modelled my new website after severance... because it represents academic life well.. prashantgarg.org
Prashant Garg
@prashantgarg.bsky.social
Econ Postdoc @Cambridge. PhD @imperial. AI and networks in economics. www.prashantgarg.org
We know surprisingly little about how automation will unfold outside rich countries. So we built the Global Automation Atlas: 18,000 tasks, 124 countries, and 2.3 million task-country comparisons.
How do empty high streets contribute to support for populist parties in England? And what does that mean for local and national politics? Analysis from @trfetzer.com @prashantgarg.bsky.social @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social for @lsebr.bsky.social in the wake of the Reform surge in the local elections.
How empty high streets contribute to support for populist parties in England - LSE Business Review
How does decline in local neighbourhoods impact political discourse and competition?
blogs.lse.ac.uk
New working paper with @asvalero.bsky.social, Arjun Shah & Dennis Verhoeven: Spillovers from Science cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/publica...
Spillovers from science
Quantifying spillovers from scientific knowledge to technology is important for understanding the social returns to science and for designing policy. A key challenge is how to credit scientific work with the value generated in downstream technologies when ideas diffuse through chains of follow-on research. We propose a new measure - Science Rank - that uses the combined patent and paper citation network to assign a share of the private value of patented inventions to the scientific papers they directly or indirectly rely on. Validated against various types of scientific awards, the measure substantially outperforms direct patent-to-paper citation counts in identifying influential science. We document large heterogeneity in spillovers across countries, disciplines, and institutions. The US emerges from our analysis as a powerhouse of science spillovers, benefiting both domestic and foreign technology development. We apply our methodology to examine how different countries and individual institutions contribute to innovation that addresses global challenges such as climate change or more equal economic development. We find that a relatively large share of the total value generated by research in Lower and Middle Income Country (LMIC) feeds into climate change related innovation. We also highlight countries and institutions that are making particular contributions to LMIC innovation.
cep.lse.ac.uk
As AI lowers the cost of producing papers, asking the right question matters more. I built Frontier Graph: an open-source tool to explore open questions in economics, drawing on 240K papers across 300 journals. Paper, code, and public data are all here: frontiergraph.com
It’s becoming clear the “paper” format is going to change. We treat each result as a small, portable claim (X→Y + how it’s supported) and stitch those claims into a graph. Major update to Paper with @trfetzer.com full code + data below. 👇
Great to see our paper -- with @trfetzer.com and @prashantgarg.bsky.social -- on local decline in the UK featured in this Guardian piece. www.theguardian.com/business/202...
Doom loop of decline: how struggling high streets fuel far-right sympathies in UK
Retail accounts for 5% of the UK economy – but its visibility gives it an outsize influence on public perception
theguardian.com
Does science follow where people are sick and does it mobilize when outbreaks hit? @zhou-hy.bsky.social, @trfetzer.com and I answer just that in our revised paper. 1/ A short thread for highlights 👇
“When researchers randomly displayed these flood risk estimates to 18M people browsing Redfin, those who saw the feature were more likely to search for homes w/ low flood risk, according to a working paper published in the Nat’l Bureau of Economic Research last Nov*.”🧪 * www.nber.org/papers/w33119
Expecting Climate Change: A Nationwide Field Experiment in the Housing Market
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
nber.org
You can still find property level climate risk scores on Redfin Zillow Removes Climate Risk Scores From Home Listings www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/c...
Cool new data set from @reubenhurst.bsky.social and coauthors: politicsatwork.org Associated papers: -Political segregation in the US workplace papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... -VRscores: A New Measure and Dataset of Workforce Politics Using Voter Registrations papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
TOMORROW (12 November): AYEW Big Data/Machine Learning Workshop! Join us at 9pm AEDT (10am GMT) to @prashantgarg.bsky.social (@imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social), Zhenkai (Cambridge), Saani (University of Cincinnati), Luka (@ucsandiego.bsky.social ) Sign up for Zoom link: monash.edu/business/imp...
Can AI tell us anything meaningful about Bob Dylan’s songs? Delighted to share a new essay in @aeon.co breaking down an artists' evolution using AI extracted idea graphs. aeon.co/essays/can-a...
Not long left to apply for our Assistant Professor in Computational Social Science vacancy❗ 📚 jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/... Apply before 26 October and join an internationally outstanding group of social science methodologists 🌎
Delighted to share this new work. Check this thread by @zhou-hy.bsky.social. We use LLMs to analyse medical research to see whether it responds to local disease burdens.
🚨Thrilled to share our paper🚨 Does science focus on the diseases that hurt people the most? When deadly outbreaks hit, how does research respond? Our work with: @prashantgarg.bsky.social @trfetzer.com shows how medical research worldwide responds to both endemic burdens and emergencies. 🧵👇
New paper on where medical research happens vs where disease burden is.
🚨Thrilled to share our paper🚨 Does science focus on the diseases that hurt people the most? When deadly outbreaks hit, how does research respond? Our work with: @prashantgarg.bsky.social @trfetzer.com shows how medical research worldwide responds to both endemic burdens and emergencies. 🧵👇
WE ARE HIRING! 2 Lecturers in Quantitative Social Science. Want a friendly interdisciplinary department in one of the world's most vibrant cities? This just might be for you. Apply by: 10 Oct www.ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/...
Happy to share this paper. Full thread coming soon!
New preprint out today on Why Academics Are Leaving Twitter for Bluesky: arxiv.org/abs/2505.24801 By @dorianquelle.bsky.social @fdenker.bsky.social and @prashantgarg.bsky.social. Just in time for Dorian's talk at the Networks in Science of Science satellite at #NetSci2025 this afternoon
🚨 Tariffs on inputs = tax on downstream products.🚨 Here’s cement’s granular production network. A 50% duty on key inputs propagates costs through roads, buildings, data-centres, and renewable infrastructure. Public data, method & our paper in thread 🧵 0/8
"If you look at page 1 of the tariff handbook, it says: Don't tariff inputs. It's the simplest way to make it harder—more expensive—for Americans to do business. Any factory around the world can get the steel, copper, and aluminum it needs without paying a 50% upcharge, except an American factory."
🚨 Tariffs on inputs = tax on downstream products.🚨 Here’s cement’s granular production network. A 50% duty on key inputs propagates costs through roads, buildings, data-centres, and renewable infrastructure. Public data, method & our paper in thread 🧵 0/8
"If you look at page 1 of the tariff handbook, it says: Don't tariff inputs. It's the simplest way to make it harder—more expensive—for Americans to do business. Any factory around the world can get the steel, copper, and aluminum it needs without paying a 50% upcharge, except an American factory."
Find more about evolving field of metascience of economics. Network approach to metascience will lower transaction costs of effort targeting
Paper by @prashantgarg.bsky.social analyzing causal claims in economics from 44,000 NBER and CEPR working papers: arxiv.org/abs/2501.06873
Paper by @prashantgarg.bsky.social analyzing causal claims in economics from 44,000 NBER and CEPR working papers: arxiv.org/abs/2501.06873
Causal Claims in Economics
We analyze over 44,000 NBER and CEPR working papers from 1980 to 2023 using a custom language model to construct knowledge graphs that map economic concepts and their relationships. We distinguish bet...
arxiv.org
conducting a systematic review of climate politics literature in political science and economics using the CPF. Here we draw inspiration from the work by @prashantgarg.bsky.social and @trfetzer.com on causal claims in economics. www.causal.claims cepr.org/voxeu/column...
causal.claims
Submit to the Leibniz Open Science Day 2025 taking place on October 27 in Berlin, organized with @leventneyse.bsky.social @jrgptrs.bsky.social @dsiegfried1.bsky.social @macartan.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @rwi.bsky.social @diw.de @zbw-leibniz.bsky.social www.zbw.eu/de/ueber-uns... 1/2
Leibniz Open Science Day 2025: Better Science for Better Policies
Where? Berlin. When? 27 October 2025. Replications and meta-studies in particular are becoming increasingly crucial to ensure the reliability and validity of scientific research findings.
zbw.eu
This graph from @economist.com reveals a major pivot in #economics toward data and empirical work, with theory and modeling taking a back seat. The underlying data is open source at www.causal.claims 🏷️ @prashantgarg.bsky.social @trfetzer.com
2/ Discipline matters. Social Sci (27%) and Arts & Human. (31%) lead the exodus; Med & Health lag (13%). Twitter signals (followers, PageRank, posting) predict migration better than h-index or citations. Take-away: Your Twitter presence, not your CV, determines if you jump ship.
An analysis of ~100,000 academics finds that a small subset of academics generate majority of social media posts. That vocal minority can skew how the public—and even journalists—infer “academic consensus,” potentially fueling false perceptions. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Political expression of academics on Twitter - Nature Human Behaviour
An analysis of nearly 100,000 academics on Twitter reveals strong progressive stances on climate and social issues, driven by a small, vocal subset. The study highlights potential gaps between academi...
nature.com
Full data at www.academicexpression.online and raw data potentially available on filling the form
Academia and Politics
Welcome to the Academic Social Media Expression Project Academics have traditionally played a vital role in both the generation and dissemination of knowledge, ideas, and narratives. In today's digita...
academicexpression.online
1/ 🚨 Hot off the press! Our study “Political Expression of Academics on Social Media” with @trfetzer.com is now peer-reviewed & live in Nature Human Behaviour @nature.com 🎉. Thread 👇
Some interesting insights here, including that people are much more influenced by *people they follow* switching platforms than by their own *followers* switching platforms. Preprint: "Why Academics are Leaving Twitter for Bluesky" arxiv.org/abs/2505.24801
Preprint: "Why Academics are Leaving Twitter for #Bluesky" (via #arXiv) arxiv.org/abs/2505.24801 @bsky.app #socialmedia