Was ist gestern Abend in Michigan passiert? Auch in Deutschland sollte man sich dafür interessieren! 1) Der islamo-sozialistische Kandidat, der bei Angriffen auf Synagogen verbal mit den Schultern zuckt, hat es knapp geschafft. Weiße, überdurchschnittlich formal gebildete Wähler
Lukas Mergele
@lukasmergele.bsky.social
Policy consultant @ BSS Economic Consultants, Basel | Economist: Public Sector, Labor Markets, Education | Dad of 3 | German-Swiss musings | trains. https://sites.google.com/view/lmergele/home
Polymarket has millions of dollars in wildfire-related bets & more than $1M in beds were placed on the 2025 Los Angeles wildfires! DESPICABLE! THE PREDICTION MARKET PROMOTES THE OBSTRUCTION FIREFIGHTERS OR FOLKS TO GO OUT AND COMMIT ARSON! It's absolutely nuts!
There is no way that betting on wildfires should be legal. www.oregonlive.com/wildfires/20...
Of course the US government can use ‘kill switch’ in Europe and they have already. ❗️The EU’s answer must be to build our own #tech stack asap and get rid of dangerous dependencies with the US technology. www.reuters.com/legal/litiga...
EXCLUSIVE: Marco Rubio tells diplomats to play down talk of American tech 'kill switch'
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has asked diplomats to push back against talk of a "kill switch" in American technology products following the White House's short-lived decision to keep foreigner...
reuters.com
1/6 Bloomberg: "The aftermath of last week’s Ceuta border crisis may be unprecedented too, judging by the blame game erupting on a continent where far-right parties are riding high and several key countries are entering election season." www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Ceuta’s Migrant Chaos Deserves a Better Response than a Blame Game
Last week’s Ceuta border crisis was unprecedented in terms of scale, with at least 67 reported deaths after around 60,000 migrants breached the boundary between Morocco and the Spanish enclave (with a...
bloomberg.com
today in "headlines you'd see on a background TV in a disaster movie" www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Rhine Falls to Lowest Since 1880, Disrupting European Trade
The Rhine River’s water levels dropped to the lowest in nearly 150 years as hot, dry weather grips Europe, threatening to disrupt a crucial route for transporting coal, fuel and industrial commodities...
bloomberg.com
“Compute is the primary means of production of the future, and owning more will always be good” "The US has an estimated 75% of the world’s AI computing capacity" peterwildeford.substack.com/p/compute-is... 1 State-Virginia has more Compute capacity than ALL OF EU! IEA: www.iea.org/data-and-sta...
In a new(ish) paper w/ Markus Gehrsitz ( @unistrathclyde.bsky.social) we study how vehicle taxation shapes 🚗 fleet exit. @cesifo.org Working Paper👉 ideas.repec.org/p/ces/ceswps... Thread👇 (1/5)
"Hence our dismal conclusion: rather than finding that LLMs free us to do a better job of what we were doing before they came along, they shift scientific incentives (and the playing field of academic competition) in ways that compel us to do more and more, faster and faster, less and less well."
1. We—@eduede.bsky.social, @mjcrockett.bsky.social, Kevin Gross, and I—have a new preprint on the arXiv today, based on ideas that emerged during an @sfiscience.bsky.social workshop in November 2024: The unintended consequences of large language models as a labor-augmenting technology in science.
FT editorial on EU sanctions on RUS "the price of short-term efforts to protect national interests could be to embolden RUS to fight on in pursuit of a victory that would have huge costs for Europe’s long-term security and prosperity." The lack of strategic thinking in some EU gov'ts is shocking
The EU needs to hold together on Russia sanctions
Cost of trying to protect domestic interests may be to embolden Moscow
ft.com
Man City started the world cup with the most players in the tournament (19). By the final, Atlético Madrid had the most (9) followed by Barcelona (8)
As one of my co-authors likes to say, "it's out in the wild." It being our new paper on the effects of elementary schools departmentalizing (having teachers specialize by subject). Here's the link, which is free for 50 days starting today: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Fascinating: 1,214 years of data. Cherry trees are blossoming earlier due to warmer spring temperatures. Date of peak cherry tree (Prunus jamasakura) blossom in Kyoto, Japan, since the year 812.
Jevons Paradox in new study from Ramp/Revelio—> "Firms making the largest AI investments grow employment by roughly 10% following adoption, while low-intensity adopters see no statistically significant change." ramp.com/data/ai-jobs... #EconSky
A few days before Christmas 2016, a grey Land Rover paused in front of a bank of mirrored windows at this checkpoint on the border between France and Switzerland. What happened next revealed just how looted art worms its way into museums. A 🧵 about my article: hyperallergic.com/why-do-so-ma...
A Norway fan has gone viral for not taking part in their Row celebration after matches and won't do it if they win the World Cup "It’s factually wrong; they didn’t row, they sailed over the Atlantic”
World Cup quarter-finals starting today! As in most years, this is mainly a European and South American thing. But not a very good year for South America, with only Argentina left. One country from outside Europe/South America is fairly average; this year it is Morocco.
A guide for economists writing a literature review who want to summarize evidence, incorporate covariates, and adjust for selectivity, from Peter Ganong, Avik Garg, and Maximilian Kasy www.nber.org/papers/w35403
"This isn't a goal, it's poetry. Prettiest goal of the Cup, prettiest play of the Cup, most perfect sequence of passes of the Cup. Hands down." x.com/leonardodias...
🚨🚨 NEW ECONOMICS JOURNAL 🚨🚨 We are excited to announce the launch of The Review of Economic Studies: Insights, a new open-access journal in the REStud family. Mission: publish concise, high-quality research on important questions across economics and economic policy.🧵1/13
I'm excited to welcome Abhijit Banerjee, Bernardo Silveira and Esther Duflo as our new colleagues @econ.uzh.ch! As of July 1st, Esther and Abhijit join us as Lemann Professors of Economics, and Bernardo as Professor of Applied Microeconomics. A true quantum leap for @econ.uzh.ch! 1/3
Whatever the outcome, this is France’s World Cup. www.lemonde.fr/en/sports/ar...
Nearly 100 players born in France were selected for the 2026 World Cup – but only 23 play for France
It's a testament to France's success as a breeding ground for international football talent. And sometimes, France misses out on promising dual-nationality players, like Morocco's Ayyoub Bouaddi.
lemonde.fr
The academic job market is unique in that people will relocate across continents for a position described as "50% funded, pending approval"
An issue in promoting my forthcoming book. It seems like a good idea to put my (rare) posts on both Bluesky and X, since a lot of economists are still on X. I used to be active on Twitter to promote CSWEP and still have a lot of followers there. But my God—it sort of curdles your soul over there.
Been there. Had an amazing time!
📢 We are hiring 📢 Please spread the word: We are hiring a 🧑🎓 Postdoc (up to 6 years, non-tenure track) at the ifo Center for the Economics of Education! Come join our team as junior faculty: www.ifo.de/en/job-offer... Application deadline: July 22
📢 We are hiring 📢 Please spread the word: We are hiring a 🧑🎓 Postdoc (up to 6 years, non-tenure track) at the ifo Center for the Economics of Education! Come join our team as junior faculty: www.ifo.de/en/job-offer... Application deadline: July 22
The 2026 World Cup has shattered one of soccer's favorite myths. The biggest draws aren't England, France, Germany, Spain or the young stars. They're Mexico, the USA, Argentina, Brazil, and Messi (39) & Ronaldo (41). GOATs, immigration, and geography matter much more than FIFA rankings.
The Italian Prime Minister has now seen off three British Prime Ministers