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Jonathan S Doucette

@jdoucette.bsky.social

Associate Professor, Department of Politics, Aalborg University. My research examines religion, historical regimes, state formation, and democratization. Personal website: https://t.co/M1J5XAy13P

113 Posts1157 Follower350 Folgt
Jonathan S Doucette@jdoucette.bsky.social · last mo.

In terms of its role in Europe's development, the Dominican order is perhaps most known for its part in the inquisition. However, it also had a more benevolent impact on regime change and the development of human capital 1/N

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Roman Senninger@rsenninger.bsky.social · 3mo ago

New paper out in Nature Human Behaviour. "Government policy documents across 185 countries largely cite Global North sources" with @seramirezruiz.bsky.social DOI: doi.org/10.1038/s415... Ungated: rdcu.be/fh0Ss

Government policy documents across 185 countries largely cite Global North sources - Nature Human Behaviour

This analysis of 1.2 million policy documents from 185 countries identifies global inequalities in whose knowledge is cited in policymaking. Governments in the Global South rely more on foreign source...

doi.org

Carl Henrik Knutsen@chknutsen.bsky.social · 5mo ago

V-Dem v.16 is now released, w. updated scores for 2025. Most countries remain stable from 2024, but some clear improvements (on diff’t democracy indices), incl. S. Korea, Sri Lanka & Mauritius. Largest declines came, by far, in the US. This figure shows 10-yr changes on the Liberal Dem. index.

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Ryan Briggs@ryancbriggs.net · 6mo ago

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
Jared Rubin@jaredcrubin.com · 9mo ago

Now forthcoming at Quarterly Journal of Economics Enlightenment Ideals and Belief in Progress in the Run-up to the Industrial Revolution: A Textual Analysis Available at: digitalcommons.chapman.edu/esi_working_... (See thread below for an overview)

Enlightenment Ideals and Belief in Progress in the Run-up to the Industrial Revolution: A Textual Analysis

We trace the evolution of the language of science, religion, and political economy in the centuries leading to the British Industrial Revolution. Using textual analysis of 264,443 works printed in Eng...

digitalcommons.chapman.edu

Jared Rubin@jaredcrubin.com · 3y ago

**NEW WORKING PAPER** Enlightenment Ideals and Belief in Progress in the Run-up to the Industrial Revolution: A Textual Analysis w/ Ali Almelhem, Murat Iyigun & Austin Kennedy Available at: docs.iza.org/dp16674.pdf Short 🧵 below… 1/7

Jonathan S Doucette@jdoucette.bsky.social · 12mo ago

The same is true for most cross-national studies www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data? | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core

What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data?

cambridge.org

John Holbein@johnholbein1.bsky.social · 12mo ago

For example, we've recently learned that virtually all state-level DiD's are probably incredibly underpowered.

Joe Noonan@joenoonan.se · last yr.

There have been a number of recent articles on statistical power in quantitative political science. This is something that I think deserves more attention and discussion. A short thread of the articles I have read. 🧵