 10 percent decline in reporting increases offending by 7.9 percent. (JEL J15, K37, K42)

This paper shows that immigration enforcement can _increase_ crime. Undocumented immigrants already have the lowest crime rate, but tough-on-immigration policy makes immigrants less likely to report crime. So immigration enforcement worsens the problem it was ostensibly meant to solve

Community Engagement and Public Safety: Evidence from
Crime Enforcement Targeting Immigrantst
By FELIPE GONÇALVES, ELISA JÁCOME, AND EMILY WEISBURST*
We study the role of victim reporting in the production of public safety.
We examine the Secure Communities program, a crime-reduction policy that involved police in detecting unauthorized immigrants and increased deportation fears in immigrant communities. We find that the policy reduced the likelihood that Hispanic victims report crimes to police and increased offending against Hispanics. The number of reported crimes is unchanged, masking these opposing effects. We show that reduced reporting drives the offending increase and provide the first elasticity of offending to victim reporting in the liter-ature, calculating that a 10 percent decline in reporting increases offending by 7.9 percent. (JEL J15, K37, K42)

Research on immigration flows can point to complex, heterogeneous effects. But in research on increased immigration _enforcement_, negative social consequences are pretty much the rule. Arrests, detentions, and deportations make everyone worse off.

Jake Grumbach@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 3d ago

This paper shows that immigration enforcement can _increase_ crime. Undocumented immigrants already have the lowest crime rate, but tough-on-immigration policy makes immigrants less likely to report crime. So immigration enforcement worsens the problem it was ostensibly meant to solve

Community Engagement and Public Safety: Evidence from
Crime Enforcement Targeting Immigrantst
By FELIPE GONÇALVES, ELISA JÁCOME, AND EMILY WEISBURST*
We study the role of victim reporting in the production of public safety.
We examine the Secure Communities program, a crime-reduction policy that involved police in detecting unauthorized immigrants and increased deportation fears in immigrant communities. We find that the policy reduced the likelihood that Hispanic victims report crimes to police and increased offending against Hispanics. The number of reported crimes is unchanged, masking these opposing effects. We show that reduced reporting drives the offending increase and provide the first elasticity of offending to victim reporting in the liter-ature, calculating that a 10 percent decline in reporting increases offending by 7.9 percent. (JEL J15, K37, K42)

The evidence from the US, where over more than a decade some states have raised the minimum wage while others have not, is clear. - Statutory MW hikes are effective in raising the wages of the low paid. - No substantial job losses. - Adjustment via higher productivity, prices &/or lower profits

Arin Dube@arindube.bsky.social · 2mo ago

We've been running an unprecedented natural experiment running for a decade and half. 30 states have raised their minimum wages. 20 have not. What happened to pay? What happened to jobs? The good news is that it's pretty easy to figure out now. substack.com/home/post/p-...

Worker productivity is up 92% while hourly pay is up just 34%. And Fox News thinks young people can’t afford things because they’re lazy? I don't think so. It's time to unrig our broken economy.

New @epi.org data through 2026 Q1: workers are nearly twice as productive as they were in 1979, but their pay hasn't come close to keeping up. That divergence, redistributed to profits and executives, has cost a full-time median-wage worker over $23,000 a year

line graph titled "The gap between productivity and a typical worker’s compensation has increased dramatically since 1979; Productivity growth and hourly compensation growth, 1948–2026"

US AI investment inched up to another record high in data released this morning, exceeding a $450B/yr pace for the first time It's now the largest single category of US physical investment, more than single-family homes, factories, power plants, and more

a graph of US AI construction compared to other investment categories

Post #1: What would the U.S. look like if we tripled union membership? Our new report shows it could mean: 👉 Higher wages 👉 A stronger democracy 👉 Better educational opportunities States with a higher share of union workers invest more in public schools.

Unions are key to high-quality public education

Our recent report asks a bold question: What would the United States look like if we tripled union membership? We find a range of economic and social benefits—such as higher wages, greater access to h...

epi.org