New working paper w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social @rantuna.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com! *Does publicly refusing to cooperate with the far right only strengthen it?* A widespread belief says yes. In this paper, we test it based on a natural experiment from Spain. tinyurl.com/5azkfnas [1/6]
Jens Wäckerle
@jwaeckerle.bsky.social
Post-doctoral researcher at the Cologne Center for Comparative Politics (University of Cologne) https://www.jenswaeckerle.com/
I want thank all world powers for creating *waves hands* all this, which ultimately led me to have a stopover in london instead of flying directly to conference week.
Today, the European Parliament voted to put the Mercosur trade agreement to the European Court of Justice for review. It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.
This just in: The #EP requests judicial review by the ECJ on the Mercosur Trade Deal with an ultra-thin majority of 10 votes. More in-depth analysis will follow, but the majority was formed in probably the wildest way yet - relevant shares of votes from all groups. howtheyvote.eu/votes/183884
Today’s Omnibus vote has rolled over an already perforated cordon sanitaire in the European Parliament. For the first time, the EPP sided with far-right groups on a file key to the Commission’s agenda. Make no mistake: this was no accident and it’s unclear whether the centrist coalition can recover🧵
New from @erc.europa.eu project #MINORITYRULE with @sopro.bsky.social: We study voters’ knowledge about and perceptions of minority governments in 🇩🇰, 🇩🇪 and 🇸🇪. Link: doi.org/10.1017/S147... When survey researchers or politicians talk about minority governments, what do voters understand? ⬇️
New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner: Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries Harmonized roles/policy areas Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940 Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p ⬇️
GESIS-Suche
doi.org
The current consensus in political science is that Nazis hating me and me hating Nazis are both equal parts of the ~polarization problem
Blog post: github.com/sophieehill/... TL;DR: There are a LOT of errors/inconsistencies in the results reported in this paper (estimates outside CIs, sign errors, duplicates, asymmetric CIs). Even in the abstract itself! This suggests manual editing of results tables. Which is not good... 🧵
"Sweeteners can harm cognitive health equivalent to 1.6 years of ageing, study finds" Or does it? Let's take a look at this "study"... www.theguardian.com/food/2025/se...
The pretty draft is now online. Link to paper (free): www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10.... Our replication package starts from the raw data and we put real work into making it readable & setting it up so people could poke at it, so please do explore it: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026. 😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA. 👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things. A short 🧵
It tells us so much about the debate around immigration that the first response by journalists and politicians here is not: does this mean they are over- or underrepresented? This bias and ignorance used to be limited to the most lurid and hateful parts of the media. It is now a standard response.
Others have noted that this means foreign-born people are LESS likely than UK-born people to be in prison. What I want to note is that The Times is now referring to foreign-born UK citizens as ‘foreigners’. This includes Boris Johnson, Sir Mo Farah, Emma Watson, Rory Stewart and little old me.
I'm adding to the Seoul novelty hats as political science concepts collection: Comments from Reviewer 2
Seoul novelty hats as political science concepts. A thread. 1. Quantitative methods
Seoul novelty hats as political science concepts. A thread. 1. Quantitative methods
Very excited to be part of this new association, a great future ahead for European political science.
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵
Need causal insights into how people make decisions? Conjoint survey experiments let you unpack complex choices in realistic settings. Learn to design, implement, and analyze them in our #GESISsummerschool course with @phanxi.bsky.social & Lukas Rudolph. Book Now ➡️ t1p.de/GSS25-C6
Now out in an issue with proper page numbers🎉 Women in parliament, particularly in left parties, adapt their speaking style over the years to fit the male-dominated hierarchies of parties and parliaments With the best coauthors one could ask for @dmpullan.bsky.social @jwaeckerle.bsky.social
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
Women in male-dominated organizations often must adopt more stereotypical masculine traits to advance within those hierarchies. While politics, historically male-dominated, should induce women to ble...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
📢 Our latest research (with L. Rudolph, @uni-konstanz.de) on operationalizing natural experiments, particularly extreme weather, has just been accepted @thejop.bsky.social 🌦️Natural experiments offer a unique way to analyze causal effects in real-world settings. But operationalization is often messy:
If you are interested in how to design survey experiments in the social sciences, I am teaching a course on exactly that @methodsnet.bsky.social Vienna summer school at CEU! Early bird discount applies through 26 March 👇. Looking forward to meeting you ☺️ methodsnet.org/course/d01-0...
D01-01AM: Designing Survey Experiments – Methodsnet
Not a Member yet? Check out the long list of benefits here – Student Membership from only €33.00 and FREE for some locations! > Courses > D01-01AM: Design
methodsnet.org
🚨 #Data alert 📣 We just released #ParlLawSpeech – full texts of more than 40k bills, 28k laws, and 3 mio. parliamentary speeches from 7 countries (AT, CZ, DE, DK, ES, HR, HU) and the EU! If you study democracy with #TextAsData / #NLP methods, this is for you! A short 🧵 (1/3) #PoliSkyData #polisky
📢 Ready to dive into computational text analysis with #rstats? Join @dielea.bsky.social, @janschwalbach.bsky.social & @jwaeckerle.bsky.social for the #GESISworkshop and gain hands-on skills to enhance your research! More info & registration ➡️ t1p.de/comp-text-an...
This 👇👇 Wenn die deutsche Politik schon die Augen vor Forschungsergebnissen verschliesst, könnten sie doch wenigstens von den Nachbarländern lernen. Es ist nur noch schwer zu ertragen
Did anyone call the VVD in the Netherlands to check what happened when they legitimized Wilders in the last election? Leading the VVD party to loose to Wilders and become a smaller coalition partner in a far right government.
»Eine richtige Entscheidung wird nicht dadurch falsch, dass die Falschen zustimmen. Sie bleibt richtig«, sagt Merz. Fraktion CDU/CSU so:
a man in a military uniform is asking are we the baddies .
ALT: a man in a military uniform is asking are we the baddies .
media.tenor.com
In Merz‘ lautesten Forderungen der letzten Monate zeigt sich eine fatale Linie: Eine (un)gewollte Zerstörung der europäischen Integration. Wer Grenzkontrollen & -Schließungen fordert, Regierungsparteien zum Europarechtsbruch aufruft & Vorrang von EU-Recht gg. nationalem Recht einreißen will 🧵 1/6
Pretty much exactly 80 years after the liberation of Auschwitz, the richest man in the world uses the Nazi salute at the inauguration of his close ally as US president. What should rationally not be surprising is still so deeply shocking and simply difficult to comprehend.
um
🚨 You are looking for a PhD position in political science & your planned research broadly fits into comparative politics or political behavior? Then join us in Vienna! We offer a 4-year position to pursue your own topic👇. Benefits include good salary & supervision. jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
University assistant predoctoral
University assistant predoctoral
jobs.univie.ac.at
Romania has started voting in a Presidential Election, which has flown largely under the international media radar, despite the country’s strategic importance to the EU/NATO & a real possibility that RO could elect either its first pro Russian far right president or its first woman President.(1)
Finally out! We look at 6.8 million parl speeches in 24 countries over 30+ years, finding that women speak in a more masculine style the longer they stay in office With amazing coauthors @dmpullan.bsky.social @jwaeckerle.bsky.social #polisky #gendersky onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
Blending in or standing out? Gendered political communication in 24 democracies
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Next Wednesday (📅 June 5) at 17:00, the last Text-as-Data Speaker Series talk for this spring term will take place feat. @jwaeckerle.bsky.social! Join us to learn more about the genderedness of parliamentary discourse and legislative power in a comparative perspective 🌟