Matteo Nebbiai

@matteonebbiai.bsky.social

tech & political economy & EU regulation | PhD King's College London | GPEP Fellow at Georgetown University | previously at Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna https://matteonebbiai.site/ https://matteonebbiai.substack.com/

Facing the reality that brutality and cruelty also have tradeoffs and are not a secret weapon that facilitates an easy victory, they are furious at being embarrassed by their lessers and seeing their theory of the world publicly discredited (not that they would ever acknowledge that)

Two of the journalists assassinated in South Lebanon this morning by Israel were Lebanese correspondents Ali Shoeib and Fatima Ftouni. They become the 252nd and 253rd journalists killed by Israel in the last two years. Unprecedented. (📸 Cradle Media)

A photo of Ali and Fatima in their press vests and hats, smiling at the camera with Lebanon in the background

1/ Disruptions mean countries will rush to exit US-led oil order Worst case scenario for oil companies (best for rest of us) is that people permanently shift...what they call “demand destruction“ i.e short term pain but Long: Iran war will accelerate ongoing STRUCTURAL shift to solar+EVs+batteries

Bild

I was in a 2 hour briefing today on the Iran War. All the briefings are closed, because Trump can't defend this war in public. I obviously can't disclose classified info, but you deserve to know how incoherent and incomplete these war plans are. 1/ Here's what I can share:

Why the US is facing strategic defeat @policytensor.bsky.social “The Trump administration needs to understand that there are no military solutions here. Talk to the Omanis. Find a diplomatic solution before this brings the whole house down on your heads.” policytensor.substack.com/p/why-the-us...

Why the US is facing strategic defeat

Drone, Missiles, THAAD

policytensor.substack.com

Yusuf@yusufimaadkhan.com · 5mo ago

The Kurdish Stratagem Risks an Israeli-Turkish War - @policytensor.bsky.social “The US already has no theory of victory beyond hurling bombs at Iran. If the US goes ahead with the Kurdish stratagem, it will risk expanding the war dramatically…” policytensor.substack.com/p/the-kurdis...

1/Its easy to write off Trump as a mad king on Greenland. But it is as much about Court politics -- Trump and his insiders -- than simply a tantrum. Like any King, it is about makeup (hint: Estee Lauder). www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

How a billionaire with interests in Greenland encouraged Trump to acquire the territory

US president’s friend Ronald Lauder – who first proposed Arctic expansion – is now making deals in the island

theguardian.com

Carney: "American hegemony in particular helped provide public goods, a stable financial system... this bargain no longer works. Let me be direct. We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition... recently, great powers have begun using economic integration as a weapon. Tariffs as leverage ... "