John Cassidy

@johncassidysays.bsky.social

Economics writer at The New Yorker. Author of “Capitalism and Its Critics: A History from the Industrial Revolution to AI" and other beach reads.

"You would think that this experience would have taught Bessent the perils of tangling with the financial markets, but now, more than three decades later, he is in a high-profile tussle with bond traders..." My latest column: www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...

The Humbling of Scott Bessent

Thirty-odd years ago, the Treasury Secretary was one of the speculators who broke the Bank of England in a famous trade. Now he’s on the other side of the markets, struggling to contain rising bond yi...

newyorker.com

"You would think that this experience would have taught Bessent the perils of tangling with the financial markets, but now, more than three decades later, he is in a high-profile tussle with bond traders..." My latest column: www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...

The Humbling of Scott Bessent

Thirty-odd years ago, the Treasury Secretary was one of the speculators who broke the Bank of England in a famous trade. Now he’s on the other side of the markets, struggling to contain rising bond yi...

newyorker.com

You can’t talk about debt without talking about how we got into a bad predicament, and there’s only one correct answer: tax cuts enacted this century

U.S. debt is on track to reach historic levels
Debt held by the public as a percentage of the gross domestic product, 1792-2055
- Historical - • Projected → Without Bush and Trump tax cuts
187.55%
180%
160
140
120|
100
80
99.38%
60
• 47.85%
40
20
0
1800|
1820 1840 1860|
1880
1900 1920 1940|
1960|
1980 2000 2020 2040|
Hover or click to see values.
• Notes:
Source: Authors' calculations using data from the Congressional Budget Office, the Joint Committee on Taxation, the U.S. Office of Management and Budget, the U.S. Census Bureau, the Federal Reserve, the Yale Budget Lab, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, and the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. A full list of sources is available here.
Chart: Center for American Progress

Today in @thenation.com: a harrowing piece written from inside the Dilley ICE detention center by Maryam Tahmasebi, a green card holder who's been locked up along with her husband and son for months despite none of them committing any crime. www.thenation.com/article/soci...

One Woman’s Message From the Hell of ICE Detention

My husband, son, and I have been locked up for months—despite being permanent residents with no criminal record. It is an unendurable, unending nightmare.

thenation.com

My take on Kevin Warsh's credibility problem. "Unless and until Warsh convinces people (of his independence from Trump), bond traders and commentators will react skeptically to his every comment, or refusal to comment, and who can blame them?" www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...

The New Fed Chair Needs to Prove His Independence from Donald Trump

Kevin Warsh, the current Fed chair, has only been in office since May, but he’s already under fire.

newyorker.com

Fraser Nelson reckons Rod Liddle was “the greatest satirist since Swift” while Michael Gove is comparing him to not just Swift but Orwell. Amazing the comparisons you can get if you’ll pump out exactly the racist opinions even they are too squeamish to commit to print.

My take on Kevin Warsh's credibility problem. "Unless and until Warsh convinces people (of his independence from Trump), bond traders and commentators will react skeptically to his every comment, or refusal to comment, and who can blame them?" www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...

The New Fed Chair Needs to Prove His Independence from Donald Trump

Kevin Warsh, the current Fed chair, has only been in office since May, but he’s already under fire.

newyorker.com

I worked for New York’s largest medical center at the start of the pandemic. There were morgue trucks on the streets. They set up emergency medical tents in Central Park. Healthcare worker colleagues died. It is horrific that RFK Jr is on national TV lying that ICUs were empty.

"Burnham will now have to deal with many of the same obstacles that handicapped Starmer’s government ... : stagnant living standards; a largely hostile press; political challenges from the right and the left; a hefty budget deficit; and wary financial markets". By @johncassidysays.bsky.social

Can Andy Burnham’s Manchesterism Save the U.K.’s Center Left?

With a populist touch, and a focus on affordability and raising up left-behind communities, Britain’s new Prime Minister has drawn comparisons to Zohran Mamdani.

newyorker.com

Can't get numb to this: The United States is stuck in a war it started, cannot end, and may further escalate to no avail, having dismantled its diplomatic apparatus, depleted its military stockpile, and destroyed its credibility. A historic strategic mistake harming millions in many different ways.

Manchesterism v Mamdani-ism "The thing that ties Mamdani and Burnham together is a focus on how you make life more affordable and dignified for households that are relentlessly squeezed,” Mathew Lawrence, director of Common Wealth, tells me. www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...

Can Andy Burnham’s Manchesterism Save the U.K.’s Center Left?

With a populist touch, and a focus on affordability and raising up left-behind communities, Britain’s new Prime Minister has drawn comparisons to Zohran Mamdani.

newyorker.com

Sticking with this: "On Tuesday, the BLS will release the June CPI...This may well give Trump something to trumpet for a day or two, but it’s unlikely to change the mood of ordinary Americans, who want to see prices falling—not merely going up at a slower rate." www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...

Donald Trump’s Needless War with Iran Is His Biggest Economic Blunder

As the midterm elections approach, gas prices have started to rise again, and Trump’s poll ratings are in the cellar.

newyorker.com

🚨HOLY CRAP. An ICE whistleblower just revealed a secret memo authorizing ICE officers to break into homes without a judicial warrant, which DHS's own legal training materials say is unconstitutional! ICE then hid the memo from the public, passing it along by word of mouth and private conversation.

The Gravamen of the Disclosure

4. The gravamen of the disclosure is as follows: 
a. By memorandum dated May 12, 2025 (“the May 12 Memo”), Acting ICE Director Todd Lyons authorizes ICE agents to forcibly enter into certain people’s homes without a judicial warrant, consent, or an emergency.

b. Specifically, in the May 12 Memo, the Acting ICE Director authorized ICE Agents to rely on Form I-205 (which is not a judicial warrant) to enter the residence of an alien subject to a final order of deportation, without consent, including by “a necessary and reasonable amount of force.”2c. While addressed to “All ICE Personnel,” in practice the May 12 Memo has not been formally distributed to all personnel. Instead, the May 12 Memo has been provided to select DHS officials who are then directed to verbally brief the new policy for action. Those supervisors then show the Memo to some employees, like our clients, and direct them to read the Memo and return it to the supervisor.
The Associated Press@apnews.com · 8mo ago

BREAKING: Immigration officers are asserting sweeping power to enter homes without a judge’s warrant, a memo obtained by AP says.