Stuart Shapiro

@stuartshapiroblou.bsky.social

Dean of Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy. Obsessed with baseball, basketball, regulation, TV

This sort of thing is a really serious worry to me even in a best-case scenario of Democrats managing to control authoritarian drift for two years and then winning the Presidency and substantial majorities. The policy problem fallout they'll have to face are almost as daunting or worse than in 2008.

"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux@bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 3h ago

It seems really clear that by 2028, we're going to have an empty SPR, substantial munitions shortages, greater strategic challenges, a larger national debt and substantially higher bond rates which will massively constrain future administrations.

Win by ~1%. Third candidate: 4%. A classic plurality-voting pathology: small splinter groups can be decisive. Every primary should use a consensus-building procedure like approval voting or ranked choice.

Election results page showing the Associated Press has called the Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate primary for Abdul El-Sayed. A banner at the top reads, "Winner: Abdul El-Sayed wins the Democratic primary. Race called by The Associated Press."

With more than 95% of votes counted, the reported results are:

* Abdul El-Sayed: **740,950 votes (48.48%)**
* Haley Stevens: **726,057 votes (47.51%)**
* Mallory McMorrow: **61,250 votes (4.01%)**

A total of **1,528,257** votes have been reported. El-Sayed leads Stevens by **14,893 votes**, or about **0.97 percentage points**. Horizontal bars next to each candidate visually show the narrow gap between El-Sayed and Stevens, with McMorrow trailing far behind.

Haley Stevens was out with a gracious concession and a commitment to support Abdul El-Sayed within about one hour of the AP call in her race. If she can buck up first thing in the morning, everyone else can. That’s actual political leadership.

post malone ergo propter malone@proptermalone.bsky.social · 7h ago

I meant to post this last night but if you’re mad about any of the primary results you got 24 hours to bleed, try not to say anything you’ll regret in 48, and then it’s Blue No Matter Who.

Takes like this are very tempting but IMO go too far. The polling miss last night was historically exactly average for a primary — no evidence polls have gotten worse recently. And remember 2022 had the most accurate House and Senate polls in history! bsky.app/profile/gell...

Adam Serwer@adamserwer.bsky.social · 7h ago

There’s no actual alternative to polling but I just don’t believe they capture public sentiment in any reliable way anymore

🗳️ Gov. Sherrill signed a new law that exempts temporary #poll workers from losing unemployment eligibility in #NJ; ☎️ cuts to the NJ FY2027 budget have left 5 mental health crisis centers unopened developed as part of the state's 988 crisis response system. Read more here:

New Jersey Law to Streamline Spring Breaks for School Districts – NJ State Policy Updates - New Jersey State Policy Lab

Public Administration Gov. Sherrill Denies Federal Request for Voter Registration Records - On July 21st, Governor Mikie Sherrill revealed that 6,600 noncitizens were registered to vote through a soft...

policylab.rutgers.edu

📚👓 #NJ recently joined more than 30 states in mandating universal #literacy screenings in early elementary grades at least twice a year. The screenings are intended to catch and address early signs of #reading difficulty for students in kindergarten through third grade:

Screening for Early Literacy Struggles in New Jersey - New Jersey State Policy Lab

New Jersey recently joined more than 30 states in mandating universal literacy screenings in early elementary grades. These screenings—required by law to occur at least twice a year—assess students in...

policylab.rutgers.edu

This is about as good actual evidence of an electability advantage you'll find. These numbers are almost certainly within the margin of error, and a long national fall campaign probably ends up erasing most actual vote differences between Dems, but it's still something for MI voters to consider

Polling USA@usapolling.bsky.social · 3d ago

Michigan - Senate Polling: 🔴Rogers: 46% 🔵El-Sayed: 43% 🔵Stevens: 44% 🔴Rogers: 42% EPIC-MRA / July 31, 2026

“This is not, in fact, a Presidency at all—whatever name we still call it.” It operates not just unconstitutionally, but almost completely outside the Constitution. It is as Sam has also said, an autogolpe, a self-coup. And it won’t magically end because of the outcome of an election this November.

Sam Halpert@samhalpert.bsky.social · 3d ago

This is a “tax & spend” Presidency. The President asserts he can unilaterally impose taxes (via tariffs & via “settlements” w/arbitrarily targeted corps), & that he can unilaterally spend unauthorized funds from the Treasury. This is not, in fact, a Presidency at all—whatever name we still call it.

Having been in the midst of 3 civil wars, the weird thing is how life goes on normally in most times and places. Until it doesn’t. Then the destruction is devastating, and people lose everything, including their homes and families and lives and things that can never be replaced. War is truly hell.

1. Contrary to the implication here, AIPAC strongly opposed the candidate who defeated Kat (Biss). 2. Kat still implies here that Biss beat her due to AIPAC's help. 3. Biss also happen to be Jewish. I'm sure that's all just coincidence.

Kat Abughazaleh@katmabu.bsky.social · 6d ago

AIPAC may have bought our election in Illinois, but we're not going to let that happen in Michigan. 5 days left to make them panic. Vote for Abdul on or before August 4th.

🚲 NJ's new restrictions on e-bike licensing & insurance have gone into effect; 🏘️ Gov. Sherrill signed new legislation regulating algorithmic rent-setting prices; 🩺 the #NJ Department of Health has been instructed to begin participating in the Global Outbreak Alert network via #WHO. Read more:

New Jersey Enacts FAIR Act to Restrict Algorithmic Rent Pricing – NJ State Policy Updates - New Jersey State Policy Lab

Transportation New E-Bike Registration and Insurance Requirements Now in Effect – Bill S4834, signed by then-Gov. Phil Murphy in January, took effect on July 20th, establishing New Jersey’s first regi...

policylab.rutgers.edu

Bloustein School's Clinton Andrews and MPI grads Rimshah Jawad and Muhammad Haroon Ashfaq joined the Rutgers Center for Urban Policy Research at The Game On! Culture Fest in Elizabeth, NJ, sharing air quality data, HRV research, and tips to help residents stay safe from heat and pollution. 🌡️🌬️

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Looking forward to my online conversation next week with extraordinary colleagues, talking about the administrative state after the Supreme Court’s monumental decision this term in Trump v. Slaughter.

The Regulatory Review@theregreview.bsky.social · 2w ago

Join us on Zoom, 7/29 at 12pm ET, for a discussion on “The Administrative State After Trump v. Slaughter,” featuring Cary Coglianese @cary-coglianese.bsky.social, Brian Feinstein, Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social, Kate Shaw @kateshaw.bsky.social, and Christopher Yoo. Register: buff.ly/dX7bblj