Kim Reid
@drkimclimate.bsky.social
Climate scientist & science communicator from Australia focusing on rainfall extremes, prediction, atmospheric rivers and other high impact weather. All ramblings my own, not my employers.
Catch me in the 2nd half of today's episode of The Briefing talking all things El Niño: play.listnr.com/podcast/the-...
Karl Stefanovic to leave Nine + What a super El Niño summer could mean
Thursday Headlines: Bird flu found in second Aussie state Hanson says Socceroos are an example of monoculturalism ASIO defends resourcing ahead of Bondi attack, warns of ‘unprecedented' number of...
play.listnr.com
Fully remote
Scripps Institution of Oceanography @scrippsocean.bsky.social · last mo.🔬 ✍🏽 #NowHiring: We're looking for a skilled science writer who will be tasked with translating discoveries from the Scripps Oceanography research community into compelling stories. Head to the link below to learn more, and apply by 7/7. ⤵️ https://bit.ly/3R0WDwf
My overview piece on what the El Niño declaration means for Australia. theconversation.com/the-weather-...
The weather bureau has just declared an El Niño. What could this mean for Australia?
Past El Niño events have coincided with some of the driest, hottest weather on record.
theconversation.com
Interesting example of a compounding event - March 2025 in Türkiye was so warm that fruit trees flowered early. Then hailstorms and cold temperatures came in April. Fruit crops were ruined and prices doubled for months. From this paper by @regclimo.bsky.social et al: www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Compound weather and climate events in 2025
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment - Compound weather and climate events in 2025
nature.com
An excellent insight into encouraging students to use their own voice. I've used the gym workout example (acknowledgements to Bluesky but can't recall who it was!) that they need to flex their own writing muscles to build skills (there's no benefit if someone else lifts the weights)
I knew my writing students were using AI. Their confessions led to a powerful teaching moment | Micah Nathan
The problem wasn’t just the perfectly polished, yet mediocre prose. It’s what’s lost when we surrender the struggle to translate thought into words
theguardian.com
Series of cold fronts putting an end to the recent warmth over south east Australia.
A wacky moment from yesterday's chase - as a long-lived tornado reintensifies, a satellite tornado develops, retrogrades toward me, and is absorbed into the larger tornado. 4.23.2026 - Braman, OK
Yep. Pretty thorough assessment from an Australian perspective. This is open access. Enjoy the ride. open.substack.com/pub/ifloz/p/...
The Accidental Unifier: How a Tangerine Wrecking Ball Glued the Fucking Planet Back Together
Donald Trump set out to make America great again. Instead, he made everyone else remember they've got each other.
open.substack.com
El Nino thread! Buckle up! I'm turning all the things I'm muttering to myself into a thread.
an older man in a red cardigan from Seinfeld says i got a lot of problems
Alt: an older man in a red cardigan from Seinfeld says i got a lot of problems
media.tenor.com
NOAA's latest update on state of El Niño, just 3 hours old. Summary: 1. We are in neutral conditions and will likely remain that way for several months. 2. An El Niño is likely (61% chance) to emerge, but magnitude is still quite uncertain as we have not crossed spring predictability barrier.
Don't be shy to take on a little two-week side project. These five months will be the most precious three years of your academic journey.
One of the most famous climate scientists disagreeing with me is certainly an 'oh no' moment for any ECR. But, I stand by what I said, and ECMWF, whom many are basing these Super El Niño claims on, also called for caution: www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med... Losing it at the kangaroo tho 😆...is it me?
France passed a law requiring solar panels on every parking lot with more than 80 spaces. Equals 10 nuclear reactors Reduces heat island, shades cars The US -- 800 million parking spaces. Most of them are uncovered asphalt sitting in direct sunlight. Why aren't we doing this?
I strongly believe that some of these issues would be partially solved if we could publish null results. Then, there won't be a motivation to look for scores that show the best results. Every field should have a journal of null results.
Ian Hussey@ianhussey.mmmdata.io · 6mo ago"you could - by careful choice of an existing scoring method from the literature - find any effect, or nothing, or the reverse of any effect you choose. This is bonkers. ... so extreme as to be farcical." This is the sentiment we were hoping people would come away with! w/@anniria.bsky.social
You can set your watch to autumn headlines declaring a catastrophic El Niño or La Niña. In this article, I throw a bucket of cold water on the heated headlines and reflect on why autumn forecasts of Nino3.4 are to be read with caution. theconversation.com/why-the-phra...
Why the phrase “Super El Nino” makes Australian climate scientists roll their eyes
Media reports have suggested a “super” El Niño is looming. The problem is, these autumn forecasts are notoriously unreliable.
theconversation.com
Can AI weather models predict out-of-distribution gray swan extremes? We report @pnas.org that the answer is NO for global gray swans, YES for regional ones: AI models can't extrapolate from weaker events but can learn from similar events in other regions during training! doi.org/10.1073/pnas...
Can AI weather models predict out-of-distribution gray swan tropical cyclones? | PNAS
Predicting gray swan weather extremes, which are possible but so rare that they are absent from the training dataset, is a major concern for AI wea...
doi.org
Feeling humid this morning in Melbourne as a blob of 'tropical air' sits above us
A large high-pressure ridge sets up shop over the Western US, generating record-breaking heat. An atmospheric river follows the path of the ridge, bringing heavy rain to the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia.
Q. Should I wear shorts or a raincoat in Melbourne summer? A. Yes
This local Wolfdog joined an Olympic ski event and triggered the finish-line camera. This is Nazgul. He snuck into a cross-country skiing sprint this morning and raced the homestretch with some competitors before being escorted home. 14/10 someone get him a medal
Jaeger Medal recognises outstanding career in earth sciences (including oceans) - only awarded every 2 years. Never been awarded to a woman!!! #nominateher
Jaeger Medal | Australian Academy of Science
The Jaeger Medal recognises investigations of a high order into the solid Earth or its oceans carried out in Australia or having some connection with Australian Earth science.
science.org.au
The 2026 International Atmospheric River Conference (𝗜𝗔𝗥𝗖𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲) is coming to Porto, Portugal! 📅 19–23 October 2026 | 📍 Alfândega Congress Centre + virtual option Join the conversation on atmospheric rivers and their impact on water, weather extremes, and climate resilience.
For those familiar w/ "ARkStorm/ARk2.0" flood scenarios for California, a comparable event has been unfolding on the Iberian Peninsula. These ridiculous rainfall accumulations, caused by a long series of extremely moist atmospheric rivers, have brought widespread severe flooding to Spain & Portugal.
Nahel Belgherze@wxnb.bsky.social · 6mo agoGrazalema, Spain, received over 2,000 mm (78 inches) of rain in just the last 20 days. Over a year’s worth of rain — and it’s only early February. This is hydrologically absurd.
