Charles Grant

@cergrant.bsky.social

Director, Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social. Interested in the EU, Russia and China

I think all we can say re: Iran is that Trump pretty clearly wants it to go away without being humiliated. But as that can't happen it's not at all clear what will.

For over a year, Tisza has led the polls. But when asked who will win the elections, the public has always said Fidesz. This changed in the last 6-8 weeks. In March, Median found 47% who think Tisza will win vs 35% for Fidesz. Publicus measured a similar trend. This is massive

Here are 10 consequences of the US-Israel attack on Iran - a thread. US soft power is damaged. To launch an attack without clear aims or an exit strategy has upset allies - in Europe, Gulf & Asia - who must bear the economic, political and military consequences. /1