J Green

@jgreen63.bsky.social

Musician (saxes, basses), artist, writer. Science advocate. Non believer. #brexitwasacon #wearffp3 #ClimateCatastrophe #zoology #animals. Banner is a tan and white boxer dog on a beach holding a long stick and looking to camera. Also writes.

I'm increasingly of the opinion that all political analysis, scientific findings, social actions etc., are academic in the face of the climate catastrophe. It is actually a catastrophe unfolding now. Whatever you've got going on, it's not going to be for long.

This wasn’t how it was supposed to be… The tragic truth is that, as some of us warned a decade ago, mainstream climate science has turned out to be the opposite of alarmist. It has turned out to be complacent and over-optimistic. Truthfulness - and strategic adaptation - are urgent. (Pse repost.)

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 2d ago

A first year above 2C in the mid-2030s now looks plausible. 0.5C was first passed in 1980, 1.0C in 2010 and 1.5C in 2024. The 15-year trend runs at 0.42C per decade. The 2026 and 2027 points for the current El Nino are estimates. We're not remotely ready!

Line chart titled "A first year above 2 C in the mid-2030s looks increasingly plausible". It shows global mean surface temperature from 1940 to 2050 as the annual anomaly against the 1850 to 1900 baseline, in degrees C. Data is ERA5 from Copernicus, running to 31 July 2026.

A thin gold line shows individual years, wobbling around a thick dark blue smoothed trend. Both sit near 0.2 C through the 1940s to the early 1970s, then climb steadily from the mid-1970s onward.

Three red dots mark the first year each threshold was passed. 0.5 C in 1980, 1.0 C in 2010 and 1.5 C in 2024. Labels beneath note the gap of 30 years between the first two and 14 years between the second and third. Everything above 1.5 C is shaded pink.

Two dashed lines run forward from 2025. A blue line follows the 15-year trend of 0.42 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2037. A fainter grey line follows the 30-year trend of 0.27 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2044.

Two orange circles mark estimates for the developing El Niño, at about 1.5 C for 2026 and about 1.7 C for 2027.

WCs wreck UK Extracting water from alkaline fens in southern England is causing irreversible ecological collapse. The Environment Agency has banned South East Water from taking more water from the Greywell chalk aquifer but SEW is appealing against the decision. www.theguardian.com/environment/...

‘We cannot magic up more water’: the supply problems putting housing targets in England at risk

Council leaders say crumbling infrastructure and lack of water are jeopardising government’s plans for new homes

theguardian.com

At this point I have no love for Labour. They've fallen far from grace in so many ways. But they're not reform. They're a kick in the shins rather than a stab in the heart.

Once these populists start to be seen as losers, they can lose support quickly. We saw it with the 21st Century Tories and we may well see it with Refuk. People support whoever they think are the 'winners'. They then proclaim the win. Will they shift to another far right bunch of charlatans?

Brexit Bin 🇪🇺 🇬🇧 🇩🇪@brexitbin.bsky.social · 5d ago

We could have had this 10 years ago and avoided the disaster of Brexit if the media had done its job right. #RejoinEU 🇬🇧🇪🇺

Everywhere I look today I keep seeing: 1) deadly wildfires ripping through our communities 2) people desperately trying to get by as energy costs soar 3) record oil & gas profits When will we see that these three things are connected? www.wsj.com/business/ene...

Big Oil Is Reaping Rewards From the Chaos in Energy Markets

ExxonMobil’s earnings doubled and Chevron posted its highest quarterly earnings on record as energy prices soared during the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

wsj.com

Let’s be clear here, when scientists say mistakes were made at the start of the pandemic, we DO NOT mean that we did too much. We mean not socially distancing quickly enough, not making tests widely available, and not acknowledging COVID is airborne and distributing N95 masks to everyone.