Sr. Wing Armor Engineer

@bengo.bsky.social

Rstats, DS, ML, AI, dataviz, causal inference, econ. Anxious Optimist.

Hey, tossing out a question for, uh, causal inference sky. If I'm interested in a theory that involves bidirectional causation, say like Bandura, what are good resources for modeling those? See so much about DAGs but not much about messier cyclical stuff...

None of you are safe from the kidsbookification of the behavioral sciences. Watch your backs 👀 It was stupidly fun working on Psychology for Beginners (11+) 🐙 We used an octopus to take kids through perception, cognition, judgement & decision making, and more Why? Because they have 9 brains. Duh.

BildBild

Fascinating talk by @naitian.org about emotions in films. Such clear arcs over narrative time! Emotion increases over the course of the movie, and movies in general have become less emotional. Emotional range (entropy) varies by genre: thrillers have a narrower range than horror. #chr2024

Figure 1 from the paper showing emotionality, job, sadness, and anger over movie time. Emotionality increases, joy is a U shape, sadness is an upside down U, and anger peaks near the end but then drops sharply.Figure 2 from the paper, showing emotionality over all films over years from 1980 to now. The line is highest in 1985 and lowest at 2010.Figure 3 from the paper showing how emotional range varies across genres. Genres with the smallest range include thriller, biography, mystery, crime, and scifi. Genres with the greatest range include family, musical, fantasy, and horror.

Lets see if BlueSky can be as helpful as Old School Twitter. I'm looking for advocates of Administrative Data Access and Linkage across the EU 🇪🇺 Tell me who is making administrative data access happen in 🇮🇹🇪🇸🇩🇰🇸🇪🇫🇮🇨🇿🇸🇮🇸🇰🇭🇷🇧🇪🇩🇪🇵🇱🇧🇬🇷🇴🇲🇹🇭🇺🇬🇷 This is often unsung work and they don't toot their own horns. RP 🙏

Optimist: The cup is half full Pessimist: The cup is half empty Economist: The cup reveals how much the consumers like to drink given his budget constraint.

Today my eight year old was cheering and jumping up and down upstairs, so I went to see what he was watching on youtube and it was a video showing the GDP of countries growing over time. I asked him why he found it so exciting — he put two fingers on my chest and said “that’s none of your business.”