"Left behind" and an undemocratic mind? Happy to see that my article on the link between perceived marginalization and democratic orientations is now out in @ejprjournal.bsky.social 🧵👇 Read the article here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

How to explain the “credibility revolution” in a few minutes? "I" "made" a short video that tries to show why clever (natural) experiments and research design beat pure statistical adjustment for causal claims. I am genuinely curious what methods people think: youtu.be/Fv14ktwA31Q?...

The Causal Revolution: Why Research Design trumps (regression) models for causal claims

YouTube video by Alexander Wuttke

youtu.be

Multiverse studies seem doomed to perpetuate a cycle of "look it varies!" "but not that much" "does too!". Here's another exchange that I had missed. "Robustness is better assessed with a few thoughtful models than with billions of regressions" doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

I wrote a longer essay on how social status matters for far-right support. Many still wrongly associate the far right with the economically left behind. Taking social status seriously also cautions against the idea that deliverism will win back far-right voters. equitablegrowth.org/threats-to-s...

Threats to social status and support for far-right political parties

How economic threats to social status in the form of unemployment risk and rental market risk affects support for the far right in Europe.

equitablegrowth.org

Ständig werden aus statistisch völlig irrelevanten Unterschieden alarmistische Schlagzeilen produziert. Ist das noch Clickbaiting oder schon Desinformation?

🥳 I'm excited that my project on opinion formation around the future of citizenship has received funding by @dfg.de 🔎 On this highly polarized issue, I will investigate opinion and opinion change in 4 migration societies. 💡This will include an issue-specific analysis of the transnational cleavage.

Thrilled and honoured that my Vitoria Gasteiz TEDx talk is now featured on the main TED.com website- I discuss how far-right parties tap into people’s economic insecurities and distrust of institutions to rebrand their exclusionary policies: www.ted.com/talks/daphne...

What’s behind the rise of far right politics in Europe

Far-right parties are gaining popularity worldwide. Why is that? Political researcher Daphne Halikiopoulou reveals how rising leaders tap into people’s economic insecurities and distrust of institutio...

ted.com

NEW - The Politics of Small Business Owners - cup.org/3GSWFBd "experience of being a small business owner leads people to adopt conservative views on government regulation" - Neil Malhotra, Yotam Margalit & Saikun Shi #OpenAccess

🚨 Next GLES data release for #BTW25: GLES Cross-Section 2025 (ZA10100) 💻📝 CAWI/PAPI 👥Sample = 7,337 📅 Fieldwork: 24/02/25 - 23/04/25 🌍CSES Module 6 included 📥 doi.org/10.4232/5.ZA10100.1.0.0

🚨 New GLES release for #BTW25: GLES Rolling Cross-Section 2025 (ZA10101) 💻📱 CAWI | 👥 daily samples, total n = 8,562 📅 Fieldwork: 06/01/25 – 31/03/25 🔄 Pre- and post-election waves in RCS design plus supplementary wave 📥 doi.org/10.4232/5.ZA...

NEW - Winning Votes and Changing Minds: Do Populist Arguments Affect Candidate Evaluations and Issue Preferences? - cup.org/4jGIsVP - @markuskollberg.bsky.social, @benlauderdale.bsky.social & @chriswratil.bsky.social #OpenAccess

NEW - Choosing Democracy Over Party? How Civic Education Can Mitigate the Anti-Democratic Effects of Partisan Polarization - cup.org/4iooX3d - Melek Hilal Eroglu, Steven E. Finkel, @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @aykutozturk.bsky.social & Ericka G. Rascón Ramírez #OpenAccess

Don't miss the chance to join this #GESISworkshop!

GESIS Training@gesistraining.bsky.social · last yr.

Would you like to learn about the power of data visualization in #rstats for exploration, explanation, and presentation of data? Then join us for our upcoming #GESISworkshop with Paul C. Bauer! More information & registration at ➡️ t1p.de/data-visual-...

Exceptionally long, but familiarly pompous and uniformed, puff piece on the “good” nativism of Mette Frederiksen in Denmark. Completely ignores most basic data and, of course, any academic research. Some quick points 🧵

Basierend auf einer Vielzahl von Datenquellen zeigen wir in unserem Research Brief eine Sache: Verluste an die radikale Rechte sind nur marginal relevant für die elektorale Krise der Sozialdemokratie. Anders gesagt: heutige Wähler von radikal rechts sind keine früheren Sozialdemokraten.

pw-portal@pw-portal.bsky.social · last yr.

Haben Stimmenverluste an die radikale Rechte die Krise der Sozialdemokratie (mit-)verursacht? Anhand verschiedener Datenquellen zeigen @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @thmskrr.bsky.social, @markuswagner.bsky.social & Daniel Bischof in Teil 5 der #PPRNet, dass diese These ein Mythos ist. #BTW2025 #polisky

Whole journals would go belly up

Julia M. Rohrer@dingdingpeng.the100.ci · last yr.

New blog post! Sometimes, when reviewing a manuscript, it's really unclear to me what precisely the authors are trying to do -- which makes it hard to evaluate the work properly. So, here's some advice for how to ensure that readers don't get lost. www.the100.ci/2025/02/17/r...

📊 Neues AUTNES Daten Dashboard ist live! 🎉 Es bietet Einblicke in die politischen Entwicklungen in #Österreich von 2017 bis 2024. Basierend auf der #AUTNES Online Panel Study lässt sich die Dynamik der öffentlichen Meinung über mehrere #Wahlen hinweg erkunden. 🗳️🔍🧵 🔗 131.130.71.40:3838/autnes/

In Europe, the #farright 𝗼𝘄𝗻𝘀 the #immigration issue. Yet, following a knife attack, the leader of the centre-right #CDU has decided to go 'all-in' (his actual words) on immigration. But even after days of relentless coverage, international security & the economy 𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗹 top the electorate's agenda.

A few thoughts on the urban-rural divide in the upcoming German election (Thread). First: the benchmark. The 2021 election saw the strongest urban-rural divide in decades. With AfD and Greens, two parties had more distinct rural/urban voter support than any party had in recent elections 1/8

Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...