Ravi Mangla
@ravimangla.bsky.social
Press Secretary @nywfp | Author of The Observant and Understudies
"In 2015, Trump descended the golden escalator not as a politician but as a showman. Trump’s skills weren’t learned at Ivy Leagues but in WWE arenas and behind the desk of The Apprentice. He spent his entire career embodying the behavior of a whale."
The Theory of the Whale
Trump’s skills weren’t learned at Ivy Leagues but in WWE arenas and behind the desk of The Apprentice
signalbreak.substack.com
"The most persuasive version of change combines anti-establishment energy with concrete working-class priorities." The key elements of this candidate posture: • Challenge concentrated power • Demonstrate independence from party leadership • Connect change to material improvements in people’s lives
Ravi Mangla@ravimangla.bsky.social · 6d agoNEW: Polling of 18 Cook-rated toss-up districts shatters conventional wisdom about how to win in a swing district. Independents *and* moderates want outsider candidates who will stand up to the political establishment. The middle of the road is where you get run over.
NEW poll in 18 toss-up districts (with a sample that voted Trump 48-45) shows independents & moderates are *not* looking for the archetypical Moderate candidate — and are not dissuaded if outsiders are labeled too far left. Strong support for Israel was the *least* appealing quality in a candidate.
EXCLUSIVE: New Poll Shows Swing District Voters Prefer 'Outsiders' to Boring Centrists
Survey shared with Zeteo has a sample skewed towards Trump voters but shows strong support for Israel is the least appealing candidate trait. Plus, is Trump about to pull his controversial AG nominee?
zeteo.com
New poll from Working Families Party demonstrates what we're seeing across the country. Voters are tired of status quo candidates. They want change candidates to track a new future. This is exciting. Let's go. ❤️✊🏽 Full poll: workingfamilies.org/wp-content/u...
Our ideas about what makes a candidate "electable" are completely off. The Dem establishment doesn't want candidates who punch up at power and confront party leadership—but that's *exactly* what swing voters want.
Maurice Mitchell 🐺@mauricewfp.bsky.social · 6d agoWe polled voters in 18 toss-up districts and the results are clear: voters want candidates who will challenge the political establishment, not give it cover. Here are some interesting findings from @workingfamilies.org... 🧵
We polled voters in 18 toss-up districts and the results are clear: voters want candidates who will challenge the political establishment, not give it cover. Here are some interesting findings from @workingfamilies.org... 🧵
NEW: Polling of 18 Cook-rated toss-up districts shatters conventional wisdom about how to win in a swing district. Independents *and* moderates want outsider candidates who will stand up to the political establishment. The middle of the road is where you get run over.
ICE agents keep killing people. Now, they aren’t even trying to explain it away. www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
What ICE didn't say about its latest killing
The agency is no longer even claiming its officers feared for their lives.
motherjones.com
Fascinating thing happening in Michigan. Populist Will Lawrence is winning over Republicans and independents by running on fighting back against data centers. Latest polling shows him as the *only Dem* beating Tom Barrett in a head-to-head. Huge political realignment.
Biggest takeaways of the cycle so far: ✅ Dem voters are extremely pissed off (much more than DC insiders realize) ✅ Dark money spending is not moving the needle (or, in some cases, backfiring) for incumbents ✅ Gaza is seen as a moral litmus test for Dem candidates
A new poll shows that these Americans are worried that AI will eliminate their jobs—and they want the government to do something about it. trib.al/HPUqTvg
Democrats Are Missing a Huge Opportunity to Win Working-Class Voters
A new poll shows that these Americans are worried that AI will eliminate their jobs—and they want the government to do something about it.
trib.al
*3% of GDP. That is what Musk's net worth represents. At the height of his fortune, Rockefeller's net worth was 1.4% of GDP
Among likely New York voters: Working Families Party net favorability: Overall: +24 Independents: +19 Democratic Party net favorability: Overall: -3 Independents: -29 (D4P/IMEU poll - 5/20 - 5/26)
"Mr. Villegas called Ms. Bains 'Republican-lite,' noting that both she and Mr. Valadao had accepted money from corporate donors. 'It’s not even this fight about left versus right—it’s bottom versus top,' he said."
Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez Try Boosting Progressives in Red Districts
nytimes.com
In case you want to read about the RNC's super in-depth 2012 autopsy and how it helped the GOP regain power.
We Deserve a Party that Takes Us Seriously
What we can learn from the Republicans' loss in the 2012 presidential election
signalbreak.substack.com
Bernie endorses @wewill2026.bsky.social in a competitive three-way primary in MI-7. "Lawrence has endorsed Sanders’s call for a national moratorium on AI datacenters until lawmakers develop stringent regulations."
Absolutely wild. A doctor running for Congress with the DCCC's backing wouldn't support legislation on the HPV vaccine. Bains said she's willing to "buck consensus."
@ravimangla.bsky.social: “An imperfect narrative heard many times, from many directions, will always beat out a stronger narrative heard only once or twice.” How to build the message infrastructure we need? As @ritti.bsky.social teaches: MAP, SEED, ECHO, INVITE. convergencemag.com/articles/sur...
Surround Sound Communications: How to Build a Narrative Machine
A single canvass conversation doesn’t shift how people understand their world. What does is encountering the same frame across contexts—at their door, in a group chat, in a news story…
convergencemag.com
This week, the House voted to expand ICE’s powers to go after people accused of shoplifting and minor retail crimes, enabling them to collect and share even more of our private data to aid their mass surveillance machine. (1/2)
Homeland Security finds a new sneaky way to steal your data
In a barely publicized House vote on Tuesday evening, 144 Democrats joined 203 Republicans to pass the Combating Organized Retail Crime Act—one of the biggest ICE power grabs of President Donald Trump...
dailykos.com
Part of the reason we can’t reckon with the threat of AI is that we can’t imagine a world in which our supremacy is ever challenged.
New research suggests that reliance on AI assistants can have a negative impact on people’s ability to think and problem solve.
Using AI for Just 10 Minutes Might Make You Lazy and Dumb, Study Shows
New research suggests that reliance on AI assistants can have a negative impact on people’s ability to think and problem solve.
wrd.cm
Progressives aren’t happy, and say that the DCCC’s decision to elevate certain candidates over others betrays an inability to learn from Democrats’ past mistakes. buff.ly/YmYzrgw
Establishment Dems and the Self-Fulfilling Prophecy of Moderation
The DCCC endorsed eight moderate candidates, even in races where their progressive challengers have the momentum.
buff.ly
Everyone and their mother is running on affordability. But do they actually mean it?
Not enough candidates are talking about the scam economy
Maybe we should be more worried about this
A.I. Bots Told Scientists How to Make Biological Weapons
nytimes.com
Media is changing and political communications has yet to catch up. Read here: signalbreak.substack.com/p/actually-t...
There's a classic moderate v. populist primary in a swing seat in California's Central Valley. But the moderate, Jasmeet Bains, has tailored views to different audiences: she's been both for & against Medicare for All, & that Israel is & isn't committing genocide. @emmarjanssen.bsky.social reports.
How Do You Beat a Central Valley Republican? - The American Prospect
Two Democrats in California’s 22nd District have very different ideas.
prospect.org
In politics, we’ve been taught to deflect, reframe, and pivot away from hard topics. But in an era where media has become democratized and viewers are no longer passive spectators, that strategy no longer works.
