Who’s running the analyses on what this all means for the next 2 Congressional Baseball Games
Dara Lind
@daralind.bsky.social
Former journalist, now at @immcouncil.org (all posts here VERY MUCH my own), guest columnist at @documentedny.bsky.social, forever immigration explainer. Signal: daralind.18 Ruthless cosmopolitan.
Has anyone run the numbers on the share of National Guard who stand to get recalled from DC in January? Asking for my neighborhood
Still catching up on Adorable Italian Youth Wins Championship content, and soliciting Sephora sale recs.
How we feeling out there on election eve, everyone? There are no wrong answers
In this thread I want to know the one product you would most enthusiastically recommend from the Sephora sale
a judge finding that federal law enforcement officers routinely lie in written declarations and encouraging the federal bench to engage in probing fact-finding of their claims is bonkers stuff
JUST IN: A federal judge is encouraging his colleagues to call ICE officers in for live testimony on the witness stand, concluding that without direct scrutiny and cross-examination, routine lies will go unpunished. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
A reminder that the vibes of any election-night event -- especially on the East Coast -- are likely to be weird as a result of the red mirage effect protectdemocracy.org/work/the-blu... Personally, I don't want the unnecessary anxiety. But if you go, go in with a clear head.
The ‘blue shift’ and ‘red mirage’ in election results, explained
The terms refer to a phenomenon where the proportion of votes counted for Democratic candidates increases as votes continue to be tabulated.
protectdemocracy.org
Me, walking home from yoga, having a Cher Horowitz “I love Josh” moment realizing this might actually be my favorite film of all time
See also: Hard Day’s Night, the film.
I have finally — FINALLY! — found a news cycle in which this particular sentiment is actually apropos: Antagonizing your primary opponent a few days before a potentially-wave election? It’s time for some game theory.
It’s almost like “paperwork error” and “deportable immigration violation” are the same thing
(RNS) — Samuel Sey, who immigrated to Canada from Ghana in childhood, moved to the U.S. in 2022 to get married. His family initially believed a paperwork mistake had led to his arrest. A series of conservative Christian influencers had rallied to his cause.
I cannot believe I have to spend more of my one wild and precious life thinking about FIA Regulations Appendix L.
As @blanksslate.bsky.social says: Contract Florida. And its sports teams.
MIDWESTERN DOMINANCE (There are so many sentiments I can ad to this but the one I’ll put here is something I say all the time: “my people are Midwesterners who got tf out”)
PSSST. The fact of its selectivity might be doing some work here. Xoxo, someone who went to an elite college 20 years ago, and saw WILDLY disproportionate interest in any course that actively limited entrants.
“At Harvard, students are clamoring for a class that assigns a hefty book a week, requires regular essays, bans digital devices. Humanities 10 drew 180 applicants for just 90 spots this fall. Students expressed urge to be forced to think for themselves in the age of AI." www.wsj.com/lifestyle/ha...
Overtone color depositing mask and conditioner. This is the reason that the youths never let their hair turn orange or green unless that’s the intention.
does anybody have any tips
So glad someone is tracking this: how AI models perform when asked about immigration law. As I’ve been saying for years, people use search — now ~= LLMs — as their immigration lawyer. Unsurprisingly, ~no model incorporates recent changes. Worrisomely, DACA/TPS do worst. www.vals.ai/benchmarks/i...
Immigration Bench Leaderboard and Methodology | Vals AI
Immigration Bench tests AI models on 262 expert-written U.S. immigration law questions across seven personas. Compare accuracy, cost and latency.
vals.ai
Cowardly necromancer: -casually shoves a dead academic into the blood-sacrifice circle to see what happens -rolls a 1 and spends the next turn frozen in fear as the rest of the party has to fight some 12-foot-tall undead who were insulted by the gift
Live report from RPG session: we were just offered the choice of going into the tomb of the Big Bad or, and I quote,
I mean, having an American birth certificate clearly doesn’t prevent you from saying manifestly anti-American dreck like this.
Rally speaker: "Mike Rogers is an American. Abdul has a birth certificate. The birth certificate says he's a citizen of America. You know what? a birth certificate doesn't make you an American."
Told my husband that the vibe on Bluesky tonight can best be described as “Ewok party.”
My library loan of Shattered Lands by Sam Dalrymple is running out and I started it late so I’m only a fraction through it. And I am seriously considering buying it to finish it. I haven’t bought a new nonfiction book written by someone I didn’t know personally in YEARS. It’s that good, y’all.
This is distressing to me, personally. Because I live in a neighborhood that was really struggling circa 2022, largely because of the struggling restaurant industry, which was struggling partly because of crime. And it’s really struggling right now. Arguably worse. Largely bc of Trump.
Trump: "In Washington, all the restaurants were closing. People were being held up. They'd walk into a restaurant. Like Jesse James. 'Stand up! Give us all your money.' They're eating dinner at a fancy restaurant. All the restaurants were closing."
IMHO no one who Grew Up Weird And Alone can say the internet has made social life worse without some pretty serious caveats. Doesn’t mean it’s improved life in all respects or that its failures should be accepted! But there’s such a tendency to focus only on things that were _okay for you_ as a kid.
Social media loves talking about how everything is getting worse. But what’s something that you’ve seen get _better_ in your lifetime?
It’s been a while since we had a #PennyHelping update: today Penny helped inspect the damage to the drywall caused by a 5-foot towel tower falling over (incidentally barricading me in the shower in the process). …no points for guessing who knocked the tower over by launching herself off it.
Traditionally, naturalization — especially ahead of elections! — has been the one thing that USCIS will not let get eaten by backlogs.
With citizenship approvals slowing, would-be voters are left in limbo: backlogs in naturalization applications rose from about 500,000 cases at the start of the second Trump administration to more than 800,000 as of August www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/...
The dirty little secret of the noncitizen voting panic is that it’s surprisingly hard to know for sure who is and is not eligible to vote, and surprisingly easy to make mistakes! documentedny.com/2026/10/23/n...
The Throughline: ICE the Vote
Noncitizens almost never vote illegally. But Trump's campaign to root it out could have a chilling effect on eligible voters and penalize innocent mistakes.
documentedny.com
As I get older I have become a pigheaded USA chauvinist on at least one thing and that is: the metric system. I KNOW it makes conversions easier but at this point I’ve successfully integrated standard measures into the way I engage with the world so SHUT UP. MURRICA.
I’m gonna post so many more times about this because omg this is simply 2 hours of how I see the world youtu.be/BtYmz__zpkA?...
What AI Policy Can Learn from Immigration with Dara Lind
YouTube video by Palisade Research
youtu.be