Come work with my team! @cira-csu.bsky.social is #NowHiring for an Ensemble Prediction Scientist to help lead our high-res ensemble prediction system development. Check out the job posting below, and feel free to reach out with any questions! csusystem.wd12.myworkdayjobs.com/fortcollins_...

Reflecting on how far we’ve come with convective forecasting in 20 years, and how much hair I’ve lost.

Clark Evans@clarkevanswx.github.io · 2w ago

The 2006 ASP Colloquium on The Challenge of Convective Forecasting: then and (a subset of) now!

More than 600 (likely homes) burned in and around Spokane County yesterday. The devastation is incomprehensible www.spokesman.com/stories/2026...

Wildfire in northwest Spokane destroys 640 structures

The Old Trails wildfire in northwest Spokane destroyed 640 structures Saturday, according to Cody Rohrbach, Spokane County Fire District 3 fire chief.

spokesman.com

Impressive heavy rainfall event in the Hudson Valley and Capital Region of NY. Schodack NYSM site recording 9"+ in the past 24 hours. Heavy rainfall will continue through much of today due to a slow moving low-pressure area.

1. The new Trump / Kratsios plan for US science appears explicitly designed to destroy US universities. Diverting money to tech donors is probably just a bonus. Gift link.

Trump’s Plan for Science: More Money for A.I., Less for Universities (Gift Article)

Michael Kratsios, President Trump’s science adviser, proposed overhauling how the government funds research. Democrats said Mr. Trump’s actions had weakened science.

nytimes.com

Stay safe out there and share this infographic with friends in smoky areas. For more tips, check out our wildfire guide: yaleclimateconnections.org/wildfire-gui...

It's like dusk in Albany right now with a very thick layer of smoke blocking out the sun and an orange tint to the sky. Approaching the same feel as June 2023. Smells like campfire outside.

Thick smoke, which is mostly high up in the atmosphere, has overspread Albany. The smoke is from massive wildfires burning in SW Ontario.

Get ready for dark skies and extremely poor air quality in the Great Lakes and Northeast. Most of the smoke from the fires in Minnesota and Ontario is aloft this morning and circulating around the heat dome. That likely changes by Wednesday.

SPC has issued a 10% area for tornado risk (at intensity level 1 no less), which is a first for that part of the forecast area. This is NOT your typical summer severe thunderstorm risk for areas with a lot of people sleeping and playing outdoors.

Tues. (7/14) severe weather setup in S Quebec & N New England is notable & unusual for this region. 00Z NSSF WRF shows supercells in the St. Lawrence region, growing into a powerful mesoscale convective system that sweeps across N New England in the evening. Significant severe hazards possible.

"NSF employees are now concerned that the $1 billion of withheld funds will not be released. If they are not, the combination of withheld funds and clawbacks would result in funding cuts of more than 30% for most directorates compared with their planned spending for 2025"

Dan Garisto@dangaristo.bsky.social · last mo.

New: The National Science Foundation is preparing to claw back some $500 million in funds from some of its core science programs in physics, math, computer science, and engineering in order to fund a project from the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy.

(VOLUME WARNING) First video I’m seeing coming out of Rota island youtube.com/shorts/L3wFF...

Viewer Video From Rota: Inside Super Typhoon Bavi's Eyewall at 180 MPH | NMI News Service

YouTube video by NMI News Service

youtube.com

JJuly (they/them)@misovortex.bsky.social · last mo.

Sunrise.

Band of 1-2"+/hour rainfall rates setting up from the Poconos to lower Hudson Valley to coastal CT with slow cell movement and training. Escalating flash flooding overnight, especially in hilly and urban areas.

After the heatwave, comes the water? Increasing signal for a slow moving storm system and moist airmass combining to produce heavy rainfall somewhere over the Northeast early next week.

One of the more lightning active storms I can remember in Albany. Felt like a classic Midwest evening thunderstorm.

Impressive mesoscale convective system in southern Ontario. As instability builds, with sufficient shear, MCS looks like it should maintain itself and potentially produce a swath of damaging winds as it moves SE over Upstate NY.

He is looking at the scene right before our photographer, Carl Winder, had to be evacuated from Goodpasture Barn east of Beulah. This fire is moving fast. Be on your toes and ready to go, should you be evacuated. #aspenacres #aspenacresfire

Shortwave infrared animation shows the terrifying speed at which fires are spreading in the Four Corners region

A serious and still-escalating wildfire outbreak is now underway across interior West, and has today expanded beyond NV & UT into western CO & AZ/NM. Extreme fire behavior and rapid spread is widespread; adverse conditions expected for 7+ days. #UTwx #COwx #AZwx #NMwx [Thread]

EC ensemble mean high temperature for next Thursday for NYC is 103 F. That is a strong signal for extreme and dangerous heat next week.

Exclusive: The National Science Foundation is trimming this year’s budgets for hundreds of its traditional basic science programs by roughly 20% to 30%, even though its overall budget is down just 3%. https://scim.ag/4xY2KCm

Exclusive: NSF slashes research programs to support new tech initiative, insiders say

Unexpected shift in funds has meant sharp drop in grants this fiscal year

science.org

A plea to submit comments on the new proposed OMB rule that would put all U.S. science funding totally at the whim of political appointees, framed by a recap of the Weather and Climate Livestream a couple weeks ago. deepconvection.substack.com/p/speak-out-...

Speak out against the proposed OMB rule attacking U.S. science

A call to action following the Weather and Climate Livestream.

deepconvection.substack.com

University at Albany and University of Puerto Rico Mayagüez students launching weather balloons this week to study daily cycle of thunderstorms.

This incredible heat wave 🥵 is rewriting the record books for Colorado’s snowpack. 🏔️ We're currently witnessing a snow drought of historic proportions.🤯 With ~2 weeks of record-smashing temps across the Western US, our mountains are losing what little snow they had—fast. 📉 🧵 1/9 #cowx

Colorado Climate Center@climate.colostate.edu · 5mo ago

Last week’s heat wave was record-smashing, extraordinary, and impossible to ignore. It continued yesterday and even today in parts of the state. This new blog post provides some climate context on the mind-boggling temperatures and how they are affecting the drought and snowpack situation. #cowx

Interested in hurricanes? I want to introduce TC-ATLAS: the Tropical Cyclone Analysis Tool for Live and Archived Structure. Explore live or past storms without writing a line of code or downloading a data file, building on the capabilities of TC-RADAR: michaelfischerwx.github.io/TC-ATLAS/ind...

March 27: Here are three graphics that highlight why there is rising concern regarding the prospect of difficult wildfire activity in the months to come. - Widespread drought - Very dry soils - Well below normal Western US snowpack (water equivalent) This is on top of continued anomalous heat.

Please add your signature! I use EM-DAT frequently. "If EM-DAT were to cease operations, the consequences would not be abstract; they would be practical, immediate and damaging. It offers a carefully assembled, globally comparable database of disasters, including their human and economic impacts."

Dr. Samantha Montano@samlmontano.bsky.social · 5mo ago

‼️ Apparently EM-DAT was financially supported through USAID. There's an open letter you can sign to garner support CRED finding a new sustainable funding source. This is the most critical international disaster dataset we have that underlies both research & practice openletter.earth/the-worlds-c...

Using all public storm reports from the NWS so far, I contoured a preliminary estimated snow accumulation map for today's blizzard (through 6-8pm EST tonight). Truly a historic storm - both in terms of impacts, and the forecast challenges leading up to it.

Newark has been sitting under a stationary band all morning and has one of the higher totals in the NYC Metro area at 27.1”, which is very close to their record for a snowstorm.

IEMBot New York@okx.weather.im · 6mo ago

At 1:00 PM EST, Newark Airport [Union Co, NJ] Official NWS Obs reports Snow of 27.10 Inch #njwx Link