JJ Abrams Dynasty Account

@jakejakeabrams.bsky.social

When in doubt, ruin the Star Wars franchise, like I did. Dynasty FF. Dynasty Underdog.

Getting better is a good thing. Above the diagonal is signal of that happening. This is first vs last season from 2021-2025 I’ll give Mike Evans a pass due to injury in 2025, I’ll get to that later. Shaheed also suffered, but chalk that up to switching teams. I’m expecting a 2026 rebound. 1/3

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How much impact do position groupings have at the goal line? Across 2022-2025 10,299 offensive plays after filtering out FG/XP/no-play League TD rate: 29.2% Teams had highest TD rate when going with heavier packages. Having a single WR on the field, dropped the TD rate ~10 percentage points. 1/3

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# Downs '21-25 3rd Most: CLE (1,295), NYG (1,288), LAC (1,278), HOU (1,267), TB (1,263) Least: SF (1,092), SEA (1,115), GB (1,124), MIA (1,129), BAL (1,131) 17% gap 4th Most: CLE (757), NYG (737), NYJ (732), CAR (728), HOU (725) Least: BUF (520), SF (528), KC (537), GB (583), LA (594) 39% gap 1/2

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Some confirmation here. Scramblers gonna scramble rather than look for that check down later in the progression. 2022-2025 Percentage of screens split by time to throw >= or < 2s in 1st chart 2016-2025 scramble % vs fast screens in the 2nd Thanks to @tacitassassin13.bsky.social for asking. 1/3

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Play-action passes average +0.104 EPA/attempt vs. -0.026 EPA/attempt on non-PA How helpful play-action is varies by QB. Lamar leads across the board with a +0.317 and over 400 attempts. Elite in efficiency and volume. 1/3

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Context-adjusted QB effect on EPA and how the pairing with the receivers matters. Devonta Smith and AJ Brown basically overlap, probably says a bit more about Hurts. Shakir and Waddle are sitting with some elite company while JSN and Jefferson are "suffering" from their QBs. 1/4

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Some fun albums I’ve been listening to of late: - Everlasting Flame by Earth Trax (Dark/moody techno adjacent) - Childish Prodigy by Kurt Vile (alternative) - It’s a Pleasure by Baxter Drury (electronic, spoken word, alternative hybrid) - Traumfolge (EP) by Computer Data (Housey at times)

One thing I’ve really enjoyed so far about the margins is I get people’s best stuff. What do you believe in most? What makes you different? Let’s talk about that. Really cool the guests have embraced that. You know who Billy is as an analyst after an hr even if you don’t know every facet of his game

Tommy Blair@fftommyb.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Back with another fantastic guest! Thanks to @williebeamanff.bsky.social for jumping on and breaking down dynasty from a truly unique perspective.

Got some orphans on a super fun unique MFL league. 36 team 3 divisions, 3 copies (no team can roster more than a single copy), trading across divisions allowed, SF TEP (1.5) Start 10 1QB, 1RB, 1 WR, 1TE, 5 FLEX, 1SF, $50 AUS Let me know if interested!