@climate-talks.bsky.social

www.climate-talks.org

2°C by 2040. That's where the trend lands if warming keeps running at its post-2011 rate of 0.39°C a decade. The CMIP6 climate models in this chart land there too We're crossing 1.5°C as we speak: 2024 cleared it, 2026 will too, and next year's record #ElNino points at 1.7°C


https://dashboard.theclimatebrink.com/#models
Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · last wk.

"[We] identify a statistically significant doubling of the global warming rate during 2011–2025 (0.40 °C per dec) compared to 1971–2025 (0.20 °C per dec)... The ensemble mean of 26 #climate models fails to capture the observed doubling of the warming rate, simulating a rate of only 0.29 °C per dec"

This year's El Niño continues its climb into uncharted waters; Niño3.4 region anomalies are now at a 3.4C above normal (how fitting!), higher than any prior El Niño event on record. September monthly Niño3.4 anomalies also set a record at 2.9C (beating 2015 and 1877's 2.75C).

Bild

Plant-rich diets are the food system's electrification. Petrol cars only see 18-25% of their fuel energy get to the wheels; EVs 87-91%. Heat pumps are 2 or 3 times more efficient. Food has its own combustion engine: a chicken turns about 13% of its feed calories into food, worse than a petrol car.

Bild

1/ "Every fraction of a degree of warming matters." True, and a dangerous platitude. It quietly suggests warming is a smooth dial, where each tenth of a degree costs about the same as the last. It doesn't. The later ones cost far more. Here's why. 🧵

Bild

Human entitlement in a headline at its finest: "Aviation faces hotter, stormier skies – and passengers might have to accept more disruption" And the article matches: nothing at all about reducing airline traffic. We're flying into hell www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Flyers might have to face more disruption with hotter skies

Are people going to have to increasingly accept more delays and diversions as the effects of climate change intensify?

bbc.co.uk

📝 New article on Our World in Data: Beef production in Brazil has been the largest driver of global deforestation in recent decades. The largest driver of deforestation globally is the expansion of agricultural land.

Bild

'Despite ME turmoil'? Don't you mean 'despite our burning planet'? Despite the wildfires and floods, despite the risk to our food systems, the threat to our health and economy? Isn't that the real story here - the terrifying disconnect between behaviour and reality? www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Scottish airport numbers soar despite Middle East turmoil

Almost 300,000 more passengers travelled in the spring and state-owned Prestwick saw a trebling of cargo volumes.

bbc.co.uk

It'll be pretty embarrassing if the dinosaurs went out with more dignity than us. They can't say they knew about the meteor for decades, knew exactly what to do about it, had all the technology and resources to stop it but didn't so five of them could own everything

Water nationalisation for our water security? End north sea oil & gas - invest in renewables for our energy security? A maximum workplace temperature for worker security? No. A request not to sell BBQs. This is dire from Andy Burnham. Spectacularly mishandling the crisis.

Burnham had faced calls from the green party to chair a cobra meeting on the heatwaves with leader Zack Polanski accusing the pm of inaction amid threats to public health and food supplies

The gently sloping line at the bottom is our world 252 million years ago, when temperatures increased by 8C across 60,000 years killing 90% of all species. It is a period known as The Great Dying. That vertical red line is the world our children live in.

Bild

Really? Is that it? If this is all that’s come from COBR, it’s pitifully inadequate. As crisis deepens, it beggars belief that there aren’t eg plans to increase resources for the fire service, support for farmers, max workplace temperature, funded community cool spaces & obvs ban on new fossil fuels

Andy Burnham warns of summer ban on disposable barbecues

Andy Burnham said he would consider if a restriction on purchasing the products during the summer months could be justified

independent.co.uk