Really interesting paper that builds on how politics can shape social identities link.springer.com/article/10.1... Experiment on Christians: politician promoting Christian Nationalism doesn't affect IDing with that label, but a pol rejecting it causes people to disassociate from that ID

Another good lesson in questioning assumptions about core social science variables often seen as fixed and exogenous huber.research.yale.edu/materials/12...

My last APSA commitment ends right when Chelsea Arsenal begins. If you’re around and interested, please let me know if you’d like to catch the match somewhere! (And feel free to come to the great panel I’m on I guess)

Interesting - not just one sign of partisan voting behavior and heuristic following (ticket splitting) diminishes in governor races, looks like party leader influence does too

Decision Desk HQ@decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · last mo.

President Trump got an endorsement win with Donalds, but his pick in the #WYGov GOP primary lost, as did 2 of his Florida congressional candidates. His lower win rate for governor really stands out vs. Senate and House races. Read our roundup here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/florida-do...

I have reanalyzed polling microdata from two surveys in Wisconsin, generously shared with me by State Navigate, and put the results up Strength In Numbers for all to learn from. As far as I know this is the only public autopsy from Tuesday's miss www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-08-13...

I re-analyzed the raw data from Wisconsin's primary polls. Here's what actually went wrong.

What raw data from Wisconsin's Democratic primary reveals about demographic weighting, late movement, and who answers polls

gelliottmorris.com

Two very interesting papers on how minorities respond to exclusion (having IDs not represented in info + categories presented to them). Somewhat different treatments and outcomes, and diff populations, but I think very parallel in spirit -- one account of mobilization, the other demobilization

Very religious bent to course evals this year for intro stats class 🤔 (course eval q was "What advice would you give to another student who is considering taking this course?")

Department floor is having a halloween door decor contest, I think our office wins for scariest @antoniaalksnis.bsky.social

Our conclusion is that survey professionalism is widespread on online panels, but these do not, by and large, distort inferences, making us cautiously optimistic about research using these online samples!

Very creative & well-done new @thejop.bsky.social: 🇩🇪 far-right support ⬆️ among people living near outdoor swimming pools when you enter summer months (when these pools become popular) -- but only in areas that have more immigrants. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

Good update with a different data point from @agadjanian.bsky.social

Bita Moghaddam@bita137.bsky.social · last yr.

FDA plans to phase out animal testing requirement for drug testing and replace it with “AI-based computational models of toxicity” and organoid toxicity testing www.fda.gov/news-events/...

Biennial update on racial resentment trends in the CES: after a white Dems shift *away* from racially liberal trajectory in 2022, we're back in that direction in 2024.

Brian Schaffner@bfschaffner.bsky.social · last yr.

we have now posted the 2024 Cooperative Election Study common content dataset to the @harvarddataverse.bsky.social! data from 60,000 American adults interviewed before & after the election. thanks to @today.yougov.com & Caroline Soler for getting this data produced & posted doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...

Interesting new JEPS on POC solidarity building. Besides substantive contribution, another example of getting creative with experiments to learn about mechanisms (vs. conventional mediation analysis-only). On a very different topic, here's another good example along these methodological lines

Interesting new paper on this topic (www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...) -- misinfo itself has more direct, widespread consequences, but factual beliefs again seem to be outside of the equation

Alexander Agadjanian@agadjanian.bsky.social · 2y ago

Misperceptions but not attitudes/behaviors being moveable is no surprise--imo one of the most well-replicated patterns in polisci work. Puzzle remains: do factual beliefs really not affect attitudes/behaviors? Or are we not looking at the right beliefs? Some evidence on latter tinyurl.com/py4tu3d5

Two good places to donate for supporting LA wildfire relief efforts: 1. Eaton Fire Relief and Recovery Fund (from Pasadena Community Foundation) pasadenacf.org/supporting-o... 2. Immigrant Fire Relief Fund (from National Day Laborer Organizing Network) secure.actblue.com/donate/lafir...

Supporting Our Community: Eaton Canyon Fire Relief & Recovery Fund | Pasadena Community Foundation

Dear Pasadena Community Foundation Family, We have all been glued to the news watching the devastation of the Eaton Canyon fire to our neighbors. My heart g ...

pasadenacf.org

APSR will start inviting replications for a random subset of accepted papers. I really like this as well as the constructive tone around it 👏 (from the latest Notes from the Editors)

texans against multiple outcome measures

Interesting perspectives. Feels like some disconnect from standard polisci accounts (e.g. effects of misinfo/fact-checks often have limited scope, but that doesn't mean misinfo is overall inconsequential www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1...). Was also curious about this part and dug around on the cites...

Sander van der Linden@profsanderlinden.bsky.social · 2y ago

In this new article in American Psychologist we respond to critics in detail and clarify two key points for the field; (1) The prevalence of misinformation in society is substantial when properly defined. (2) Misinformation causally impacts attitudes and behaviors. psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/202...

Friends don't let friends capture operational ideology via self-described ideological ratings, a series

Super valuable new study that randomly assigns 7k+ Americans to old vs. new Census race formats. Among many interesting patterns: 1. White & "some other race" %'s ⬇️ by 6 and 4 pts. 2. No change in overall Hisp and Black %'s. 3. Small but detectable ⬇️ Black + Hisp responses.

Sociological Science@sociologicalsci.bsky.social · 2y ago

NEW: René D. Flores, Edward Telles, Ilana M. Ventura, "New OMB’s Race and Ethnicity Standards Will Affect How Americans Self-Identify"

“East Bay hot, South Bay not” was apparently a popular saying in like the 80s and I’m gonna bring it back

Just now seeing this paper reanalyzing the "Many Teams" paper on racial bias in soccer (29 teams analyze the same RQ with the same data, find different results). This reanalysis finds that variation in findings results from theoretical / interpretive differences. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Has the Credibility of the Social Sciences Been Credibly Destroyed? Reanalyzing the “Many Analysts, One Data Set” Project - Katrin Auspurg, Josef Brüderl, 2021

In 2018, Silberzahn, Uhlmann, Nosek, and colleagues published an article in which 29 teams analyzed the same research question with the same data: Are soccer re...

journals.sagepub.com

REP Starter Pack go.bsky.app/GxR7Bkf

What are some good examples of political science papers using observational data published with null results?

Here's a nice new paper from the fully blueskyless author team of Philip Moniz, Rodrigo Ramirez-Perez, Erin Hartman, and Stephen Jessee, showing that survey exp. effects are similar for "eager" and "reluctant" respondents, with positive implications for generalizability doi.org/10.1017/pan....

I did not attend UNC, but I did attend *America.* So you’re damn right I’m rooting for UNC tonight.

Kevin M. Kruse@kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 3y ago

Your reminder that I’m a UNC alum and we’re playing Duke tonight. Mute as needed

It's wild to see some 2024 election polls show Hispanic vote split almost evenly across Biden/Trump (e.g. twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/st...) Took a quick look at what various polls in last month show + how they compare to same time last cycle (Dec. 2019). For 2024, even split is actually not that typical