Lilly of Copper Island

@lillysrouter.bsky.social

A Chihuahua who hates all things orange

I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.

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Beyond the racism, I'd add that on things like climate change, election results, and COVID, they're almost certainly selecting for people willing to reject objective reality. They are actively anti-intelligence.

Adam Serwer@adamserwer.bsky.social · 5d ago

Not only did they absolutely beg for this, they made it so that “merit” was synonymous with being white so now you’re stuck with precisely the kind of moron who believes that. www.politico.com/news/magazin...

Everyone knows what the problem is: The organizations that bring young staffers to Washington, D.C. have spent the last decade prioritizing blind ideological loyalty instead of competence or intelligence,” said a senior GOP congressional staffer, granted anonymity to discuss sensitive personnel issues. “We have a generation of rabid, incompetent idiots.”

Its truly amazing the price of oil is still pretty low because investors are saying "we're sure the confused president and his B-team cabinet who got into a war nobody else in 50 years was dumb enough to start and the religious fanatics in an existential dilemma are probably gonna work this out."

For some reason this isn't getting the attention it should. 10 yr and 30 yr bond yields are exploding. The 10 yr rate changes tracks mortgage rates changes almost perfectly. They are up 0.8% since the start of trump's Iran fiasco. This will make a home purchase much, much more expensive.

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One thing I can safely say as a veteran is that the troops are not thinking how dare congress question the decisions of Pete Hegseth. Fuck that guy and ship my ass back home is more likely to be a topic of conversation.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 2w ago

😳 Hegseth snaps at Peters: "Your characterization of this incredible effort as a failure if reckless and irresponsible and smear the sacrifice of the troops. Shame on you." Peters responds: "You, sir, are the failure!"

I want to get ahead of this speech tomorrow. You are going to hear a lot of cries of the sky falling. Remember: the President of the United States does not control elections. States and localities do, and even if you say "he has the military," there aren't enough in the 48 states to make a dent.

Here's the situation: The fairgoers have been expelled by force They have been told to shelter in nearby buildings, but all the buildings are locked because it is the Fourth of July People are clustering at the entrance points and blocking traffic for blocks The clouds are growing darker

The ban is heinous for what it does to transgender athletes. But if you think cisgender girls and young women won’t be caught up in the fallout, too, you are woefully ignorant

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You know the big energy crisis many worried about after Iran blocked Hormuz, the one that'd come when oil reserves run out and there isn't enough oil on the market to meet global demand? The crisis that politicians, media, and markets are now treating as averted? Decent chance it's still happening.

When Trump went to war with Iran, I watched every speech anyone in the administration gave and made a chart of every reason given for going to war "Eliminate ballistic capability" was the #1 reason given: more even than preventing Iran from getting a nuclear weapon

Iran War Reasons Chart.xlsx

docs.google.com

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 2mo ago

Trump endorses Iran having ballistic missiles: "I'm saying that if other countries have them, it's a little unfair for them not to have some"