Caleb is Understanding Elections

@understandingelex.bsky.social

Howdy! I write about elections from a socialist perspective. https://understandingelections.substack.com/

This isn't all of the story, but a surprisingly big part of the "fear" of Mamdani isn't actually that he'll institute full communism, it's that people's friends-and-influence groups will be demoted from their positions of authority

That it's happened so consistently across the EU and anglosphere reinforces that this is a structural problem, and therefore not something that can be fixed by getting the "correct" politicians or party into office.

merritt@merrittk.com · last yr.

center-left parties around the world rn are like well... drifting right and providing a watered down version of the politics people are voting for hasn't worked for the last fifty years... but it might work for us

For Dems, a solely anti-Trump platform is their only move. In the modern era, conservative parties in the industrialized west have a much easier time running on a strong vision. Liberal/social democratic parties win not based on vision, but on the political exhaustion of the conservatives in power.

@AsteadWH - "I find it so telling that Dems don’t have a Project 2025 of their own. What is the liberal thesis for why govt isn’t working? How would they fix things like education, homelessness, or crime? How would they go beyond the mantra of protecting institutions and actually improve them? 

So much time arguing over the right way to perform Trump opposition when their real problem is lack of competing vision"

lol holy shit i'm reading the wiki for Bedtime for Bonzo (1951) starring Ronald Reagan and look how close a chimp came to altering the history of the entire goddamn planet

wiki screen shot describing a production incident in which ronald reagan was nearly killed by the chimp on set

getting my skull split open at the farmer's market by a penzeys-branded stanley mug because a fifty-year old resist lib decoded secret messages from an account claiming to be a "rogue faa employee" that said anyone in a bernie sanders sweater is a kgb spy

German election exit polls are largely as expected: the conservative CDU will win a plurality (100+ seats short of a majority), and the fascist AfD will be the primary opposition party. The neoliberal FDP likely won't win any seats at all, only the second time since its founding that happened.

BildBild

Prediction: the Nаzi salute will become common within 2 years. RWers will half-аss it for plausible deniability, memeify the backlash, then start fully doing it "as a joke" "to troll the libs" "for being hysterical enough to think we were doing it in the first place"