Lars Lowinski

@larswx.bsky.social

RMetS Chartered Meteorologist, photographer, occasional storm chaser. Interested in severe weather, natural hazards and risk communication. Opinions are my own. My photography: larslowinski.com

August 3, 2008: France's most recent violent tornado ravaged several communities. Per the ESSL, the F4 had a 10.5-kilometer-long path and was up to 200 meters wide. Hundreds of homes and other buildings were damaged or destroyed in Hautmont. Three people were killed.

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Sub-surface Pacific temperatures are now warmer than ever recorded having exceeded 1997's peak by 0.36°C. Further warming is still likely before they peak, little doubt now that this will be the strongest El Nino event in recorded history.

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It’s now official: June–July 2026 was the most anomalously warm two-month period ever recorded in France by a staggering margin. France is now virtually certain to record its warmest summer on record.

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Extremely warm and dry midday profiles ahead of the line of showers and storms in W Germany today. Hybrid/inverted-V profiles supporting strong outflow and locally damaging winds as the storms generate increasingly large cold pools this afternoon. #weather

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Some smoke has made it's way from France to far W and SW Germany with an increase in aerosol content before the arrival of the gusty line of showers and storms. The plot on the right shows ceilometer data from near Bonn, Germany. #weather

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Thursday is a potentially big weather day for Germany in particular. Extreme heat followed by high-based thunderstorms with a significant wind, dust and wildfire risk in many areas. Another situation that has previously been pretty rare. #weather

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Latest METAR from Bordeaux Airport: LFBD 290930Z AUTO 12007KT 090V160 CAVOK 32/16 Q1016 Light SE'lies, but RH is forecast to drop significantly later before the sea breeze kicks in and this in turn will push the #fire and #smoke closer to the city again. PROB30 TEMPO 2916/2918 29015G25KT 4000 FU

Fires in France have now burned over 91,000 acres, by far the most of any year since the satellite record started in 2006. Current area burned is about 34x larger than this date in a typical (median) year:

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The UK has just recorded its first three week long heatwave on record, based on recent Met Office observations - 21 days at Exeter Airport and Usk beats the record of 17 days at Cambridge in 1976 by 4 days. It has been a notable summer so far, with records continuing to tumble.

Bar chart titled "Longest heatwave duration in the UK per year," showing the longest single heatwave recorded at any UK station each year from 1959 to 2026, in days. Grey bars give each year's value; most sit between 3 and 10 days, with a dashed line marking the 1991–2020 average of 6.8 days. Notable earlier peaks include 17 days in 1976 and 16 in 1997. The final bar, 2026, is highlighted dark red at 21 days - a new record, held jointly by Exeter Airport No. 2 and Usk No. 2. A Theil–Sen trend line rises left to right at 0.67 days per decade, with a shaded 95% confidence band and a Mann–Kendall significance of p < 0.001. A footnote notes that the record begins in 1959 because station coverage is sparse before then, and that heatwave thresholds vary by county from 25 to 28°C - Exeter is 25°C and Usk 26°C - so lower-threshold regions are more likely to set the annual maximum.

Remarkably low heights for the time of year across N Europe in a cool and unsettled pattern this weekend before the next ridge develops late next week which is set to bring the next heatwave over large parts of central Europe. #weather

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The marine heatwave in the western Mediterranean is continuing and has even intensified in recent days. The spatial average sea surface temperature could reach around 27.7 °C, which is very close to the historical maximum for August 2024.

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The current wildfire smoke event extending from the Great Lakes to the Northeast U.S. represents yet another dead canary in our collective coal mine. We're getting an impressive and exponentially increasing collection of dead canaries! yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/dang...

Dangerous and historic wildfire smoke pollution event engulfs the U.S. and Canada » Yale Climate Connections

Most of the fires grew out of control under extreme heat conditions made up to five times more likely by climate change.

yaleclimateconnections.org

🌡 The June #C3S Climate Bulletin reports the second-warmest June globally, 1.39°C above the pre-industrial level. Western Europe saw its warmest June on record amid an intense heatwave, while the average sea surface temperature (SST) over 60°S–60°N reached 20.86°C, the highest on record for June. ⬇️

Everyone's talking about the heat, but there's more than that: A small, but exceptionally powerful summer-cyclone is causing severe winds over the Baltic Sea and parts of east-central Europe on Wednesday. Wind speeds exceeding 100 km/h - and even over 120 km/h in exposed areas - are possible.

Mean Sea Level Pressure Percentile Rank on Wednesday, 8th July.Peak Wind Gust for past 6 hours in Wednesday, 8th July, 6 UTC.

An unprecedented heatwave for June has set all-time heat records at 9 European nations or territories, and we expect a renewed resurgence early next week. For the rest of this week, it's the United States' turn to roast in a mega heat wave. @bhensonweather.bsky.social and I have the details:

Eastern U.S. to broil after heat wave kills over 1,300 in Europe » Yale Climate Connections

'Extreme heat is already reaching the limits of our societies’ ability to cope,' as a result of climate change, one expert group said.

yaleclimateconnections.org

The latest estofex.org outlook. Widespread severe thunderstorms are likely today from NE France to N Germany, though with some uncertainties. The air mass is extremely unstable once again, with CAPE values close to the upper bound of climatology across large sections of the level 2 area. #weather

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The June 2026 heatwave will go down as the most statistically anomalous heat event ever observed at any time of year in metropolitan France. The 4-day mean temperature anomaly breached the extraordinary +10°C mark.

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The current estofex.org convective outlook for today and tonight with a broad Level 2 in far NW Europe. It is important to stress that a combination of extreme instability (up to 3500 J/kg) and strong shear is extremely rare in Ireland and Scotland. A meteorologically fascinating pattern. #weather

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