Very much agree with @sebk.bsky.social RE: the AI 2040 plan. In principle, international treaties and regulation are fine. But I'd rather see more emphasis on defensive technologies and freedom. x.com/sebkrier/sta...
Sรฉb Krier (@sebkrier) on X
https://t.co/7HHn2uJ61C
x.com
In my class on AI institutions, the first assignment was to fight over what the assignments should be. That resulted in chaos--which was the lesson. AI will disrupt many parts of society. My class asks: what do we build next? ๐งต danbjork.substack.com/p/the-instit...
The institutions AI will need: notes from class
Teaching AI futures at Columbia University
danbjork.substack.com
1/5 The topic of AI consciousness is sparking growing inquiry. But are we focusing on the problems we can actually solve? I explore this in my new paper: "AI and Consciousness: Shifting Focus Towards Tractable Questions." ๐
kind of like twitter, unfortunately. makes the rare success leapfrogs more interesting as case studies.
Democracy isn't a rulebook. It runs on daily interactions where people comply with norms and hold each other accountable. AI agents are about to join that system. We need to build them to read it. New paper with Rakshit Trivedi and Dylan Hadfield-Menell.
Building AI for the Democratic Matrix: A Technical Research Agenda for Normative Competence and Normative Institutions
To maintain democratic resilience, it is essential to build AI agents capable of choosing behaviors that mirror those of the human agents that constitute human democracies.
knightcolumbia.org
An excellent paper for anyone interested in rigorous physicalist argument against computational functionalism. Alex is a fantastic, careful thinker and influenced my views a lot; we're working on a broader blog post breaking these concepts down, stay tuned!
The memory feature can be very useful at times, but with academic work where I'm trying to understand ideas as objectively as I can and work out what is true, I'm afraid it slants the answers to relate to my existing beliefs in a way that is ultimately unhelpful. 1/n
I find this a strange reaction. Stuff like this has happened to me, and I feel no desire to cut the "offending" people out of my life. A really normal thing for humans to do is to reason through dialogue, especially when it comes to relationships.
Flawless, cathartic, and morally-wise screed that I am sincerely tempted to forward to everyone I've ever met. Preserve your humanity! Eschew the godless bots!!
someone suggested to me the other day that the biggest ai haters are the "smartest guy at thanksgiving dinner" types, because LLMs actually displace their social role of being stuck up know-it-alls to uninformed people it's sort of obviously true if you look at certain banner examples
presented without comment
is it safe to come back here or will any view sympathetic to AI be met with rude/aggro replies
"AI becomes the government" is dystopian: it leads to slop when AI is weak, and is doom-maximizing once AI becomes strong. But AI used well can be empowering, and push the frontier of democratic / decentralized modes ofโฆ https://firefly.social/post/ff-669078d24e3d46ad933c6de23225e55a?s=bsky
Continue reading on Firefly.Social
"AI becomes the government" is dystopian: it leads to slop when AI is weak, and is doom-maximizing once AI becomes strong. But AI used well can be empowering, and push the frontier of democratic / decentralized modes of governance. The core problem with democratic / decentralized modes of governance (including DAOs on ethereum) is limits to human attention: there are many thousands of decisions to make, involving many domains of expertise, and most people don't have the time or skill to be experts in even one, let alone all of them. The usual solution, delegation, is disempowering: it leads to a small group of delegates controlling decision-making while their supporters, after they hit the "delegate" button, have no influence at all. So what can we do? We use personal LLMs to solve the attention problem! Here are a few ideas: ## Personal governance agents If a governance mechanism depends on you to make a large number of decisions, a personal agent can perform all the necessary votes for you, based on preferences that it infers from your personal writing, conversation history, direct statements, etc. If the agent is (i) unsure how you would vote on an issue, and (ii) convinced the issue is important, then it should ask you directly, and give you all relevant context. ## Public conversation agents Making good decisions often cannot come from a linear process of taking people's views that are based only on their own information, and averaging them (even quadratically). There is a need for processes that aggregate many people's information, and then give each person (or their LLM) a chance to respond *based on that*. This includes: * Inferring and summarizing your own views and converting them into a format that can be shared publicly (and does not expose your private info) * Summarizing commonalities between people's inputs (expressed as words), similar to the various LLM+pol.is ideas ## Suggestion markets If a governance mechanism values "high-quality inputs" of any type (this could be proposals, or it could even be arguments), then you can have a prediction market, where anyone can submit an input, AIs can bet on a token representing that input, and if the mechanism "accepts" the input (either accepting the proposal, or accepting it as a "unit" of conversation that it then passes along to its participant), it pays out $X to the holders of the token. Note that this is basically the same as https://firefly.social/post/x/2017956762347835488 ## Decentralized governance with private information One of the biggest weaknesses of highly decentralized / democratic governance is that it does not work well when important decisions need to be made with secret information. Common situations: (i) the org engaging in adversarial conflicts or negotiations (ii) internal dispute resolution (iii) compensation / funding decisions. Typically, orgs solve this by appointing individuals who have great power to take on those tasks. But with multi-party computation (currently I've seen this done with TEEs; I would love to see at least the two-party case solved with garbled circuits https://vitalik.eth.limo/general/2020/03/21/garbled.html so we can get pure-cryptographic security guarantees for it), we could actually take many people's inputs into account to deal with these situations, without compromising privacy. Basically: you submit your personal LLM into a black box, the LLM sees private info, it makes a judgement based on that, and it outputs only that judgement. You don't see the private info, and no one else sees the contents of your personal LLM. ## The importance of privacy All of these approaches involve each participant making use of much more information about themselves, and potentially submitting much larger-sized inputs. Hence, it becomes all the more important to protect privacy. There are two kinds of privacy that matter: * Anonymity of the participant: this can be accomplished with ZK. In general, I think all governance tools should come with ZK built in * Privacy of the contents: this has two parts. First, the personal LLM should do what it can to avoid divulging private info about you that it does not need to divulge. Second, when you have computation that combines multiple LLMs or multiple people's info, you need multi-party techniques to compute it privately. Both are important.
firefly.social
if you're an older person who finds words like mogg and maxxing annoying, just starting using them. people over the age of 30 have the superpower to end trends by simply adopting them
Here's my other new friend from Puerto Rico. Meet the Puerto Rican Tody which has the unfortunate scientific name of 'Todus mexicanus', thanks to a mix-up of samples by a visiting ornithologist in 1830. There's a campaign to rename it to 'Todus borinquensis', the Taรญno name for the island.
Had fun researching this piece, which cites Keynes & Marx but also folks of much more recent vintage, including the economists Phillip Trammell, @briancalbrecht.bsky.social, @aleximas.bsky.social; plus @dwarkesh.bsky.social, @sebk.bsky.social, Boaz Barak, Geoffrey Hinton.
"Even in some places not associated with any radical agenda, questions of abundance and the distribution of income and wealth are steadily moving to the center of debates about the economic future"--my latest column. www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...
ICYM: International bodies for which the US Administration has apparently stopped paying assessed dues include (thread):
Blog: US Funding of International Organizations Has Collapsed With weeks left in FY, US has paid zero toward assessed (membership) contributions to WHO, WTO, FAO, ILO, UNESCO, NATO, OECD, WMO, WIPO & more. FY26 budget suggests paying dues to only 7 out of 46 organizations under the IO account.
What will AI look like by 2030 if current trends hold? Our new report zooms in on two things: (1) whether scaling continues (compute, data, power, capital), and (2) the capabilities this enablesโespecially for scientific R&D.
AI can help protect democracies or empower those who threaten freedom: corporations, oligarchs, or governments. The key question is: who does AI serve? We should all care about the answer, writes Richard Reisman (@rreisman.bsky.social).
To Make Sure AI Advances Democracy, First Ask, โWho Does It Serve?โ | TechPolicy.Press
AI must serve the people who use it to engage in free expression and make democratic decisions, writes Richard Reisman.
techpolicy.press
๐งต Several people have raised questions about what I meant by "deservedly so" when referring to the decline of institutional trust. It's a fair question, so I want to explain that, because it sits at the heart of my work on how democracies collapse when their epistemic foundations rot.
The conditions that have led to whatโs happening in the US today exist in democracies around the world. They are an inevitable outcome of our collective failure to adapt to fundamental changes in the information ecosystem on which our democracies were originally built.
I know Yglesias isn't everyone's favorite, but it's amazing how angry many people -often with PhDs-get at a suggestion that there are tradeoffs in politics. Remarkably, many who purport to believe the republic is hanging by a thread are in the "no compromise with the voters!" camp.
I think a really underrated idea for Democrats would be to to try: (a) Study public opinion accurately (b) Adopt views, especially on social and moral values issues that align with public opinion Or they can try this. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/25/u...
I'm quoted in this fact-check for the claim that the UK has "the 12th largest female health gap in the world", which was widely shared by MPs & media in the UK. The answer is no, andย the male wellness company who calculated this statistic reviewed & deleted their page while this piece was written.
Does the UK really have the 12th largest โfemale health gapโ in the world? โ Full Fact
Unreliable research from a male wellness company, which claimed that women are less healthy than men in the UK, has been widely shared by MPs, the media and institutions around the country.
fullfact.org
Announcing our latest arxiv paper: Societal and technological progress as sewing an ever-growing, ever-changing, patchy, and polychrome quilt arxiv.org/abs/2505.05197 We argue for a view of AI safety centered on preventing disagreement from spiraling into conflict.
Societal and technological progress as sewing an ever-growing, ever-changing, patchy, and polychrome quilt
Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems are increasingly placed in positions where their decisions have real consequences, e.g., moderating online spaces, conducting research, and advising on policy. Ens...
arxiv.org
Join us for our final symposium panel, Panel 7: Transitions to Transformative AI, at 2:15pm ET. Panelists: @jbullockruns.bsky.social, @ruchowdh.bsky.social, @sebk.bsky.social, and Sam Manning. Moderator: @sethlazar.org. #AIDemocraticFreedoms
Not you. take CURSE OF RA ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ก ๐ข ๐ฃ ๐ค ๐ฅ ๐ฆ ๐ง ๐จ ๐ฉ ๐ช ๐ซ ๐ฌ ๐ญ ๐ฎ ๐ฏ ๐ฐ ๐ฑ ๐ฒ ๐ณ ๐ด ๐ต ๐ถ ๐ท ๐ธ ๐น ๐บ ๐ป ๐ผ ๐ฝ ๐พ ๐ฟ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐