Tristan Snowsill

@tmsnowsill.bsky.social

Health economist at the University of Exeter. Also: stats, maths, politics, Star Wars, programming, NFL New York Jets, Formula 1, pixel art...

🧵UK media has been duped about net-zero (again) The playbook is identical: 1️⃣ Find a big scary number 2️⃣ Speed-dial non-specialist hacks 3️⃣ Do say “serious economic damage” 4️⃣ Don’t say “we pretended gas is free” 5️⃣ That's it! Many papers still fell for it 🤷

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The Cognition Group in the Psychology dept at Exeter are at risk of redundancy because "basic cognitive psychology research does not align with the current priorities of funding bodies" If you think this is overtly wrong and misguided, please sign this open letter docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Open Letter in Support of the Cognition Group, University of Exeter

To Executive members of the University of Exeter, including Vice Chancellor Prof. Lisa Roberts, Senior Vice-President and Provost Prof. Dan Charman, Pro Vice Chancellor and Executive Dean Prof. Sallie...

docs.google.com

Ok this is just ridiculous. How can you see a sector apparently on the brink of collapse and think the right thing to do is undermine them further? Sue Gray had universities collapsing on her shit list in 2024. The government seems to think that was a goal rather than something to avoid.

Times Higher Education (THE)@timeshighered.bsky.social · last mo.

The Department for Education has confirmed that universities will receive £50.9 million less in teaching grants next academic year. Bridget Phillipson, the education minister has defended the reduction in light of tuition fee rises. https://ow.ly/6UWJ50ZkLlf

I think an underpriced scenario is that Trump fights for and wins the GOP nomination to go for an unconditional third term, he is then hammered in the election, and spends his final days escaping accountability by claiming his advanced dementia makes him unfit to stand trial or give evidence.

If you asked me, off the top of my head, to name a non-Oxbridge university in England synonymous with excellence in the Humanities - I would probably think of Exeter first. This feels like a very deliberate, targeted and ideological Bonfire of the Humanities

Margot Finn@eicathomefinn.bsky.social · last mo.

'About 150 academic roles are set to go at the south-west institution, which said it was targeting areas that are “no longer sustainable” or have seen changes in student demand.' History and English are name-checked. 1/3

Given one of the most common complaints from former and current government ministers is that when you pull on the levers of power, nothing happens, I think we should rapidly discount anyone whose professional experience involves orders being followed without question. It's no preparation at all.

Ah yet another HTA model I'm involved in which would be so much quicker to build in R but, for reasons I cannot divulge, must be made in Excel. In fairness, when I have been able to do the models in R, it usually results in more complexity to fill the time rather than increasing leisure...

Interestingly, this ONE WEIRD TRICK can achieve proportional representation with single member constituencies... Everyone casts a single vote for the person they would like to win, and a vote is drawn at random from all the votes cast. Probability of winning is exactly proportional to your vote.

Tristan Snowsill@tmsnowsill.bsky.social · 2mo ago

As a rule, if an electoral system involves electing a single person per geography, it will not be proportional. It can still be an improvement on first past the post (plurality voting), but for proportional representation you need to have multi member constituencies or "top up" seats.

As a rule, if an electoral system involves electing a single person per geography, it will not be proportional. It can still be an improvement on first past the post (plurality voting), but for proportional representation you need to have multi member constituencies or "top up" seats.

Rob Ford@robfordmancs.bsky.social · 2mo ago

A lot depends on what form of reform Burnham commits to tho. He doesn’t say here, and the article incorrectly describes earlier GM mayoral elections as Single Transferrable Vote (where you rank all candidates). They werent - they were Supplemental Vote (two preferences, 2nd used if no one gets maj)

I am really hoping there is a blue wave which busts the GOP gerrymanders. Explanation 🧵 Under plurality voting (first past the post), your vote share can be (in)efficient. The most efficient way to turn votes into representation is to win small and lose big...

I thought humans didn't have a thymus! I literally remember reading that T cells in immunology are so called because they are produced in the thymus *in birds* but that humans didn't have a thymus so they were produced elsewhere. Ugh I can't keep up...

The Washington Post@washingtonpost.com · 3mo ago

For decades, a mysterious, two-lobed organ nestled behind the breastbone has been overlooked by most physicians. Now, research is recasting it as a potent regulator of aging and immune health across the lifespan.