Paul Meiners

@pmeiners.bsky.social

Postdoctoral Researcher @ The Norwegian University of Science and Technology; International Organizations, the EU & Political Psychology https://pmeiners.github.io/

Have you ever wondered about what we know about the broad patterns, the causes, and the consequences of contestation of IOs? We – @jonastallberg.bsky.social, Michael Zürn and I – did and therefore set out to take stock of the state of the art. Our review is out now in @iojournal.bsky.social.

Contestation of International Organizations: Patterns, Drivers, and Responses | International Organization | Cambridge Core

Contestation of International Organizations: Patterns, Drivers, and Responses

cambridge.org

In 2023, @nature.com published 'Papers and patents are becoming less disruptive over time', receiving world-wide media attention. Our Matters Arising, published after a 32 month delay (more on that soon), shows that the reported decline can largely be attributed to dataset artefacts. 🧵

The average CD_5 index per year for Web of Science. The original Park et al. decline (top curve) becomes essentially flat (bottom curve) when removing papers with CD_5=1. Those papers largely correspond to dataset artefacts.

Frankly, I don’t think frontier models should be used for research at all. Must be an “archivable” model (open weight or open source) that will be available indefinitely for reanalysis.

🛑 Chatbots are not fit for giving voting advice 🗳️ Latest study from @liberties.eu on the Hungarian election shows lack of transparency and reliability in the advice. Our research shows that 10-15% by now use chatbots for advice, for young voters up to one quarter. www.liberties.eu/en/stories/h...

Should AI Tell You Who to Vote For?

Open Ai's ChatGPT and Google's Gemini do not provide reliable political guidance on the 2026 Hungarian elections, our latest research finds.

liberties.eu

New blog just dropped! This one is all about estimators—we cover James-Stein, classical test theory, empirical Bayes, penalized regression, and hierarchical models, showing how they all can be used to do a better job than sample stats alone 🤓 haines-lab.com/post/how-to-...

How to Estimate a Mean, and What It Means for Science | Computational Psychology

Introduction If I asked you to estimate 30 means, you would probably compute 30 sample means. And you would be provably wrong (well.. maybe not wrong, but at least provably inefficient).

haines-lab.com

I met with AI data labelers in Kenya who are organizing their colleagues to fight the brutal working conditions and horrible pay given to the workers at the "bottom of the AI supply chain." They believe the NDAs they've signed are unenforceable so are speaking out: www.404media.co/ai-is-africa...

'AI Is African Intelligence': The Workers Who Train AI Are Fighting Back

Kenyan workers are still the underpaid labor behind AI training, moderation, and sex chatbots. The Data Labelers Association is fighting back.

404media.co

Arendt suggests Eichmann is a clown *rather than* a monster. But why not both—a clown AND a monster? It seems to me a key part of the horror of fascism is precisely its pervasive clownishness. There's a mind-rending indignity in having to take seriously rulers who are fundamentally unserious.

The art of politics is not to do what people think. If it was, there literally wouldn’t be any politics. The art of politics is to convert public opinion in the direction of your policies. Not so subordinate your policies to opinion.