Second dissertation chapter just dropped at Ecology Letters! doi.org/10.1111/ele.70441 Across theory, stochastic models, and protist microcosms, we show how rising temporal autocorrelation drives predictable increases in extinction risk under warming (ft. coauthor @mtkummel.bsky.social!)

Temporal Autocorrelation Increases Temperature‐Driven Extinction Risk by Clustering Stressful Conditions

Extinction risk forecasting typically relies on comparing thermal tolerance data to predicted shifts in thermal distributions. However, changing temporal sequencing of temperatures may exacerbate the....

doi.org

I am recruiting a PhD student interested in the disease ecology of cavity nesting birds to start Fall 2027! Interested applicants can contact me by filling out the linked form. I will also be at ESA 2026 and am happy to meet! More info on my website: sauerlab.com Please share!

I'm joining Rutgers DEENR in a tenure-track faculty position this fall! I'll be recruiting a quantitative postdoc in climate change wildlife ecology (start fall 26 or jan 27) and PhD student doing bioacoustics to study avian responses to extreme weather (start fall 27). More- www.gcmelab.com/join-us

We have a new perspective piece out about incorporating extreme heat in ecological research - academic.oup.com/icb/advance-...

Extreme Heat as the New Normal: A Methodological Roadmap Incorporating Behavior, Physiology, and Species Distributions

Abstract. A defining feature of climate change is the increasing frequency, intensity, and severity of extreme weather events. Among them, extreme heat is

academic.oup.com

🚨Now out! For 98 hummingbird species, we jointly model presence-only GBIF data + presence-absence ebird data, leveraging both simultaneously to arrive at more accurate predictions for under-surveyed species. And got the cover! Led by Jussi Mäkinen 🧪🌐 onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

Model‐Based Data Integration Improves Species Distribution Models for Data‐Deficient and Narrow‐Ranged Hummingbird Species

Aim For species with narrow ranges or low population sizes, a deficiency of species occurrence records can limit the capacity to build accurate species distribution models (SDMs). Model-based integr...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Exciting to be a part of this!

Diego Ellis Soto@diegoellissoto.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Thrilled to share our new preprint: “Extreme Heat as the New Normal” 🌡️🔥 We introduce a roadmap + code for identifying and mapping extreme heat 📏 and linking it to ecology: 🧭 Species distribution models 🐦 🌿 Biophysical models & microclimates 🦎 📉 Population dynamics 👥 doi.org/10.64898/202... 🧵 ⬇️

Thrilled to share our new paper out in @science.org, led by François Leroy and Petr Keil! Using the Breeding Bird Survey, we document not only a continent-wide decline in bird abundance since the 1980s — but, crucially, the acceleration of these declines over time. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Acceleration hotspots of North American birds’ decline are associated with agriculture

Human activities might have accelerated declines of population abundance, but this acceleration remains underexplored. Using 1033 North American Breeding Bird Survey routes, we analyze abundance chang...

science.org

Leading a organized session at #WBF2026 on climate change and biodiversity! Titled "Linking anthropogenic climate change to shifting biodiversity patterns". If submitting an abstract, you can send it directly to the session (under NEX track)! worldbiodiversityforum.org

🚨Now out in @pnas.org! Our group provides a framework to mathematically link environmental niches from individual to population and species scales. Our approach enables more accurate forecasting of biodiversity change across organismal levels. 🧪 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Nature Ecology & Evolution highlights our paper about bird niches keeping pace with climate change in a news & views feature: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

NEW SCIENCE! 🚨🚨🚨🧪🪶🌐 Our paper is now online at @natecoevo.nature.com! “Geographic redistributions are insufficient to mitigate exposure to climate change in North American birds”. We know birds are moving north with climate change, but what are the consequences? www.nature.com/articles/s41...

A high lipid diet leads to worse infectious disease outcomes. Interesting implications for wildlife food supplementation. Always exciting to have a new manuscript out! Congrats @ashley-love.bsky.social @sauerscientist.bsky.social @jexpbiol.Bsky.social journals.biologists.com/jeb/article/...

A high-lipid diet leads to greater pathology and lower tolerance during infection

Summary: Canaries fed a diet high in lipids show more severe disease outcomes than those fed a high-protein diet, with important implications for human and wildlife disease transmission.

journals.biologists.com

To understand how climate change affects natural ecosystems we need to know how warming influences species interactions. In our newest paper we show that predator-prey interactions fundamentally change across latitude leading to context dependent effects of warming. 🧪 doi.org/10.1111/oik....

The #climate/water paradox: As temperatures rise, more #water evaporates into the atmosphere & more precipitation occurs. But land areas are getting drier not wetter. Why? Because more water evaporates from soils. The rain that falls is in intense events in fewer regions, leading to worse #floods 👉

Just had an idea

‼️📝 New paper! 1st undergrad honor thesis from the lab! Hannah Owen looked at thousands of #spottedlanternfly @inaturalist.bsky.social images to study spatio-temporal & phenology patterns of the invasion, and to understand the role of #urban environments in their spread www.nyu.edu/about/news-p...

Spotted Lanternflies in the US Are Living Longer—and Cities May be Helping Them Spread

NYU researchers find longer life cycles and urban connection for the invasive insects, which could spell trouble for local ecosystems, but also point to cities as “early-detection zones” for controlli...

nyu.edu

Saw/heard 104 bird species in Florida over Thanksgiving... crossing 100 was a goal I slowly become obsessed with, made tougher with all the best spots being closed due to hurricane. Here's a prairie warbler ebird.org/tripreport/2... 🪶 #birds

Wait, do I want cool science to drown out all of the politics?! Yes. Yes, I do. 🧪

Meghie Rodrigues@meghier.bsky.social · 2y ago

Thank you so much to whoever put this very comprehensive list of #science Bsky starter packs together. This is just amazing: docs.google.com/document/d/1...

Recently discovered a fun webpage called Probability Playground where you can interactively explore probability distributions. It’s helpful especially for distributions with parameters that are not immediately intuitive. Very cool! www.acsu.buffalo.edu/~adamcunn/pr...

🚨 NOW ONLINE- global ecol & biogeog As global change accelerates, accurate predictions are critical to limit biodiversity loss. With many continental predictions at coarse grain, it's unclear how grain-size biases vary across space/time, giving poor predictions for some regions, seasons, species 🧪

Fine‐Grain Predictions Are Key to Accurately Represent Continental‐Scale Biodiversity Patterns

Aim As global change accelerates, accurate predictions of species distributions and biodiversity patterns are critical to limit biodiversity loss. Numerous studies have found that coarse-grain speci...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Hello Bluesky, it's my first post, here's some Little Auks ! 🙂 #birding #northumberland #beadnell

American woodcock appreciation- hanging out by the side of a back road in central Connecticut in May #birds 🪶

Literally the best bird

Paul Wallace@paulmwall.bsky.social · 2y ago

The day I learned what a prothonotary warbler sounds like #birds

Incredible job by my colleagues at Map of Life! advancing tech in biodiversity monitoring

‘Map of Life’ team wins $2 million prize for innovative rainforest tracking

The Yale-based team, Map of Life Rapid Assessments, will use its prize money to expand its biodiversity work around the world.

news.yale.edu

Temperatures in October 2024: Red 🟥 - warmer than average Blue 🟦 - colder than average Data from NOAAGlobalTemp v6.0.0 using their own 1971-2000 baseline: www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/lan...

100s of millions of sparrows and other birds died. In the absence of birds, insects flourished; crops vanished; and as many as 75 million people starved to death. How does that disaster echo in what is happening today, even in the US? Read on: therevelator.org/china-sparro.... #birds

Six Lessons From the World’s Deadliest Environmental Disaster • The Revelator

China’s Great Sparrow Campaign aimed to “conquer nature” but resulted in as many as 75 million human deaths.

therevelator.org

[Recapping research since I left Xitter: June '24] We explored how dynamic winter min temps influence short-distance migration & survival in white-tailed deer using decades of archival telemetry data 🧪 My first pub as a formal grad mentor- of an awesome MS student at UW-Madison shorturl.at/eUc7B

#birds of southern California earlier this year 🪶 roadrunner, avocet, threatened California gnatcatcher, endangered California condor

well, here it is lads after combing through some 1,400 records, it looks like the slender-billed curlew is indeed extinct and the last known photo taken in 1995 was probably at the point it slipped beneath the waves 🦉🧪 www.nhm.ac.uk/discover/new...

The slender-billed curlew is declared extinct

This is the first mainland European bird declared extinct in 500 years.

nhm.ac.uk

I recently wrote up this research highlight of the nest parasite community science program run by @sarahknutie.bsky.social

Journal of Animal Ecology@animalecology.bsky.social · 2y ago

New Research Highlight: citizen science observations shed light on how anthropogenic food sources influence wildlife disease - https://buff.ly/48C9ucE 🦠 🧪 🌏