One of the coolest applications of LLMs in politics I’ve seen, and genuinely useful. Chat bots are the new Google! The peltola page is cool, her slogan alliteration captivates even the models!

Meg@schwenzfeier.bsky.social · 5mo ago

There's a lot of attention on AI right now – regulation, job displacement, capability growth. AI is also increasingly where voters get political information, and we don’t know a lot about what chatbots are telling folks about candidates in the wild. We built a tool to track: caucus-ai.com

There's a lot of attention on AI right now – regulation, job displacement, capability growth. AI is also increasingly where voters get political information, and we don’t know a lot about what chatbots are telling folks about candidates in the wild. We built a tool to track: caucus-ai.com

The FCC has given the gift of incredibly good free PR to the Talarico campaign

Dave Itzkoff@ditzkoff.bsky.social · 6mo ago

Stephen Colbert said that the FCC and CBS - which is in no way a compromised or complicit organization - wouldn’t allow him to broadcast an interview with Democratic State Rep James Talarico. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/17/a...

someone should invent a Gas Town for girls, where you can make the Claudes kiss

The Abundance movement often points to environmental groups as the obstacles to building. But who actually files the lawsuits blocking projects? It’s not environmental groups. It’s been lawyered-up HOAs protecting property values all along. Regulation by litigation is the problem.

Even accounting for the new congressional maps, a swing like Aftyn Behn's (Trump+22 to D-8.6) would net Dems 259 seats in the midterms. Even if the swing is *half* of tonight's, Dems win the House with 229 seats Data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

wild to watch twitter melt people's brains, I say to myself, smugly, scrolling twitter (genuinely is sad to see a bunch of polling analysts get vulgar and petty the minute there's money to be made)

"When electoral gains from moderation have been exhausted—when Democrats are running moderates in every competitive district and still losing—the task isn’t to moderate harder. It’s to give voters reason to believe politics can deliver real change." data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-new-yo...

The New York Times Argues “Moving to the Center Is the Way to Win.” But the Data Shows the Strategy Is Tapped Out.

Democrats already run moderates in nearly every swing district. It's not enough. A data-driven response to the case for centrism as a core electoral strategy.

data4democracy.substack.com

nytimes editorial board dedicating itself to providing some of the dumbest ideas possible: www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/o...

Opinion | America Still Has a Political Center, and It’s the Key to Winning

nytimes.com

"There’s a false choice to say we either talk about how expensive things are under Trump, but we can only talk about that and we can’t talk about these assaults on our freedoms. And for a while that was the common wisdom among pollsters," says @vanhollen.senate.gov. newrepublic.com/article/2013...

Chris Van Hollen Is Angry—at Trump, and at His Party’s Lame Pollsters

Senator Chris Van Hollen explains why he went to El Salvador earlier this year, while the rest of the party tried to downplay immigration issues, and his decision to go to Iowa and flirt with a 2028 p...

newrepublic.com

Wait, Tyler Cowen has been writing about how to find virgins since 2009 while he was a professor at George Mason University

Laura Jedeed@laurajedeed.bsky.social · 10mo ago

I'm sorry: "if I wish to see a virgin on-screen"?

democrats can now reach young men by telling them that trump wants to take away their naruto and their one piece

I wish Ezra had engaged with this idea during their interview, given multiple chances to

Perry Bacon@perrybaconjr.bsky.social · 10mo ago

This was revealing. Worth reading. The basic demand is that Coates spend less time thinking/writing his true feelings and more time playing political strategist. Klein asks him over and over him to do Dem strategy; he says no, over and over. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/28/o...

This is what politics is, so many have forgotten

jamelle@jamellebouie.net · 10mo ago

one way you could describe lincoln's approach is of never getting ahead of the public on its attitudes, but holding an immovable set of principles on where the country ought to be and where he hopes to lead it

The following is a statement from the WGA on ABC’s decision to pull ‘Jimmy Kimmel Live!’

Good morning. Here is my reply to Matt Yglesias' "reply" to my article on moderates. This is a comprehensive accounting of my and other evidence, with some clarifications of findings and my position. I hope you will read and share. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data-over-...

OK here's the blog post. 1) Split Ticket's WAR model is biased in favor of moderates 2) We create our own WAR measure w/ stronger model; correlates w/ @gelliottmorris.com's 3) Correlation ≠ causation. Diff-in-diffs & RDDs show no moderation effects data4democracy.substack.com/p/do-moderat...

Do Moderates Do Better?

Uncovering Bias in Split Ticket’s WAR Scores

data4democracy.substack.com

Jake Grumbach@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 12mo ago

Bonica and I have a paper on candidate WAR models we'll post soon. tl;dr 1) @lakshya.splitticket.org & SplitTicket's WAR is extremely biased 2) @gelliottmorris.com's is not; Bonica-Grumbach WAR is similar 3) Correlation ≠ causation, so WAR should not be used to compare moderates/progressives

was wondering when someone was gonna say this. ideological moderates do not have systematically higher WAR. i have a piece on this coming out tomorrow

The People Mover Who Was Promised@pmwwp.givesky.social · 12mo ago

The four highest WAR dem representatives are Jared Golden, Henry Cuellar, Marcy Kaptur and MGP. 3/4 of these are very conservative for Dems and the fourth Marcy Kaptur has a very strange voting history that apparently works well in Ohio (deragatory). Popularism is mostly true but is hurt by the

bao wow

bakoon@bakoon.bsky.social · last yr.

I genuinely cannot believe how many Democrats are spending their energy on destroying Mamdani when the GOP is trying to turn ICE into a full on secret police by drastically raising their budget

it’s not too late to endorse @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social, final results won’t be in for a while

Some very welcome good news! There's never been a better time to support our worker-led local newsroom! 51st.news/we-received-...

We received our 501c3 Status!

A welcome piece of good news and an important time to support our work

51st.news

anyone doing work on climate geo-engineering risk estimation and management?

i just watched a clip of stephen miller talking to hannity from a few days ago and my god is that guy a stone cold freak. like, everything about him is profoundly off-putting, like a bug in an eggar suit

if your grand approach to politics is bloodless poll-testing so that you're always aligned with wherever public opinion happens to be, you've already lost

This is correct! Here’s why & why it matters: www.bostonglobe.com/2025/05/14/b...

Boston’s economy is among the strongest in the US, rating agencies say, despite looming uncertainties - The Boston Globe

Despite threats both to the value of downtown office towers and to federal research funding that flows through the city, Boston’s economy is among the strongest in the country, two premier credit rati...

bostonglobe.com

Glenn Whidden@glennwhidden.bsky.social · last yr.

Boston has a higher bond rating than the United States. Just saying.

"hi propensity voters" are voters who demonstrate high civic engagement because when they see someone they are disproportionately likely to say hello in this paper I will

It’s really striking how irregular the bands of mostly men conducting federal immigration enforcement are. They seem to have no particular uniform, they wear a variety of different agency initials on their tactical vests, or none at all, they’re inconsistent about displaying a badge…

Michael Derby@michaelsderby.bsky.social · last yr.

I know Great Barrington well and it is extremely hard to imagine any scenario on this earth in this small town that would require cops to roll out like they're going to war.

travelling to the US soon? link: www.wired.com/story/how-to...

I like this a lot! I think it's worth doing is disambiguating between the marginal disengaged voter, likely one more responsive to inflation/economic conditions/immigration and the median/mean disengaged voter. I think we can _much_ more easily observe the marginal voter than we can the median.

G Elliott Morris@gelliottmorris.com · last yr.

New piece: Trump’s approval rating among low-engagement voters has fallen 30 points since Jan, the worst decline for any group. The GOP’s big advantage with hard-to-reach voters has evaporated as economic turmoil & toxic politics turns them away from Trump www.gelliottmorris.com/p/what-do-di...