Lenny Bronner
@lennybronner.com
founding member of election bluesky also election + data at The Washington Post
The UK is on the verge of elevating its 7th prime minister in 10 years. Marine Le Pen — now cleared to run for president — is the current front-runner against every potential opponent in France. Today @lennybronner.com and I discuss the reasons for Europe's major political upheaval.
wir schlagen spanien. Und wir schlagen portugal. Wir schlagen Portugal zwei mal. mir ist das so wurscht
Deutsche Guardiola@deutscheguardi1.eurosky.social · last mo.das sind für bride iberer auch gefährliche horrorlose
Come for Mary's analysis of Iran polling, stay for my terrible Hungarian
Galen Druke@galendruke.bsky.social · 4mo agoNEW POD: Trump Declares Victory. Voters Send A Different Message. I spoke w/ Mary Radcliffe & @lennybronner.com about Trump’s ceasefire, how voters are liable to react, & how they’ve already reacted in WI and GA elections. We also previewed the election in Hungary this Sunday.
Is online discourse getting worse? To bring actual data to bear on this question, we launched the Public Discourse Indicator, a dashboard tracking online comments submitted to several major Swiss newspapers. Our aim here is twofold: www.public-discourse.org/en/public-di...
On the latest GD POLITICS episode... ➡️ Epstein fallout ➡️ DHS shutdown fight ➡️ Gallup's farewell to prez approval ➡️ Election updates w/ friends of the pod Mary Radcliffe & @lennybronner.com!
Epstein Fallout, The Shutdown Fight, And Gallup's Goodbye
How the Epstein files and immigration enforcement might figure into Democrats’ midterm strategy.
gdpolitics.com
Americans are facing a torrent of political news 🤪 @lennybronner.com and I answered your questions on ICE, Iran, the Senate and more on today's episode of GD POLITICS. www.gdpolitics.com/p/we-answer-...
We Answer Your Questions On ICE, Iran, And The Senate
Americans are facing a torrent of politics news. You have lots of questions. We did our best to answer them.
gdpolitics.com
Today on GD POLITICS: Celebrity Politicians, Dummymandering, And The Texas Primary w/ @lennybronner.com! www.gdpolitics.com/p/celebrity-...
Celebrity Politicians, Dummymandering, And The Texas Primary
We answer listener questions on the power of celebrity, the Republican Texas Senate primary, and much more.
gdpolitics.com
This is a great job for early-career polling folks. Plus, you’d get to work with the delightful @emgusk.bsky.social ! www.disneycareers.com/en/job/washi...
Polling Analyst at DISNEY
Learn more about applying for Polling Analyst at DISNEY
disneycareers.com
Quite the survey from earlier this month in Germany. 61% of Left and 52% of Green voters would like Angela Merkel back as chancellor. Compared to only 22% of voters from her own center-right party.
Ich bin gezeichnet von einem 1:1 Match, das wir gewonnen haben!
CBS Sports Golazo@cbssportsgolazo-m.bsky.social · 9mo agoAustria are heading to the World Cup for the first time since 1998 🇦🇹
id a 2025 post-mortem on the latest GD POLITICS pod w/ @lennybronner.com, @linleyann.bsky.social & Lakshya Jain. We discussed the who, where & why behind Democrats' impressive performance + what it portends for '26. There's some Epstein file polling and moderates vs. progressives discourse too.
A 2025 Election Post-Mortem
The numbers behind Democrats' impressive performance and what it means for 2026, plus the latest Epstein file polling.
gdpolitics.com
Pooled and re-analyzed NJ/VA exit poll data to see which Trump voters were likeliest to vote Democrat for governor While only 5% of White Trump voters flipped, the rate was 21% for voters of color — 36% of Black voters and 17% of Latino voters And Latino women (25%) more than Latino men (10%) 1/2
Kabir K.@kabirkhanna.bsky.social · 9mo agoNYC isn't the country... But similar patterns in NJ/VA: Sherrill/Spanberger voters who didn't back Harris are younger, more diverse, less ideological, more focused on pocketbook issues than on Trump Consistent w/ Trump rating drops among young people, POC, less politically engaged More below 6/6
Striking difference between East and South Asian communities. In Jackson Heights Mamdani gets 60% of the vote vs. in Flushing only 35%
Kabir K.@kabirkhanna.bsky.social · 9mo agoMamdani's win by NYC neighborhood: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Wrd72/4/ Hover over map to see our estimates... #CBSDataDesk🍎
broke: age differential voting woke: age differential in turnout
Mamdani's gains relative to the primary was really driven by the Bronx and Brooklyn, elsewhere it stayed relatively constant.
TONIGHT: REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET @baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
Teamed up with @shanegoldmacher.bsky.social to take a look at the NJ governor’s race & what its results could tell us about the durability of Trump’s 2024 gains/“realignments” www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
What New Jersey Could Reveal About the Rightward Shift of Hispanic Voters
nytimes.com
the naming of cats is a difficult matter
Rachel Holliday Smith@rachelholliday.bsky.social · 10mo agothe lowest stakes election nugget ever, for your enjoyment: curtis sliwa has six cats, but gave eight different names for them in three different interviews recently a fun kicker in our election newsletter this week, contributed by eagle-eyed @smaldo.bsky.social: www.thecity.nyc/newsletter/o...
How America’s favorite sports bet is fueling sportsbook profits Parlays are becoming more popular, accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Post analysis of betting data. Bettors lose billions a year on these bets. www.washingtonpost.com/sports/inter...
Americans can’t stop betting parlays. Sportbooks are cashing in.
As betting booms, parlays are accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Washington Post analysis of state data.
washingtonpost.com
🤳EXCLUSIVE: We analyzed real data from over 800 U.S. TikTok users to reveal how the app transforms casual users into power users. Extremely proud of this one, over a year in the making w/ @richardsima.bsky.social Leslie Shapiro @asteckelberg.bsky.social @ence.bsky.social wapo.st/4obueib
Here’s how TikTok ‘power users’ end up scrolling 4 hours a day or more
Washington Post reporters analyzed data from over 800 TikTok users to learn how the app turns people into power users, some of whom spend hours per day scrolling.
wapo.st
Demands from Dems provoked the government shutdown, but Reps are getting most of the blame so far. Why? I talked about it on GD POLITICS today w/ @lennybronner.com and Mary Radcliffe. We also discussed that poll out of PA showing Fetterman is -20 with PA Dems, but +40 with PA Reps.
Why Americans Blame Republicans For The Government Shutdown
Demands from Democrats provoked the shutdown, but so far Republicans are getting more blame.
gdpolitics.com
I'd been delinquent, but I've updated my spreadsheet of special election results. On average, Democrats have done 13 points better than a neutral baseline. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Presidents’ names are getting shorter. Why? incredible investigation by @andrewvandam.bsky.social and @alyssafowers.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
On the latest GD POLITICS installment, @lennybronner.com and I answer your questions about the youth gender gap, Democrats' unpopularity, ChatGPT election forecasting, & more. We also chatted about the latest election results in VA 11 and... Norway! www.gdpolitics.com/p/election-u...
Election Updates, Listener Questions, And A Note On Charlie Kirk
A note on the assassination of Charlie Kirk.
gdpolitics.com
