Tyler Van Buren

@tylervb.bsky.social

Words guy. Small biz owner. Former Director of Communications and spokesperson for CT Comptroller & Treasurer’s Office. Currently posting. General mood dictated by UConn basketball scores.

Elvin Hernandez, a CT DOT worker, was killed by a driver on I-95 today. DOT Commish Eucalitto: "The complete disregard that some motorists continue to show our employees... is disgraceful. The moral outrage the 3,300 men and women of this agency are feeling in this moment is entirely justified."

Governor Lamont, Lt. Governor Bysiewicz, Commissioner Eucalitto Mourn the Death of Connecticut Department of Transportation Employee Elvin Hernandez

portal.ct.gov

Whatever the long-term outcomes of our current moment, my lasting memory of Trump II will be the utter, pathetic spinelessness of people who have enough money and power to fight but bowed down like losers nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter...

Hospitals Shut Youth Gender Clinics in Deal with Trump Administration

At least six hospitals have struck agreements with the Trump administration to pay fines and stop providing gender-transition treatments to minors.

nl.nytimes.com

In Connecticut, most of these people aren't taken seriously, but there is a little movement to put every single taxpayer dollar into the stock market. It's also why they want to appoint their rich friends — who can't be held accountable by voters — to invest our money as they deem worthy.

State Pension Fund’s Gains Do Little for the Private Sector

Trinity College with an incredible new announcement They will be offering free college tuition + room & Board for any student who lives/goes to HS in its host city Hartford CT Is there any other program like this in the country?! Wow! hartfordbusiness.com/article/trin...

Trinity College to cover full tuition, room and board for Hartford students

Trinity's Hometown Hartford program will cover tuition, housing and meals for admitted Hartford residents, while nearby counties get half-tuition grants.

hartfordbusiness.com

To use a Claude-ism, Anthropic's "economy adapts quickly" assumption is "load-bearing." If the elasticity of capital supply is on the low end, their own model shows AI producing Silicon Valley's feudalist dream: average wages go down, labor's share of income goes down, net return to capital goes up.


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	Jack Clark: One thing that happens in the scenario model is just an implied higher rate of activity in terms of churn in the underlying jobs in the economy. Where basically we expect that AI makes the economy run faster in a bunch of ways. We’ve talked about the rate of creation of new firms. I think you would also expect this to lead to the creation of a bunch of new jobs, and then a key variable is how long does it take a person to go from say an “old job” to a “new job”, and also you might imagine how quickly firms rethink jobs within the concept of a firm and reallocate things — these are big variables. My expectation is the economy adapts around these things surprisingly quickly. Nonetheless, the rate of AI progress is so unprecedented that there might be a temporary mismatch as capabilities arrive faster than the rate of adaptation in the economy. Again, that’s a variable where we’re going to discover things in time.
Table 5: Scenarios in 2030 at four elasticities of capital supply.
John Burn-Murdoch@jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 3w ago

New from us: Anthropic just published scenarios for AI’s possible economic impacts, which range from minimal, to explosive GDP growth of 15% by 2030 as knowledge-worker unemployment hits 18%. I sat down with their co-founder Jack Clark to pick his brains on how they’re thinking about all of this.