Overshot the Carrying Capacity
@overshot.bsky.social
Opinionated cartoons and views on how we are doing, backed with evidence. Happy to learn more. Unfortunately my limited talent to draw isn't matching ideas in my head. I seem to be using this account for commentary. Pls assume I'm mortified by any typos.
I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.
This is what I think of when people complain that climate activists are 'disruptive'
Climate News@climatenews.bsky.social · 4d agoWithin the next 2 decades half the entire world’s infrastructure will be located in places where we can no longer survive. Half the global human population will need to migrate in the next 20 years just to survive.
Nice global wildfire analysis by @simonoxfphys.com , especially regarding reporting vs data.
What everyone misses about wildfires
YouTube video by Simon Clark
youtu.be
Bordeaux, France, has now recorded more days above 40°C in 2026 alone than during the entire 105-year period from 1920 (when observations began) to 2025. This is deeply shocking.
Abandon all hope, ye who enter here. Hard hitting graphs, and analysis. Clouds, EEI, stratification, El Nino
Tom Harris and Jan Umsonst_Climate inferno and Emerging Tail Risks and Temp Jumps_HPAC_July 13, 2026
YouTube video by Healthy Planet Action Coalition
youtu.be
So this year, nuclear power facilities have been surrounded by war (Ukraine), powered down due to hot rivers (France), been close to wild fires (Suffolk, UK), are at risk from sea level rise (worldwide) and remain exceedingly expensive. At least none of them have actively failed this year AFAIK.
Reuters Institute at Oxford: global results. Social feeds now worldwide the top source of news. In case you were wondering why we are this broken.
America. 'The planet's most powerful heat dome will be located over the Desert Southwest on Saturday, with numerous temperature records expected. Current forecast highs of 116 degrees in Las Vegas, 117 in Phoenix, 122 in Needles and pushing 130 in Death Valley?!' Ben Noll [x] #FossilFuels
Pyrocene. This fire globe surprised me, so I started googling different countries to see if they have active wildfires ongoing. Yep, they do. I guess the next question is: how does this compare to "normal" for those countries, and where is this heading. France's 34x is quite something though.
This is such a great visualization of the carbon cycle and of how humanity has completely altered it within a geological instant. Visualization by @rarohde.bsky.social. 1/
This new study finds that the total death toll in Europe during the June heatwave exceeds 20,000 people. "This result highlights the accelerating threat of mass heat mortality events in Europe despite previous adaptations to heat." Pre-print here: zenodo.org/records/2108...
"The asteroid is in clear view and every person on the planet who’s paying the least bit of attention can see it."
Prof. Eliot Jacobson@climatecasino.net · last wk.My latest on Substack: open.substack.com/pub/climatec...
"The big tipping point was 2002. In that yr, & every yr since, Canada’s managed forest has lost C to the atmosphere. That’s 22 straight yrs of annual CO2 emissions. This clearly isn’t a problem caused by a few freak yrs. It’s an every-yr crisis & the crisis is accelerating" -@bsaxifrage.bsky.social
23.07.2026 : 153 359 commercial flights were tracked across the 🌎 It is so fun to warm the planet, isn't it? Guess what will happen next #ClimateCrisis #Metacrisis #WarOnNature
"2026 and 1997 are El Niño twins, both featuring 8°C ocean temperature anomalies beneath the surface of the Pacific. But they're not identical. This year's El Niño is warmer across a wider region, meaning there's more heat in the tank and its impacts won't exactly mirror 1997." Ben Noll
The race is on. The stakes are high. Understanding. Without that, why should anybody listen? See Beware Media Hype – mailchi.mp/caa/beware-m... Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/beware-med...
I am increasingly of the opinion that the speed of climatic change and the associated impacts are going to catch billions of people completely off-guard. The level of complacency as this speeds toward us is mind blowing.
Global sea-surface temperatures just reached their 50th consecutive record hot day and are expected to continue to rise for another month. This is so far beyond 'bonkers' (technical climate science term) that the Climate 8-ball has decided to start drinking early today.
SSTs have been record territory since 17 Jun "So?" some say. This translates into among other things - marine ecosystem stress - lower oxygen in seawater - increased humidity leading to more dangerous heat on land - intensification of heatwaves - impacts on fisheries This is a full-blown crisis
Norway, the much celebrated Green country: "Approximately 98% of Norway’s electricity production is from either hydro or wind power" (reported by the EEA) .... but also profiting from their fossil fuel exports.
Norway’s national oil company’s profits double to $11.5bn amid war on Iran
Equinor benefits from decision to increase oil and gas production during strait of Hormuz blockades
theguardian.com
Corals dying, ocean dead zones, wet bulb limits, flash droughts, mass migrations, sea ice dropping. Permafrost thaw. > 70% UK voters planning to choose a party that will prioritise growth over the climate and biodiversity which underpins our existence. The definition of "This is fine" thinking.
Yellow Dot Studios@yellowdotstudios.bsky.social · 2w agoNothing to see here!
Yes, we project that 2026 will be the warmest year. If others will provide the physical basis for their projections, we have an opportunity to learn something from this natural “experiment.” See 2026 Experiment – tinyurl.com/3x9e6w3z Also available on Substack: tinyurl.com/2d7uv77e
Three heatwaves and an unprecedented start to summer have parched France at a record pace. In just a few weeks, the country has turned from green to brown.
Pierre Dezeraud@pierredzrd.bsky.social · 2w ago3 canicules et un début d'été sans précédent ont desséché la France à une vitesse record. En une poignée de semaines, l'Hexagone a viré du vert au brun. Situation désormais critique dont on ne voit pas le bout : toute la fin juillet pourrait rester au sec. Image : 20h de France 2/ Météo France
4 years ago today the UK exceeded 40°C for the first time in recorded history. Multiple over stations exceeded the previous all time temperature record and several other stations reached or exceeded 40°C, the high was of course 40.3°C.
We will lose the night sky, impacting humans and wildlife alike. They have no right to do this.
Just a little of what was going on 6 years ago today.
