Axios reports that the recent "Peace Missiles" sent to the UAE indicate that Iranian delegates are headed to Pakistan with a new set of concessions.

just saw someone call Kash Patel “J Edgar Boozer” and need to lie down

Hey, journalists! Could you do us all a favour? Fact check Donald Trump BEFORE you quote him. Then, if he's lying, we don't need the quote. A simple statement "Donald Trump lied again" will do. Save us all a LOT of time - you don't have to write a lot of nonsense, we don't have to read it.

The star has gone nova but the light hasn't reached us yet bsky.app/profile/econ...

The Economist@economist.com · 5mo ago

To gauge how close the world is to energy catastrophe, we gathered a dashboard of indicators. It suggests that grave damage has already been done

There of course are these reports: Numerous ships making the break for the Strait of Hormuz this evening have made abrupt U-turns and are heading back towards the Persian Gulf. Over a dozen ships have already turned back.

Did we not understand this?

Urea will tell us more than the flights of fancy in oil futures I suspect

Love seeing the Iran experts on Twitter deleting their takes from yesterday. Forever correct

Here he is tonight. Working hard to end his War in Iran and make life more affordable for Americans like he promised.

I'm going to keep posting this to remind myself that experts are no more immune to self-delusion than anyone else. Anyone who's read Tetlock would know this. To be fair I posted this earlier today because it seemed so not in keeping with what was unfolding.

Vance: We have not reached for agreement. They have chosen not to accept our terms.

God damn it.

🤦

I don't want to live in a world where the United States tries to negotiate with Iran over a partnership where both sides would engage in rent-seeking--or if you prefer highway robbery--in the Persian Gulf.

Iranians are a no show?

Started/going, Sohrab Ahmari edition

Saudi Arabia says attacks cut oil output and East-West Pipeline flow reut.rs/4t0PU33

Saudi Arabia says attacks cut oil output and East-West Pipeline flow

Attacks on Saudi energy facilities have cut the kingdom's oil production capacity by around 600,000 barrels per ​day and throughput on its East-West Pipeline by about 700,000 bpd, Saudi state news agency SPA reported on Thursday, citing an official source ‌at the Ministry of Energy.

reut.rs

Brutal.

Potentially big: Netanyahu seems to contradict understanding between Trump and Iran as reported by the Pakistani mediator; says that for Israel, ceasefire does not in include Lebanon.

Netanyahu Prime Minister's Office: ...The United States has informed Israel that it is committed to achieving these goals, which are shared by the US, Israel, and Israel's regional allies, as part of the upcoming negotiations. The two-week ceasefire does not include Lebanon.

So to recap, Trump: - Started a war for no reason on the belief that Iran would surrender immediately - Killed thousands including over 100 elementary schoolgirls - Threatened genocide up to and including nuclear war - Then backed down in exchange for a worse position than the US had before ?

Bibi must be mildly irked.

Good lord. If we cede control of the strait to Iran…. And agree to REPARATIONS…. This will be the biggest humiliation in American history

"the art of the deal"