A key part of Lindsey Graham's legacy: when he called Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/12/u...
James Lambert
@hellofasandwich.bsky.social
Area Man. Meme Specialist. Contributor, @the-downballot.com
Graham Platner finally files withdrawal paperwork. Dems can now officially pick a replacement. x.com/hollyotterbe...
So let me get this right: The GOP messaging of the day, somehow, is both "fuck yeah we killed their navy" and "Iran deserves to be able to defend itself"?
Wow, @mcimaps.bsky.social pointed this out on the other site, but the Republicans did NOT get a candidate in Florida's #HD47, a Trump+3 seat that they currently hold, meaning that the Democrats have automatically FLIPPED IT!
The most offensive thing about Spencer Pratt is that for a few brief moments I was somehow expected to know or care who he is.
This is a devastating interview. Scott Pelley tells the NYT that Bari Weiss directly put a “thumb on the scale” for Trump over the killing of Renee Good. Here’s his explanation of exactly what happened.
New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani has endorsed activist Darializa Avila Chevalier's campaign to defeat Rep. Adriano Espaillat in next month's Democratic primary. #NY13
Gov Jared Polis told a Colorado Sun event that his decision to give clemency to Tina Peters "will be remembered fondly." He was later interrupted by protesters carrying an enormous banner reading EAT SHIT POLIS coloradosun.com/2026/05/19/j...
Jared Polis says his Tina Peters decision
Gov. Jared Polis made the remarks at The Colorado Sun’s annual legislative recap event, only to be drowned out by a small group of protesters
coloradosun.com
Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado (R) will face former federal prosecutor Zach Dembo (D) in general election for open GOP-held #KY06. Trump won it 57-42 in 2023, but Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear carried it 60-40 the previous year. National Democrats have reserved close to $700,000 in fall ad time.
The NYT's maps would hurt Black voters & are de facto GOP gerrymanders. The whole premise is flawed. It’s nonsensical that Dems would 𝘭𝘰𝘴𝘦 a seat with "colorblind" nonpartisan maps—the GOP gerrymandered every state here except for AL & LA. Here's how nonpartisan maps might actually look. [Thread]
Our simulations show that the act isn’t needed for minority representation in the South, if partisan gerrymandering were checked. www.nytimes.com/2026/05/17/u...
this is the closest I've ever come to actually suggesting a "one neat trick" suggestion for anything, but I'm so serious here. the Virginia Constitution gives the legislature the power to set retirement ages for judges "REGARDLESS OF THE TERM TO WHICH ELECTED OR APPOINTED." make it 54 right now.
How Virginia Democrats can overturn the redistricting ruling: Retire the Supreme Court
The state Constitution gives lawmakers complete latitude to set the judicial retirement age. They should use it.
the-downballot.com
Florida Democrat Brian Nathan's victory is now the 30th red-to-blue flip of a legislative seat since Donald Trump returned to the White House. During that span, the GOP has flipped zero seats. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
The second Florida flip of the night! Democrat Brian Nathan, a Navy vet and union leader, just won a GOP-held seat in the state Senate. Our full writeup -->
Oh yeah, in case you haven't bookmarked it yet, our special election Big Board is the original recipe. We've been tracking these races like a hawk for a decade—accept no substitutes! Dems outperforming 2024 presidential results by an average of 13 points.
The Downballot's special elections Big Board for the 2025-26 cycle
docs.google.com
The second Florida flip of the night! Democrat Brian Nathan, a Navy vet and union leader, just won a GOP-held seat in the state Senate. Our full writeup -->
BREAKING: Florida Democrats just picked up a second seat in Tuesday's special elections
Brian Nathan's win is the 30th red-to-blue flip of Trump's second term. The GOP has flipped zero seats in that span.
the-downballot.com
BREAKING: Democrats just flipped the Florida House district that includes Mar-a-Lago. Yes, Donald Trump is going to be represented by a Democrat. Our complete recap -->
Florida Democrats flip Donald Trump's home district in Palm Beach
Emily Gregory will now represent Mar-a-Lago—and Trump himself
the-downballot.com
I thought this segment from Enten was bad use of polling www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-03-22...
CNN's "100% MAGA Trump approval" segment omits key nuance for virality
Plus, voters overwhelmingly oppose putting boots on the ground in Iran. Your weekly political data roundup for March 22, 2026.
gelliottmorris.com
We're delighted to see people pay so much attention to special elections and legislative elections these days! Tracking these races is one of our favorite things to do. It's also a lot of work! We'd be really grateful if folks citing that figure of 28 R→D flips would link back to our tracker:
The Downballot's special elections Big Board for the 2025-26 cycle
docs.google.com
Because you sickos love this, here's the updated flip count in legislative seats since the start of Trump's second term, following tonight's Dem win in New Hampshire: Democrats: 28 Republicans: 0 docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
JUST IN: Democrats have flipped a Trump+9 seat in the New Hampshire House, per reporter Kevin Landrigan. Republicans outspent Dems by a considerable margin. This is now the 10th special election flip for Ds in Trump's second term, versus zero for the GOP. sos.tn.gov/elections/20...
BIG lead for Alex Holladay in the early vote in the Arkansas #HD70 (Harris+2) special election. Very much on track for a flip for the Dems here tonight in suburban Little Rock
The GOP just had its best chance to finally flip a legislative seat in Trump 2.0. Democrats had other ideas. Chasity Martinez just won a rural Trump+13 in the Louisiana House in a 24-point landslide—an overperformance of 37 points. Our complete writeup on this remarkable outcome -->
Breaking: Democrats resoundingly defend red district in Louisiana, denying GOP its first pickup
Republicans have yet to flip a single legislative seat since Trump's return
the-downballot.com
BREAKING: Texas Democrat Taylor Rehmet just won a *massive* landslide to flip a deep-red Senate district. He's up by 14 points in a Trump+17 seat—an overperformance of more than 30 points. How did he do it? Here's our full writeup:
Breaking: Texas Democrats score landslide upset in race Trump badly wanted to win
Taylor Rehmet just flipped a deep-red seat—and gave his party a shot in the arm
the-downballot.com
What would happen if Trump tried to send troops to disrupt the midterms? Undaunted voters in the Twin Cities just gave us an answer: It could backfire very, very badly. New from The Downballot: A wild overperformance in St. Paul shows Minnesotans will "crawl over broken glass" to vote—despite ICE.
Minnesotans just showed they’ll ‘crawl over broken glass’ to vote, despite ICE terror
If Trump sends troops to disrupt voting, he could face a massive backlash
the-downballot.com
LOL. Despite this being a Harris+71 seat, Democrat Meg Luger-Nikolai won tonight by a *91-point* margin. Easily one of the wildest overperformances we’ve ever seen, given the district’s deep, deep blue lean.
Couple of special elections in very blue districts in the Twin Cities area tonight, though only one is contested. It's a +71 Harris seat, so hard for Democrats to overperform when the margins are already so lopsided, but we'll see. Big Board -->
one takeaway from the grok noncon porn thing is that much of the media just isn't interested in an issue they can't pretend has two sides or that doesn't give them an opportunity to shit on the left. Also it would be uncomfortable to justify remaining on twitter after acknowledging it
It appears that vote-counting may be done in KY. If so, it's an astounding *42-point* overperformance for Democrat Gary Clemons, a union leader and Army vet. This district moved to the right last year, from Biden+10 to Harris+5, but the GOP never seriously contested it. Big Board updated -->
The Downballot's special elections Big Board for the 2025-26 cycle
docs.google.com
BREAKING: Indiana Republicans FAILED to pass a new 9-0 congressional gerrymander after enough GOP senators sided with Dems. The GOP's 7-2 map stays in place. Trump is trying to re-gerrymander maps nationwide. At least 11 Indiana Rs got death threats after he called for primaries—but it still failed