Nom de Plume Brett
@maverickbrett.bsky.social
I mean nom de plume literally means pen name. Engineer playing god poorly. Fund basic science research. (He/Him)🏳️🌈
I thought the application of deterrence theory to cyber was bad enough, but like this is really really dumb.
Eric Geller@ericjgeller.com · 40m agoAlm said of the Trump administration's view on hacking back: "Our long-term goal is to terrify those who would target Americans, such that they know we’re actually the worst target in the world because we will mess you up. So that's the way to think about this."
Hot take: the reason why we don’t count amphibs as aircraft carriers is purely because the United States Navy builds dedicated ones because we spoke into a really weird design tree for i’m fighting the Soviets not because you have to.
This is either Britain or France erasure and I don’t know which. I would say Italian but the Italian navy is dead to me.
"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux@bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 1h agoI agree, which is why I look forward to the EU coming together to spend the ~€300bn annually it takes to build a navy with independent, global power projection capabilities. :taps ear: oh, I am being told they only have two fleet carriers, neither above 45,000 tons displacement. Oh well. Alas.
Something like 1/3 of the number of people who cast a ballot for him volunteered in same way for 2008 And none of them were turned into reliable campaign volunteers outside of his election
DSA Angletonian Caucus 🇬🇱@marechalberthier.bsky.social · 56m agothe biggest problem with Barack Obama was that he was absolutely awful at getting anyone other than Barack Obama elected
In a lot of ways, 2001 was a sudden break from stable long-term trends, but like the underlying forces have stayed in place. Outside of the Afghanistan withdrawal to the American people the Middle East wars have been over for 8-9 years up until the newest one.
DSA Angletonian Caucus 🇬🇱@marechalberthier.bsky.social · 2h agothis is even funnier when IIRC Bush won both demographics in 2000
Stop being weird about human bodies, embrace mechanicus thought.
Would you just look at those big ol' paws 🥰
Also readiness is not some quanta that you store like munitions, it is a measure of what has happened over the past ~2 years you have to continuously invest in it! Folks rotate units, and leave services, now what you can lose like this is air frame hours!
Mike Black@mikeblack114.bsky.social · 3h agoReadiness is a different can of worms, because you can invest in MRO to help to a point (the preexisting hole was much deeper there) but you can't regain the time lost from high end training and reset without more time, and that requires the war to actually stop/deployments to end
Munitions hole is already being filled, we are already putting metric buttloads of money into this and MRO capabilities and the overall SRM chain, it’s already happening. They are the easier parts of this to remedy it will just take time
"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux@bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 3h agoI know it sucks, but Dems have got to be prepared to inherit a munitions-and-readiness hole that is going to be expensive to fill, but which will need to be filled. Hardly the only such hole, but it will be a big one.
The problem with thinking that we have to do either of these is that we can stand not losing, but having no chance to win for a really, really, really long time. Like we could just go back to dumping LGB’s on costal sites for years. This is not going to end any time before January 2027.
Nicholas Grossman@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 4h agoThe Trump White House now must choose: 1) Bigger humiliation than last time, accepting Iran in control of Hormuz and charging tolls, the very thing the US attacked last month to prevent 2) Escalation of uncertain outcome with no strategy and despite depleted stockpiles
I'm not getting worked up over an adversary drone with some fireworks targeting its own belligerent, you can't make me.
The thing about tactical nukes is that we deployed them across Asia during the Cold War but withdrew them starting in the 70s (Japan/Okinawa, Taiwan, Philippines) because they were security/logistical/political headaches and basically made obsolete by sea and CONUS based forces.
Jesse Johnson@jljzen.bsky.social · 7h agoThe Defense Department’s policy chief is drafting a new U.S. nuclear strategy that emphasizes the possible use of shorter-range tactical weapons in case of a regional war with China or Russia, according to five people familiar with the plans. www.nbcnews.com/politics/nat...
Yeah that seems like a reasonable estimate, I think it’s high tho.
Catherine Rampell@crampell.bsky.social · 4h agoRhodium projects that under current policy, US GHG emissions will be 26–29% under the 2005 level in four years, driven by an influx of natural gas and renewable production. Their forecast for 2040 is 27-41% below the 2005 level. rhg.com/research/tak...
I know that if A = B, and B = C then C = A is super important to math, but I also wish people’s politics carried it through. It’s a key part of logic! Please be internally consistent.
On this topic, I want to mention this article which while not the classic blast furnace was a great example: horsdoeuvresofbattle.substack.com/p/siloed-sil...
Siloed Silos and Analytical Failures
Pictured: the most devious counter-intelligence tool ever devised.
horsdoeuvresofbattle.substack.com
Nom de Plume Brett@maverickbrett.bsky.social · 14h agoFischer trosph reactors are some of the largest monolithic structures on the planet, just like look at the size of sasoil's were. We should have noticed them, now could this be a case of if your an expert on blast furnaces everything looks like a blast furnace? Sure, it could be
he and engels wrote military analysis for money so i think they would be posters with big maps of ukraine fronts
GOLIKEHELLMACHINE@golikehellmachine.com · 2d agostop parroting theory and start trying to read and understand theory, marx would fucking disavow and destroy every loudmouth anti-chart jackass on social media, he would be obsessed with people being wrong on the internet and he’s not even the best reference in the 21st century
“My beloved sneaki bois would never infiltrate your network through close access operations and plant false intelligence.” (2026)
Nom de Plume Brett@maverickbrett.bsky.social · 14h agoMy beloved sneaki bois would never infiltrate your network through close access operations and plant false intelligence.
This is a very hard thing to study, like even that one Boko Haram (spelling) is evidence of how hard it is, and like breaking terrorist away is a lot easier then big time narcotics manufacturers at the cartel level. This leaves either local (cough LSD/MDMA which would be the starting point?)
Nom de Plume Brett@maverickbrett.bsky.social · 21h agoAre illicit drug manufacturers getting better at making drugs because of AI?
Remember you have to poll to set the model, and then poll to the model. Now obvi we don’t actualy treat these as discrete we project from past stuff to set the model poll and then modify the model for next round but it’s still really not working.
Nom de Plume Brett@maverickbrett.bsky.social · 16h agoHave we considered we’re not good a polling? Like the overs are by so far it says the underlying polling models are *fucked*. Like we are just not sampling well enough to calibrate models.
I just rempered that Washington’s primary system is weird and should not exsist.
Have we considered we’re not good a polling? Like the overs are by so far it says the underlying polling models are *fucked*. Like we are just not sampling well enough to calibrate models.
I like how our strategy in the gulf has just reverted to the only successful one we have tried: do nothing but blockade. We should come up with something better, and like this would be a W for navalists if they picked it up becasue their broader love has faild, but uhh I don't see either happening
the Cool Zone 3.0 is gonna be really funny
FinTwitter@fintwitter.bsky.social · 18h agoU.S. FEDERAL WORKFORCE MORALE PLUMMETS: NEARLY TWO-THIRDS SAY THEY WOULDN’T CHOOSE PUBLIC SERVICE AGAIN Nearly two-thirds of U.S. federal employees said they would not enter public service again, according to a CBS News report, highlighting deteriorating morale across the federal workforce.
It's debatable how thoroughly DI has historically penetrated US operations before, but like I'm sorry but we are superposed to think in the present setting of Cuba we have been able to expand operations? TBH this is likely if not out right not true -as in it was fed to politico as chicken scratch-
Shipwreck@shipwreck75.bsky.social · 21h agoTrump administration has increased intelligence operations in Cuba as part of a broader effort to pressure the communist government into major reforms or a change in power.
20 days until Starbucks fall menu is released and unleashes Pumpkin Spice Latte and its sugary brand of madness upon us all. Please heed this warning and take all necessary precautions and implement all required safety measures. “The spice must flow.” ~ Harkonnen proverb
