Nate Phillips

@nphillips36.bsky.social

Clinical Psych PhD student at the University of Georgia. Incoming clinical intern at the Charleston Consortium/MUSC. Interested in personality, externalizing psychopathology, open science, and methods.

This statement by UEFA on FIFA attempting to sell off the World Cup gave me goosebumps, what a statement - the beautiful game deserves no less “As so long as Europe has a voice, it will never be for sale.”

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New meta by @peterhaehner.bsky.social et al (I'm a little middle author) on individual differences in personality change across the lifespan (229 studies, N = 230k) 10.1037/bul0000525 Cool finding (imo): For all Big Five, variance in change is greatest in youth, declining through young adulthood!

Individual differences in change for each of the Big Five across ages 0 to 80. The trend for each trait is that individual differences in change are decreasing with age.

Super proud to be a part of this Registered Report, led by the stellar @nphillips36.bsky.social. It’s got it all - cool/interesting/important research question, alignment w/open science principles, clinical relevance, comprehensive sensitivity analyses, and so on. Give it a read!

Nate Phillips@nphillips36.bsky.social · 3w ago

Very excited to share this registered report now in press at Clinical Psych Science! In this paper, we put a common clinical intuition in group-based treatment to the test: Are patients’ outcomes associated with the personality composition of their treatment cohort?

Very excited to share this registered report now in press at Clinical Psych Science! In this paper, we put a common clinical intuition in group-based treatment to the test: Are patients’ outcomes associated with the personality composition of their treatment cohort?

PsyArXivBot@psyarxivbot.bsky.social · 4w ago

Cohort Personality Composition’s Prediction of Treatment Outcomes in a Military Intensive Outpatient Program: A Registered Report: https://osf.io/xgr8w

Awesome to see this out! We argue that the main implication of Kerber et al. (2026) is that self-reported personality functioning and depression are practically fungible Also, big shoutout to Kerber and co. for making their data publicly available and being friendly/helpful throughout the process!

Josh Miller@jdmiller.bsky.social · last mo.

Excited to share a new commentary set to be published in J. of Psychopathology and Clinical Science. Co-authored with @vizecolin.bsky.social (shared 1st), @nphillips36.bsky.social, and @drlynam.bsky.social. osf.io/preprints/ps...

Wonderful commentary about open science culture change situating the responsibility in ourselves to change the system, not wait for some imagined entity to come change it for us.

Don Lynam@drlynam.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Excited to share this one: Open Science Now: A Response to Commentaries on Van Til et al. (with @kaelavantil.bsky.social, @nphillips36.bsky.social, Tinawei (Vera) Du, Leigha Rose, @jdmiller.bsky) osf.io/preprints/ps... See below for the TLDR version 1/8

Lot's of folks cheering this paper's implications, as if it shows all's well in how we do science and can return to business as usual. IT DOES NOT SAY THAT! But by the paper's own logic, if we can't establish a crisis (using binary replication rates), we also can't say there isn't a crisis. 1/3

Berna Devezer@devezer.bsky.social · 3mo ago

📣 The difference between replicable and not replicable is not itself scientifically replicable. 📣 New work with Erkan Buzbas, showing that verdicts such as "X% of results replicated" are based on an inferential machinery that doesn't work. arxiv.org/abs/2604.26268

Screenshot of a paper's title page. Title: "The Difference Between 'Replicable' and 'Not replicable' is not Itself Scientifically Replicable". Authors: Berna Devezer and Erkan O. Buzbas, both at the University of Idaho — Devezer in the Department of Business and the Institute for Modeling Collaboration and Innovation, Buzbas in the Department of Mathematics and Statistical Science. Authors contributed equally. Corresponding author: bdevezer@uidaho.edu.
Abstract: Replication studies estimate the replicability rate of scientific results by aggregating binary verdicts of experiments. Exact replications are rarely attainable, so most replication sequences are non-exact. Experiments differ in ways that matter and do not share a single common data-generating process. We formalize two statistical interpretations of this non-exactness. In a shared latent rate model (benchmark), experiments are exchangeable and depend on a common random replicability rate. In a conditionally independent rates model (operational), each experiment has its own replicability rate drawn independently from a population distribution. Under the shared latent rate model, even small variability among replicability rates induces an irreducible variance floor on the estimated mean replicability rate that cannot be eliminated by adding more replications. Under the conditionally independent rates model, the degree of non-exactness is not identifiable from standard replication data, because one binary verdict per experiment contains no information about between-experiment heterogeneity. Researchers therefore cannot tell which precision regime they are operating in or whether high- and low-replicability sequences can be distinguished in principle. As a result, the usual data structure of one binary verdict per experiment cannot support reliable demarcation between "replicable" and "not replicable" results and systematically understates uncertainty, making high- and low-replicability sequences appear discrim…

The Max Planck Society has begun an exploratory round table for open science. We are drafting some recommendations to leadership. Still a long way to go! But here are my notes on the most recent draft, just so you all know how I am trying to steer things.

Richard McElreath: It must not be overlooked that junior researchers DO NOT TRUST US. We, the directors, are a big part of the problem. We made this system, we remake it every year, and we benefit from it. What can we do to credibly signal our commitment to reform a corrupt research culture? My conversations with junior scientists in the society has taught me that directors are too often either indifferent or hostile to science reform. We cannot hope to convince our prize winning colleagues. Their egos are immune. But we can replace retirements with researchers who care more about integrity than their own prestige. This is important both for earning the trust of the junior researchers who really do the research in the MPG and for attracting excellent future directors and starting to earn the trust of the public. So I suggest two strong signals to our junior researchers (and the public): (1) we will reform recruitment and promotion at all levels to eliminate proxies like citation counts and journal brands in favor of reliability and sustainability; (2) we will make open science skills a core part of scientific training, through the graduate schools at a minimum, as conditions for the central funding. The most ambitious thing we could do, as hinted at in item 5 above, is to meaningfully invest in metascientific research. As the largest basic research organization in the world, the MPG is uniquely suited to studying research and its products from a broad perspective that includes the humanities, the sciences, and policy. Governments are already involved in science reform. Someone should study it in an organized and sustained way.