Emmy Probasco

@emmyprobasco.bsky.social

Technology and national security.

OK, counterpoint alert: I've just spent a profitable 20 minutes chatting with GPT-4.5 in Catalan, where it has corrected my errors, explained things and gave me a quiz. It's certainly not "PhD-level" but it was *great*. It's the kind of use case these things are really for.

In 1968, U.S. soldiers massacred hundreds of civilians in My Lai, Vietnam. The killing was interrupted by helicopter pilot Hugh Thompson Jr. If pilots are to be replaced by AI, then we should ask, could AI on a drone do the same in a future war?

Wrote a thing on value-based choices when deploying AI. It's based on a military situation (a sci-fi version of the My Lai massacre) but I can't help but think this is a problem lots of leaders will face in more subtle, and less stressful, ways.

CSET@csetgeorgetown.bsky.social · last yr.

As military AI evolves, ethical dilemmas grow. Should drones merely inform soldiers, coach decisions, or enforce rules of war directly? Read the new piece by Minji Jang & CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, out today in @warontherocks.bsky.social 👇

I'm super excited to see our #CSET report on **AI-enabled military decision support systems** being released today! Great work by @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, and Matthew Burtell!

CSET@csetgeorgetown.bsky.social · last yr.

⭐️New Report⭐️ Using AI to make military decisions? CSET’s @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, Matthew Burtell, and @timrudner.bsky.social analyze the advantages and risks of AI for military decisionmaking. cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...

The future of AI leadership requires thoughtful policy. @CSETGeorgetown just submitted our response to @NSF's RFI on the Development of an Artificial Intelligence Action Plan. Here's what we recommend: 🧵[1/]

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What is the indirect rate for research grants from the private sector? I saw a few pharma companies are around 25%. I also saw a few big tech companies advertising between 0 and 5%. I get that the infrastructure needs may be different depending on the research but 5% and below seems cheap...

Good explanation of how the ways we discuss AI (i.e. "AGI" and vague goals) impede progress towards creating AI that benefits humanity. Reminded me of what I call AI's Inigo Montoya problem: "You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means" Bravo @borhane.bsky.social

Borhane Blili-Hamelin@borhane.bsky.social · last yr.

I’m thrilled to share new work arguing that the research community should stop treating AGI as a North-Star goal! Debates about AGI miss the forest for the trees. 🧵

‼️”there are only so many times that I can say that these systems are amazing, but get things wrong all the time in ways that matter, and so the best uses cases so far are things where the error rate doesn’t matter or where it’s easy to see.”‼️ www.ben-evans.com/benedictevan...

The Deep Research problem — Benedict Evans

OpenAI’s Deep Research is built for me, and I can’t use it. It’s another amazing demo, until it breaks. But it breaks in really interesting ways.

ben-evans.com

Book fact: After a revolt at the silver mines in Joachimsthal in 1525, the mine investors agreed to end the truck system, allowed extra shifts, and pay wages in good, full-silver pennies, minted on site. In return, the miners had to stop getting drunk and exposing themselves in town.