Pablo Rivas-Robledo

@pablorivasrobledo.bsky.social

PhD student at the ILLC in Amsterdam Host of @pingpongphilosophy.bsky.social

This paper marks an important milestone for me, because ten years ago when I started working on the theory of metascience, I realized mainstream metascience wasn't going in the direction I initially hoped it would. After the psychology reproducibility project got published, I could not stop

Berna Devezer@devezer.bsky.social · 3mo ago

📣 The difference between replicable and not replicable is not itself scientifically replicable. 📣 New work with Erkan Buzbas, showing that verdicts such as "X% of results replicated" are based on an inferential machinery that doesn't work. arxiv.org/abs/2604.26268

Screenshot of a paper's title page. Title: "The Difference Between 'Replicable' and 'Not replicable' is not Itself Scientifically Replicable". Authors: Berna Devezer and Erkan O. Buzbas, both at the University of Idaho — Devezer in the Department of Business and the Institute for Modeling Collaboration and Innovation, Buzbas in the Department of Mathematics and Statistical Science. Authors contributed equally. Corresponding author: bdevezer@uidaho.edu.
Abstract: Replication studies estimate the replicability rate of scientific results by aggregating binary verdicts of experiments. Exact replications are rarely attainable, so most replication sequences are non-exact. Experiments differ in ways that matter and do not share a single common data-generating process. We formalize two statistical interpretations of this non-exactness. In a shared latent rate model (benchmark), experiments are exchangeable and depend on a common random replicability rate. In a conditionally independent rates model (operational), each experiment has its own replicability rate drawn independently from a population distribution. Under the shared latent rate model, even small variability among replicability rates induces an irreducible variance floor on the estimated mean replicability rate that cannot be eliminated by adding more replications. Under the conditionally independent rates model, the degree of non-exactness is not identifiable from standard replication data, because one binary verdict per experiment contains no information about between-experiment heterogeneity. Researchers therefore cannot tell which precision regime they are operating in or whether high- and low-replicability sequences can be distinguished in principle. As a result, the usual data structure of one binary verdict per experiment cannot support reliable demarcation between "replicable" and "not replicable" results and systematically understates uncertainty, making high- and low-replicability sequences appear discrim…

Bayesians are like listen up FUCKERS, we SOLVED epistemology. And it turns out you can believe WHATEVER YOU WANT provided it’s not LITERALLY INCONSISTENT and you CHOSE THE RIGHT OPINIONS before LOOKING AT THE EVIDENCE AT ALL

Congratulations to Barbara Vetter! Her work is a must read in the theory of modality. She has been crafting her theory over many years and it's great to see a fellow possible world agnostic receive such an award! You can learn more about her work on our podcast! youtu.be/RpVWA9jXG4w?...

Barbara Vetter on grounding possibility in the real world, human abilities and more! I EP 6

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Justin Weinberg@dailynous.com · 8mo ago

One of this year's recipients of the prestigious Leibniz prize is a philosopher...

The season finale is here. What a ride. And to end it on a high note, I had the pleasure to meet with my co-supervisro and an absolutely stellar philosopher, Luca Incurvati. In the two years we have been working together I have learned tons, and in this interview I learned even more. Thank you, Luca

Ping Pong Philosophy 🏓@pingpongphilosophy.bsky.social · 8mo ago

🏓 The Ping Pong Philosophy Season Finale is here! 🎙️ We wrap up our very first season with Luca Incurvati, one of today’s leading voices in logic and the philosophy of mathematics. OUT NOW on Spotify and YouTube! https://open.spotify.com/episode/3PvxF4QjmlxJFwtW5Rdj5q?si=7SfQi1FySGCPCBqm9ak5WQ

I think it is always a pleasure to know that analytical philosophy is doing well and it is genuinly concerned with philosophical problems that have real world repercusions. That is why it was a pleasure to interview Mari Mikkola for @pingpongphilosophy.bsky.social, who is one those.

Ping Pong Philosophy 🏓@pingpongphilosophy.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Mari Mikkola on hate speech, feminism, metaphysics… and surviving Phenomenology of Spirit. 🎙️ A must-listen episode of Ping Pong Philosophy! Check it out now! https://youtu.be/VZDW77ou2iA

Over the summer I had the chance to go to the SIFA conference and attend the keynote talks. The first day Mario de Caro gave a fantastic talk on Virtue Ethics and AI systems that inspired me to reach him and ask him to do an episode. 24 hours later we recorded this interview. Thank you, Mario.

Ping Pong Philosophy 🏓@pingpongphilosophy.bsky.social · 8mo ago

I talked with Mario de Caro, Professor of Philosophy at Tufts University and Università Roma Tre, about virtue ethics for AI, free will, and the time he managed to make Hilary Putnam change his mind. Check out the podcast on Spotify and YouTube!  https://youtu.be/nSEJGjq0Vko 🎙️🏓

mr president sir theres a story coming about how you intervened to help a sex criminal. no sir, not that sex criminal you helped….no not that one either…sir, please stop guessing sex criminals that you helped. ill give you a hint sir, hes a trafficker. no sir, not that trafficker a different one

Chris Morran@themorrancave.bsky.social · 9mo ago

NEW: When Andrew Tate landed in the US, Customs & Border Protection seized his electronic devices. But @propublica.org found that a White House official told DHS to return the devices, emphasizing that the request came from the White House. By @robert-faturechi.bsky.social & Avi Asher-Schapiro

We now on episode seven, which was actually the first episode we recorded. This was huge, because I was going to interview none other than Filippo Ferrari, who is a mandatory reference when studying issues in the normativity of truth, something that our research project touches on.

Filippo Ferrari on dualism, reading Kaplan and normativity I EP 7

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Ping Pong Philosophy 🏓@pingpongphilosophy.bsky.social · 9mo ago

We forgot to post the link! youtu.be/RT1LdPXPjjA

Although possible world semantics has become the standard way to treat modality in contemporary analytic philosophy people like Barbara Vetter have pushed to understand it better in terms that are relevant for us humans in the actual world. I got to sit down with her for Ping Pong Philosophy. Enjoy!

Ping Pong Philosophy 🏓@pingpongphilosophy.bsky.social · 9mo ago

In this episode of Ping Pong Philosophy 🏓, I talk with Barbara Vetter, Professor of Theoretical Philosophy at Freie Universität Berlin and co-director of the Human Abilities Centre for Advanced Studies, about possibility, human abilities, and more!

TOMORROW! 🎙️🏓 A brand new episode of Ping Pong Philosophy drops! This time, I sat down with Barbara Vetter to talk about grounding possibility in the real world, human abilities and why philosophers study anthropology and developmental psychology. You don’t want to miss this one!

🏓 One of my favorite conversations this season with Massimo Pigliucci, K.D. Irani Professor of Philosophy at CCNY. We got into Stoicism, the tricky line between science and pseudo-science, and why philosophy and science need each other more than ever. 🎙️ Ep 5 of Ping Pong Philosophy drops tomorrow!

For the fourth episode (and one of my favourites so far) I got to interview @lisamherzog.bsky.social. It was a pleasure to listen to her "slightly crazy" takes on political philosophy, going to the opera (which she suggests to all philosophy students) and anarchism. Watch/listen here or on Spotify!

Ping Pong Philosophy 🏓@pingpongphilosophy.bsky.social · 9mo ago

In this episode of Ping Pong Philosophy 🏓, I talk with Lisa Herzog, Full Professor and Aletta Jacobs Chair of Philosophy, Politics and Economics at the University of Groningen, about anarchism, philosophy at the opera, and the importance of sustainable work.

Back when I was an undergrad I stumbled upon a video of a certain Franz Berto who boldly claimed that the laws of logic are not only about how we reason in our mind, but that they applied to reality as such. Years later I was able sit down with him for a chat. New episode of Ping Pong Φ out now!

Ping Pong Philosophy 🏓@pingpongphilosophy.bsky.social · 10mo ago

🌍 Are possible worlds just as real as our own? And what role does imagination play in logic and metaphysics? In this episode 🏓, I talk with Franz Berto, Professor at the University of St. Andrews, about modal realism, imagination, and what we can learn from reading Wittgenstein’s Tractatus.