The Prime Minister of Spain: “This climate emergency is exceeding every threshold and scale that scientists have long warned all of Spain and Europe about.” This is the realistic climate discourse the world needs. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/28/w...
Jesse Damiani
@jessedamiani.bsky.social
Foresight x Forecasting for Polycrisis. I write realitystudies.co & host the Urgent Futures Podcast @urgentfutures.bsky.social. Comms @metaculus.com. Adjunct Prof, NYU. Bylines: Flash Art, Forbes, NBC News, The Verge, WIRED
Such a widespread and extreme heatwave has no previously recorded analogs at all in the USA during March. Almost 1/3 of US weather stations set new monthly records. In no previous March did more than 10% of stations simultaneously set a record. 11/
It’s a wonky term, but “polycrisis” helps us remember that climate change, economic injustice, and far right reactionary politics are not separate, nor are they really analogies or metaphors for one another.
Alabama Legislature is meeting on redistricting; we are under a tornado watch, and it’s flooding in the building. These metaphors are too on the nose.
every mushroom foraging guidebook: This is Woodland Pot Roast, a tasty little mushroom that adds a delightful flavour to soups and stews. Note that it is often mistaken for Satan’s Fistula, a mushroom that erases the last 9 generations of your family from God’s ledgers.
Powerful words: "Spring is billions of birds quieter than a century ago, and there’s no sign that these losses will slow. When a bird goes extinct, a language goes with it; bells fall silent without their ringers. It’s not enough to love the song but forget the singers." thewalrus.ca/billions-of-...
Billions of Birds Have Vanished in a Generation | The Walrus
To save them, we need to look and listen
thewalrus.ca
This story isn’t as flashy as war, but it’s (arguably) more consequential. The collapse of the AMOC would radically transform Earth—and not to our benefit.
New study: most climate models underestimate the decline of the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC. The AMOC is on course to slow by more than 50% by the end of the century. 🌊 Very likely the AMOC will then be past the tipping point for full shutdown. 😨 us.cnn.com/2026/04/16/c...
"SpaceX bought 1,279 Cybertrucks in Q4 2025, representing over 18% of Tesla’s total US sales during the quarter. That’s not fleet expansion—that’s a bailout wearing corporate camouflage" www.gadgetreview.com/spacex-bough...
“Acts or threats of violence the primary purpose of which is to spread terror among the civilian population are prohibited.” Geneva Convention Additional Protocol I and Department of Defense Law of War Manual, § 5.2.2
Armageddon is terrible, but our only other option was diversity trainings at work.
‘Research… finds that if fertiliser prices rise from roughly $300–$350 a tonne to around $900–$1,000 and remain elevated, global food prices could increase by 60 to 100 per cent, pushing up to 100mn additional people into undernourishment’ ☹️ www.ft.com/content/27e0...
The global food crisis unleashed by the war
From Minnesota to Punjab, fertiliser costs are up and harvests are set to be hit
ft.com
1/ Why is atmospheric CO₂ accelerating faster than fossil fuel emissions are growing? The answer is buried in the data, and it's more worrying than most people realise. A thread. 🧵👇
may this be the beginning of something
The death of a nearly blind refugee from Myanmar who was found on a Buffalo street in February — five days after Border Patrol agents left him at a doughnut shop — has been ruled a homicide, authorities said Wednesday. https://to.pbs.org/3NZGHsz
This is my favorite climate change chart. Japanese monks, aristocrats, and emperors kept meticulous records of cherry blossom festivals for 1,200 years and accidentally built the world's longest climate dataset.
Woman in Cambridge, MD hired some contractors and then called ICE on them just before they finished so she wouldn't have to pay them the $10k she owes them. She even provides ICE a ladder to help them get the contractors.
Just an extremely important piece from @emorwee.bsky.social in the Heated newsletter here. Oil prices have *ALWAYS* been fantastical and absurd, because it never factors in the shocking costs of what happens when you use it heated.world/p/the-true-p...
"“This is not a war for security. It’s a war for the political economy of fossil fuels – and the people paying the price are Iranian civilians and working‑class communities around the world.”
*more than 84 countries combined* www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...
Q for scientists & researchers: what percentage of the most consequential research in your field is actually getting funded? Are funders identifying the areas where their support might do the most good? (Quick 🧵)
I'm excited to announce this new paper we have in Nature Climate Change, establishing the core principles of a post-growth climate mitigation scenario that can achieve rapid decarbonization and high well-being. nature.com/articles/s41...
You really need to read this. via The Honest Sorcerer on Substack: open.substack.com/pub/thehones...
I realize that to people outside the PNW this is just an interesting news item, but if you're in the PNW, where tracking orca pods is a local religion, this is basically like being visited by alien gods
A mysterious trio of orcas, unknown to scientists, showed up in Canada’s busy Vancouver Harbour, later heading south to Seattle, Tacoma, and Olympia.
On today’s episode of Cartoonishly Overt Sign We’re the Baddies: they’re taking the olive branch off the dime because it presents peace
oh, come on. fortune.com/2026/03/12/u...
We are the mightiest military in the WOORRRLLLD *fails to plan for most obvious tactic possible*
"Top Trump officials acknowledged to lawmakers during recent classified briefings that they did not plan for the possibility of Iran closing the strait in response to strikes." www.cnn.com/2026/03/12/p...
@rikiwilchins.bsky.social 2026 Mar 11 Advocate While complaining about the costs associated with trans servicemembers transitioning, study shows Pentagon under free-spending SecDef Hegseth spends more on lobster in 1 month than it does on trans servicemembers in 1 year.
Pentagon spent more on lobster in one month than it did on trans health care all year
Under Pete Hegseth's leadership, the Defense Department spent more than $90 billion in September alone.
advocate.com
"We have to learn to operate under extreme levels of uncertainty." Te Pūnaha Matatini Principal Investigator @jdtonkin.bsky.social joined @jessedamiani.bsky.social on @urgentfutures.bsky.social to discuss his pivot toward solutions for biodiversity loss 🧪 www.youtube.com/watch?v=sTv7...
Biodiversity on the Brink: Ecological Rhythms & Human Urgency - Jonathan Tonkin | RR #20
YouTube video by Jesse Damiani
youtube.com
Pretty crazy how important the blockade of a trade route is right now
Metaculus v Polymarket predicting the Iran attack -- @kikollan.llaneras.es in @elpais.com: elpais.com/actualidad/n...