Our new preprint on learning probabilistic filters with strictly proper scoring rules is now out! With Bohan Chen (who did all of the implementation and experiments), Ricardo Baptista, Jochen Bröcker, and Andrew Stuart. I'm really excited about this work. arxiv.org/abs/2606.26497 (1/4)
Eviatar Escolar Bach
@eviatarbach.bsky.social
Lecturer (Asst. Prof.) in meteorology and math. & stats | Data assimilation, climate, ML, applied dynamical systems, predictability, inverse problems, climate politics She/her 🏳️⚧️ https://eviatarbach.com
1/ Cuba is out of fuel, strangled by the US fuel chokehold. People are dying, systems are breaking down. This is collective punishment against a people who have done absolutely nothing except live their lives under hard conditions imposed by the US blockade for decades.
"What has unfolded at Reading is not a neutral response to legal uncertainty. It is a set of choices, taken without consultation, without transparency, and without due regard for the rights and dignity of trans staff and students."
Today @drjogrady.bsky.social wrote to the University of Reading. Trans staff and students are being forced into formal grievances just to find out why policies that affect their daily lives exist. That is not legal compliance. It is institutional opacity. We’re calling on Reading to act.
I was lucky to get to teach Juniper in two of her classes, and had just written her reference letters for the summer. It's hard to express what a loss this has been for our community. I'll always remember coming down the stairs to class and finding her joyfully practicing singing in the stairwell.
Juniper Blessing was majoring in Atmospheric and Climate Science. Although I never knew her, the community of trans people in environmental sciences is small enough that this loss feels personal and the hurt runs deep. #QueerSTEM @queeragu.bsky.social www.advocate.com/news/communi...
The Voting Rights Act is essentially dead and it’s quite possible that we will, like when a similar SCOTUS gutted civil rights at the fall of Reconstruction, see a disappearance of much of the Black congressional representation, especially in the most heavily Black states, which are in the South.
People really memory holed-covid, due to a huge far right propaganda effort. That's why all you hear about is lockdowns, and not: - hospitals out of capacity - Skype calls with family members in quarantine as they died - bodies stored in freezer trailors - mass graves in NYC
The lock down myths are so damn weird. So there were just no open hospitals, factories, grocery stores, etc? Everyone just existed on vibes and tap water?
”No one has to obey an immoral law. I beg you, I order you in the name of God: stop the repression.” — Archbishop Óscar Romero, El Salvador, in appeal to police and National Guard Next day #tdih 1980 Romero was assassinated 💔 by U.S.-backed death squads. ⬇️ 🧵 www.zinnedproject.org/news/tdih/ro...
March 24, 1980: Archbishop Romero Assassinated
Archbishop Óscar Romero of El Salvador was assassinated by U.S.-backed death squads.
zinnedproject.org
Dropsite reports “Black rain” + “nuclear winter” caused by Israeli strikes on oil depots in Tehran - chemicals are producing acidic precipitation that causes skin burns + severe lung damage on contact - the rain is corrosive + could damage structures - heavy metals leaking into soil/water systems
Oh my god: this is *daytime* in Tehran.
The reviews searched over 12,000 references. They screened 547 full-text papers for inclusion. They included 17. That's a 96.9% exclusion rate at full text. 530 studies were relevant enough to survive initial screening, then rejected by the review criteria. 6/10 reviews found 0 included studies.
The reviews used to justify this excluded nearly 97% of all studies from inclusion in their analysis. This is an absolutely obscene hatchet job by the NHS specifically created to eliminate access to hormones for trans youth.
I'm dismayed by rumours govt may scrap the windfall tax on oil and gas giants With energy bills still driving cost of living pressures, it's senseless to cut taxes for highly profitable polluters, who already receive £2.7bn per year in tax breaks www.standard.co.uk/news/politic... 🧵...
Reeves reaffirms commitment to end windfall tax in talks with North Sea bosses
The Chancellor met figures from BP, TotalEnergies and Serica in Downing Street.
standard.co.uk
“The women are all weak, and a distraction sorry.” - Epstein in email about women attending a scientific conference. “…no really smart women – none.” - Epstein in email about women in science. 19thnews.org/2026/02/epst...
The boys’ club: How Epstein’s influence shaped the exclusion of women in STEM
In one email, an AI researcher suggested it’s “hard to be brilliant if you are worrying if you look fat or why another woman hates you.”
19thnews.org
Nothing to see here. Just the US Department of War (sic) threatening #Anthropic to allow it to use its #AI models for military purposes, including unsupervised targeting. #AIEthics #Trumpland www.bbc.com/news/article...
US threatens Anthropic with deadline in dispute on AI safeguards
The AI developer laid out red lines on military use of its products, a source said.
bbc.com
🇨🇺 Feb. 13 | The UN Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) expressed extreme worry over the “deepening socio-economic crisis” in Cuba, highlighting several key issues: ▪️ W/ over 80% of water pumping on the island dependent on electricity, power cuts are undermining access to...
New School Guidance announces: Full bathroom ban. Full PE ban. Full school trip accommodation ban. Trans kids will not go to the bathroom, do PE or go on any school trips. 1/
a heavily armed paramilitary force with legal immunity is occupying a city and going door to door kidnapping non-white adults and children in furtherance of an explicitly white nationalist political project
So, if you ever wondered why people who understand surveillance are salty about video cameras on doorbells... It's only a matter of time before they get co-opted into mass surveillance. And if the regime you live under changes that's you spying on your neighbours.
It was inevitable.
New paper out in JAMES (Jan 2026): “ClimaLand: A Land Surface Model Designed to Enable Data-Driven Parameterizations” (Deck, Braghiere et al.). I’m excited to be a co-lead on this CliMA land-model milestone. doi.org/10.1029/2025...
doi.org
NCAR is quite literally our global mothership. Everyone who works in climate and weather has passed through its doors and benefited from its incredible resources. Dismantling NCAR is like taking a sledgehammer to the keystone holding up our scientific understanding of the planet. Unbelievable.
Trump moves to dismantle major US climate research center in Colorado
The Trump administration is breaking up the National Center for Atmospheric Research, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
usatoday.com
I'm deeply concerned about the wellbeing of prisoners who were involved in Palestine Action protests, and are currently on hunger strike. Some have not eaten for six weeks. A number have been hospitalised. They are all being held on remand - without trial or conviction.
Our new paper, "Learning enhanced ensemble filters", is out in the Journal of Computational Physics! Led by Bohan Chen and co-authored by Edoardo Calvello, Ricardo Baptista, Andrew Stuart, and myself. doi.org/10.1016/j.jc...
Redirecting
doi.org
If I were deliberately trying to cause vulnerable refugees as much distress as possible, this is how I would do it. Constantly shifting the ground underneath them, never allowing them a moment of certainty and stability. This is barbarism.
This is utterly foul. People recognised as refugees will never able to settle and find the long-term security they need to recover, always at risk of being returned if they can’t prove they still *really* deserve to be here. A life lived in permanent limbo. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
UK set to limit refugees to temporary stays
Shabana Mahmood is expected to say the era of permanent protection for refugees is over, in major changes to the UK's asylum and immigration system.
bbc.co.uk
In this new preprint with Jochen Bröcker, we define a generalisation of the signal-to-noise ratio for probabilistic forecasts using proper scoring rules. (1/3) arxiv.org/abs/2510.26809
A generalisation of the signal-to-noise ratio using proper scoring rules
A generalised concept of the signal-to-noise ratio (or equivalently the ratio of predictable components, or RPC) is provided, based on proper scoring rules. This definition is the natural generalisati...
arxiv.org
Solidarity with the Jewish community, especially in Manchester. The murder of two people at worship on the holiest day of the Jewish year is beyond reprehensible.
the UK's new anti-trans rules are indefensible & will make global fascism stronger my latest with @liberalcurrents.com www.liberalcurrents.com/britains-bat...
Britain’s Bathroom Ban
The UK has gone from a bathroom ban being unthinkable to a Labour government implementing one without a vote
liberalcurrents.com
I’ve been frustrated to see so much of the ongoing story about asylum seekers and the protests against them covered without hearing from those seeking asylum and now being met with hostility and hatred I set out to speak to those directly affected to find out about the impact this is having 👇
We escaped war and torture but now we feel unsafe in Britain
Special report: Amid protests and rising aggression towards asylum seekers across the country, we spoke to those being targeted
liverpoolecho.co.uk
As the mother of a young trans person, Alice, who took her life in 2022 aged just 20, and as an ex-NHS doctor, I am struggling to find the words to express my dismay and sadness at this story. Whatever happened to do no harm? 🧵
Deliberately starving people and shooting them when they seek aid is an industrial and systemic approach to mass murder. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
Officials say 85 Palestinians seeking aid are killed in Gaza as Israel widens evacuation orders
Gaza’s Health Ministry says at least 85 Palestinians have been killed while trying to reach food on the deadliest day yet for aid-seekers in over 21 months of war
washingtonpost.com
In #Gaza, people are starving. Families are going without substantial meals for days. Prices have increased by over 4000%. The Israeli Authorities have banned UNRWA from bringing food into Gaza for over 4 months. This is a manmade and politically motivated starvation of a people. Lift the siege.