Jeffrey J. Early

@jeffreyearly.bsky.social

Runner, biker, dad, software developer, physicist with a PhD in oceanography.

I built a statistical model to forecast ski conditions using seasonal climate models. Summit at Snoqualmie in Washington has the worst ski forecast in the western US this winter. Makes sense given the “El Niño on steroids” model signal. Go south for better skiing ⛷️ Try it out: where2.ski

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What if I told you 40k American will die due to AI every year, but that we will accept that loss because the technology is so convenient. Crazy right? 40k Americans die from automobiles every year but we accept that loss because the technology is so convenient.

"In 2023...NSF spent $918 million on research in the directorate's three core areas—earth, oceans, and atmospheric/geospatial sciences. By comparison...$110 million to be available in 2027". Geosciences decimated. Why are we not talking about this more? www.science.org/content/arti...

Is NSF’s new call for research proposals good news? Scientists and staffers have doubts

The long-delayed 12 solicitations only cover some disciplines—and promise to give them much less money

science.org

If Washington, Oregon and California left the union they would be immediately better off and able to solve problems down to city level. King County is one of the richest places on earth in all of human history and yet…

Cascadia Journal@cascadiajournal.bsky.social · 2mo ago

"In 2025 Washington state paid $69.3 billion more in federal taxes than it received back in funding." My latest for #Cascadia Journal: www.cascadia-journal.com/as-feds-hold...

The other context here is that a historically low number of NSF grants have been awarded this fiscal year AND money has been redirected away from basic research

Bethany Brookshire@beebrookshire.bsky.social · 3mo ago

You may have heard about the OMB rule change that will put politics over federal grants. However bad you think it is? It's probably worse. Thanks to @theverge.com for letting me report this one out. There is still time to comment. bit.ly/4v2X4nQ

This is the whole thing. Basic, wonky, weird, non-applied, whatever you want to call it, science is usually the eventual foundation of everything you know as "technology" or "medicine". It's not even a case of "if they succeed" - the investment is in the voluminous incremental advancements

John Schwartz@jswatz.bsky.social · 3mo ago

"Right now, in some underfunded lab, a scientist is chasing a question that sounds pointless.... No one can say if they will succeed. But a century of experience says that funding people to do this work is a good bet. If we stop making that bet, we will pay for it in cures no one will know to miss."

On top of the slowdown in grantmaking I wrote about last week - this is another deeply worrisome trend for scientists, physicians, patients, families, and basically anyone who wants new treatments and new tools to promote health. 🆘🧪🥼 open.substack.com/pub/elizabet...

I Wrote Research Funding Announcements for NIH for 22 Years. This Year They’ve Published 14

How NIH went from 756 funding announcements to 14 in two years — and what it means for every disease that depends on federal research

open.substack.com

Folks who aren’t in the space world won’t understand but let me say this—the magnitude of damage this administration has done to NASA and science research has set us back decades. It will take many many generations to get us back to where we were before Trump. And that’s assuming it’s funded

Next week's council elections in Kirkland really do deserve more regional attention. An anti-growth advocacy group is promoting a full slate of candidates who are pledging to "protect neighborhoods." The outcome could tip the city in a very reactionary direction. www.theurbanist.org/2025/10/28/k...

Kirkland Council Elections Could Tip City in Reactionary Direction » The Urbanist

# In four different races, Kirkland voters face a choice between pro-growth candidates interested in fostering additional types of housing throughout the city, and candidates looking for the city to b...

theurbanist.org