Nick SomethingGreek

@nicksomethinggreek.bsky.social

Second City + Econ uniquely applicable on both the Forecasting/Analysis & YES, AND...Fronts. Swears Too Much, Sleeps Too Little. Rescue Dog FTW.

A smoke alarm going off doesn't mean there's a fire. It means there's something worth checking.⁣ ⁣ The Census Bureau's report matched voting records to immigration records and found 24,000 alerts, then called them 24,000 illegal votes. That's not what an alarm tells you. It tells you to go look.

🧵🧵🧵Here’s a thread with 10 fairly obscure examples of Trump’s derangement and dishonesty. See if you’re familiar with all 10. 10 BATSHIT TRUMP FACTS YOU MAY NOT KNOW 🧵1. Last year, Trump reposted a Truth Social user’s claim that Joe Biden was “executed in 2020” and replaced by a robotic clone.

Trump Amplifies Another Outlandish Conspiracy Theory: Biden Is a Robotic Clone (Gift Article)

President Trump reposted another user’s false claim that the former president had been “executed” in 2020 and replaced by a robotic clone.

nytimes.com

if youre a democrat folding on hasan piker bull shit, why should i think you are going to push through on the hard stuff? do you have any idea the propaganda campaign you will be facing when you try to investigate trump corruption? the ice killers and rapists? court expansion?

One thing that makes this administration particularly dangerous is that it is filled with people who, like the president himself, have committed very many obvious crimes in the last 18 months and who know that the only way to stay out of prison is to stay in power.

Stephanie Kirchgaessner@skirchy.bsky.social · 2d ago

Exclusive: RFK Jr lied in Senate confirmation hearings, newly revealed documents indicate. Stellar reporting by @bymichellersmith.com based on documents obtained by @theguardian.com and @apnews.com www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

For month-to-month movements, the payrolls survey is overwhelmingly more informative than the household survey. But when the two diverge over longer periods, there's more reason to worry that the household survey is telling us something.

Line chart titled "The household survey is showing even weaker job growth than the payrolls survey" comparing two measures of U.S. employment from late 2025 through July 2026. The household survey peaked at 158 million workers in November 2025 but has since declined by 1.5 million jobs to 156.5 million. Meanwhile, the payrolls survey has continued rising steadily to 158.9 million jobs. This has created a widening gap of approximately 2.4 million jobs between the two measures, with the divergence becoming particularly pronounced since January 2026.

That's a big kick in the guts. Payrolls is much weaker, and the U.S. lost -23k jobs in March, well below expectations of +80k. Huge downward revisions, too: May now +63k (instead of +129k), June now +20k (down from +53k). Very bad news. Revise down your views substantially.

The core economic pitch for Trump's mass deportations was "fewer immigrants means more jobs for Americans. Unsurprisingly, that's just not happening Instead of rising, prime-age employment rates for native-born Americans fell to the lowest levels in more than four years in data released today

A graph of prime-age employment rates for native and foreign-born