Carsten Braband
@cbraband.bsky.social
MA Sozialwissenschaften @HumboldtUni
New publication out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social! We know young voters vote for different parties and hold different attitudes than older citizens. What we know less about: whether they also care differently about political issues. Using novel experimental survey data, I show: they do! 👇
“Nothing else matters?” Salience differences between young and old | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
“Nothing else matters?” Salience differences between young and old
cambridge.org
Die Koalition will einen Rentenfonds nach 🇸🇪 Vorbild, in den 2% des Lohns fließen. Wie schon bei Lindners Aktienrente (remember him?) greift die progressive Kritik an diesem Element der #rentenreform viel zu kurz. Internationale Evidenz zeigt: Kapitaldeckung = Finanzialisierungsmaschine. 🧵
dieser artikel steht stellvertretend für diesen bescheuerten hauptstadt-journalismus: wen interessiert es, wie geschlossen und einig sich alle sind? die frage ist, wer wegen der maßnahmen bluten muss und wer nicht. das ist keine analyse, das ist ein wetterbericht www.tagesschau.de/inland/analy...
Koalition stellt Reformpläne vor: Ein staatstragender Auftritt
Geschlossen, fast gelöst präsentiert sich die Koalition bei ihren Reformplänen - nach monatelangem Hin und Her ist nun von Zusammenarbeit und gemeinsamen Lösungen die Rede. Wie tragfähig das ist, wird...
tagesschau.de
Für eine Studie* haben wir gefragt, ob man "wenn nötig große Immobilienkonzerne enteignen sollte, um gegen steigende Mieten vorzugehen". Deutschlandweit stimmte dem die Mehrheit zu (55%). Vergesellschaftung zu verbieten ist ein Schlag ins Gesicht der Bevölkerung, nicht nur der Berliner:innen.
„Profit margins are already near historic highs. Energy and fertiliser stocks are surging in anticipation of stellar profits. The people who own those assets will be fine. Workers facing rising prices and stagnant wages will not.“
Gregor Semieniuk@gregorsemieniuk.bsky.social · 5mo agoThe economic fallout from the Strait of Hormuz isn't a hypothetical — it's already there. Most people in Europe and the US just can't feel it yet. A threat on our new @newstatesman1913.bsky.social article: what's heading our way, and why the burden won't be shared equally. 1/
On Sunday, one of Germany’s largest states went to the polls in a closely contested election. What can we learn from the results & how do they relate to looming deindustrialization in one of Germany’s industrial heartlands? A thread with some decriptive patterns from data on 1,101 municipalities. 🧵
Tom Nuttall@tomnuttall.bsky.social · 5mo agoBaden-Württemberg is not about to become one giant Detroit. But ahead of what looks like a nail-biting election on Sunday, The Länd is certainly consumed with economic anxiety. My report from Stuttgart and Hohenlohe. www.economist.com/europe/2026/...
1/ I have done a data dive on ‘The Two Deprivations’ and the govt’s Green-Reform dilemma: parables.substack.com/p/the-two-de... It references the work of @luketryl.bsky.social @robfordmancs.bsky.social
The Two Deprivations
Are poorer constituencies going green of turquoise?
parables.substack.com
Yesterday, @spiegel.de reported that members of the SPD urged the CDU to re-evaluate their stance towards the LEFT. Our (@wurthmann.bsky.social & @sarahwagner.bsky.social) reserach note shows generational differences in the evaluation of cooperation between the parties. doi.org/10.1007/s116... A🧵
Breaking the German Cold War Taboo? The Generational Divide in Evaluating a Coalition Between CDU/CSU and The Left - Politische Vierteljahresschrift
Germany’s fragmented party system has revived debates about unconventional coalitions, including cooperation between the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) and The Left to con...
doi.org
2) Abandoning identity politics Contrary to public beliefs, the centre-left has all but abandoned identity politics. Having become parties of incremental centrism and problem managers they have given up on shaping identities in the knowledge economy. What would a progressive working class identity
The US is often seen as an extreme case where polarization erodes democracy bc partisanship now permeates all everyday sociability and affects. But this is now being contradicted by a whole number of studies. Besides the really interesting new work by @jonadejong.bsky.social, there is... (quick 🧵)
Jona de Jong@jonadejong.bsky.social · 6mo agoDo ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15
I think it's best for everyone to understand that the unified class project of billionaires right now is to do to white collar workers what globalization and neoliberalism did to blue collar workers.
I feel like I haven’t even been properly lied to about the purposes of this war
“the principles of international law” rather prohibit bombing countries because their leaders “lack legitimacy”.
Kaja Kallas@kajakallas.bsky.social · 7mo agoI have spoken with Secretary of State Marco Rubio and our Ambassador in Caracas. The EU is closely monitoring the situation in Venezuela. The EU has repeatedly stated that Mr Maduro lacks legitimacy and has defended a peaceful transition. (1/2)
Good morning. I've got a banger new post out today that develops a new method for placing voters on the left-right ideological spectrum, and adds a new, "non-ideological"/affordability axis to usual way we chart & think about US voters (esp swing voters). www.gelliottmorris.com/p/not-just-l...
Not just left vs right: Most voters think about affordability and material wellbeing, not in ideological terms
Most voters want a party that emphasizes cost of living issues and makes the world a better place. Few Americans think in solidly ideologically terms. "Moderates" are mostly non-ideological.
gelliottmorris.com
Crazy support numbers for Zohran Mamdani among young women: 84% (!) of women aged 18-29 voted for Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral Election. But also important: young men voted MUCH MORE STRONGLY (67%) for Mamdani than old men (37%).
"Die Mehrheit in diesem Land ist rechts, aber bekommt trotzdem eine linke Politik" – dieser Satz ist also nicht analytisch gemeint, sondern strategisch. Er ist nicht da, um etwas zu beschreiben, sondern um etwas zu planen. www.zeit.de/politik/2025...
CDU-Politiker: Der schwarz-blaue Sehnsuchtssatz
"Die Mehrheit ist rechts, aber bekommt trotzdem linke Politik" – diese Formel wiederholen CDU-Politiker gerade auffällig oft. Dahinter steckt eine gefährliche Strategie.
zeit.de
Real existierende linke Akademiker:innen mal wieder anders als manche denken: „Radical left support increases for those who study more than their parents and do not achieve upward class mobility, as well as for those who experience upward class mobility but continue to struggle financially“
Maria Sobolewska@profsob.bsky.social · 10mo agoAn important new paper from my talented, but BlueSky-less PHD Jose Lopes www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
An important new paper from my talented, but BlueSky-less PHD Jose Lopes www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
The unfulfilled promises of upward mobility and support for radical left parties in Western Europe
In recent decades, educational expansion has produced a large swathe of university graduates which labour markets are increasingly less able to absorb…
sciencedirect.com
Lesenswert!
Linus Westheuser@lwestheuser.bsky.social · 10mo agoMit dem Focus habe ich über die Bürgergeld-Debatte gesprochen: Warum das Thema so aufgeladen ist und wie seit eh und je Vorurteile gegen vermeintlich "unverdiente" Empfängergruppen genutzt werden, um den Sozialstaat anzugreifen. Ohne Paywall hier linuswestheuser.com/wp-content/u...
Nur zur Einordnung: Kosten illegaler Grenzkontrollen: pro Quartal ca. 30 Millionen € Kosten durch Jens Spahn verursacht: ca. 3,5 Milliarden € Kosten durch Steuerbetrug CumCum: ca. 30 Milliarden € Zusätzliche Gelder, die wir für das Deutschlandticket gebraucht hätten: 800 Millionen.
Warum wir beim Klima zwar alle in einem Boot sitzen, es aber entscheidend ist, dass manche im halbgefluteten Maschinenraum mitfahren und andere auf dem Sonnendeck: Neuer Artikel zu Klima, Klasse und Konflikt, mit @steffenmau.bsky.social und @thomaslux.bsky.social link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Das Klima der Ungleichheit. Zur sozialen Struktur von Klimakonflikten - Berliner Journal für Soziologie
The article maps how political conflicts over climate change are intertwined with social inequality. Building on studies of Dörre et al. on industrial transformation conflicts, four forms of social in...
link.springer.com
"Panel data on 41 million voters from 2008 to 2020 and an original survey of 24,433 respondents demonstrate that exposure to partisan neighbors increases party switching." www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
Partisan Conversion Through Neighborhood Influence: How Voters Adopt the Partisanship of Their Neighbors | The Journal of Politics
Recent studies show that American neighborhoods have become politically homogeneous, raising concerns about how geographic polarization divides parties and influences voters. But, it remains unclear h...
journals.uchicago.edu
OK, a🧵: Our new paper studies workers' political consciousness in times of class demobilization. We show there's more to workers' politics than right-wing resentment. Listening to workers, we reconstruct their moral critiques of money, power & recognition. Link journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Linus Westheuser@lwestheuser.bsky.social · last yr.Proper thread after the summer break– but if you were looking for a beach read about political reasoning in today's working class, look no further: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
The takeaway: 👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters. 👉 It alienates the progressive base. 👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns. In short: it’s electoral self-harm.
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social ! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/8 🧵
Class and race gaps in voting are widening a lot. I just got results from the CES and voter turnout among low-income people has been declining steadily since 2012 - across racial groups. Only 25% of Black and Hispanic people in households making less than $30k/year voted in 2024. (small thread)
In the 19th century as the socialist movement grew in Europe, it faced a choice: whether to participate in elections. The anarchists said no. The remaining socialists waded into electoral battle. This book analyzes that decision and its consequences #booksky
