AmPhoenixTrade

@amphoenixtrade.bsky.social

Trade policy architect.

2/3 US ‘over-consumption’ is sustainable in the first place because the same surplus economies the IMF blames for excess saving do keep on holding dollars, allowing US banks to keep running the printing press and finance import demand, without hitting the ceiling all other countries hit.

So excited to be at the London School of Economics on Oct 22nd to discuss my new book Sea Change: The New Great Game in the Arctic Circlehttps://www.lse.ac.uk/international-relations/events/2026/sea-change-the-new-great-game-in-the-arctic-circle

AI is unpopular. The public overwhelmingly supports aggressive AI regulation; it overwhelmingly opposes further investment in AI infrastructure. Naturally, Dems are telling frontline members to ̶d̶o̶ ̶p̶o̶p̶u̶l̶a̶r̶i̶s̶m̶ curl into the fetal position to appease the mean tech men. There is another way.

A.I. Risk And The End Of The Neoliberal Style In Politics

You can’t make pragmatic compromises with predatory counterparties.

offmessage.net

Just in time for the latest oil price spike, we published our article urging the ECB not to hike rates to fight a supply shock. Europe needs a new inflation governance for shockflation. We need disaster preparedness for essentials instead of increasing investment costs.

Bild

The AfD slogan in Saxony-Anhalt is: "Everything is possible." We cannot afford to leave the far right a monopoly over the alternative to an unbearable status quo. That's why I wrote Anti-fascist Economics. Thrilled that @leaypi.bsky.social sees my book as helping us see a feasible, better future. 🌹🌾

Bild

Caixin: "China has established a framework for determining when manufacturers are selling goods below cost, giving regulators a clearer basis for intervening in price wars. The move forms part of Beijing’s broader campaign against so-called involution." www.caixinglobal.com/2026-09-11/c...

China Sets Cost Rules to Curb Industrial Price Wars

The NDRC and the market regulator have published a unified methodology to determine whether manufacturers are engaged in illegal low-price dumping

caixinglobal.com

3/3 This is perhaps easiest to see in wage policies. When some economies become competitive in manufacturing because of low wage growth relative to productivity growth, this forces their more open trade partners to choose between adopting similar policies and deindustrializing. x.com/michaelxpett...

Michael Pettis (@michaelxpettis) on X

Financial Times: "Thailand’s household debt stands at 86 per cent of GDP, the highest among upper middle-income countries in the world, according to HSBC, with consumers using loans to fund daily expe...

x.com

"The warehouse worker and the software engineer are in the working class because the reason there’s no air conditioning in the warehouse is the same reason the engineer has to move across the country to return to the office," writes @joewrote.bsky.social. www.joewrote.com/p/why-libera...

Why Liberals Can’t Define “Working Class”

The distinction between capital and labor doesn’t fit their worldview. No wonder a coherent definition escapes them.

joewrote.com

The share of national income going to corporate profits is the highest it’s been in nearly a century. And sales at dollar stores are up. “Our core customers continue to be financially constrained,” Dollar General's CEO said. Inequality, summed up in a quote. prospect.org/2026/09/01/t...

Trump’s ‘Golden Age’? Well, Yes—for Dollar Stores - The American Prospect

Sales are up at the modern-day bargain basements, as more financially stressed Americans are compelled to shop there.

prospect.org

I do not find any of the "abundance" people to be serious policy thinkers you should actually listen to I think they mostly exist to dress up reheated deregulatory corporatocracy as something new to pre-empt meaningful, popular progressive reform

The hit piece on Acemoglu in The Economist will largely serve, against the seeming intent of the piece, to a downward updating of priors on the magazine, and the named sources it cites.

2/2 The fact that much of its growth is in fact highly capital intensive shows that in China, while labor is cheap, capital is even cheaper. While most analysts focus on the implicit labor subsidy, the implicit capital subsidy may be even greater, at least in preferred sectors.

Perhaps most importantly the piece underscores the drag on growth experienced by many emerging markets from the excess supply and lack of demand China provides to the global economy. Many in Europe and beyond would agree. 6/6 www.economist.com/by-invitatio...

The yuan is more than a symptom of global imbalances

Treating it as a mere by-product of deeper distortions lets China off too easily, argue Anantha Nageswaran and P.S. Srinivas

economist.com

Here is a basic smell test. If the Netherlands and Denmark - Germany’s neighbours - can keep pace with US growth, are EU regulations really to blame for Germany’s stagnation? The red tape Berlin needs to cut, and the deregulation it needs to pursue, are primarily at home—not in Brussels. 1/

Sander Tordoir@sandertordoir.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Word is spreading that pockets of the European economy are blossoming. Croatia, Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Greece are also growing at a brisk pace. Those countries are in the EU single market - casting doubt on a German narrative that EU regulation is to blame for its woes.

The evidence from the US, where over more than a decade some states have raised the minimum wage while others have not, is clear. - Statutory MW hikes are effective in raising the wages of the low paid. - No substantial job losses. - Adjustment via higher productivity, prices &/or lower profits

Arin Dube@arindube.bsky.social · 4mo ago

We've been running an unprecedented natural experiment running for a decade and half. 30 states have raised their minimum wages. 20 have not. What happened to pay? What happened to jobs? The good news is that it's pretty easy to figure out now. substack.com/home/post/p-...