This is nothing. Just send Mahmood out again to announce some more anti-refugee policies and you can easily find your way to fifth place.

Peter Stefanovic@peterstefanovic.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Blimey. Sky News reporting YouGov / Sky News / Times voting intention *Greens leapfrog Labour into second place* RefUK 23% (-1) GRN 21% (+4) LAB 16%(-2) CON 16%(-2) LDEM 14%(nc), Pollster note: This is the highest we've had the Greens, the first time we've had them in second

It's out! Delighted to have a chapter in this, along with, inter alia @jowolff.bsky.social @alfredmoore.bsky.social @sarahafisher.bsky.social @mgerver.bsky.social @hlandemore.bsky.social @humeiraiqtidar.bsky.social @ingridrobeyns.bsky.social @mirandasimon.bsky.social global.oup.com/academic/pro...

🎓 New paper in Political Studies (@polstudies.bsky.social) I examine whether there are gendered differences in how people • evaluate the Bank of England’s performance in controlling, & • perceive and react to inflation more broadly. 🔗 Open access: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... tltr? 🧵👇

NEW from me: Political hostility, high visa fees and (in the case of the UK) stagnant incomes are making the UK and US less attractive destinations for top international talent. That steep decline in the appeal of moving to the US after 2016 is 👀

About 1 in 4 U.S. adults worry they or someone close to them could be deported, according to a June @pewresearch.org survey.

About 1 in 4 U.S. adults worry they or someone close to them could be deported

About four-in-ten immigrants (43%) say they worry a lot or some, up from 33% in March.

pewresearch.org

I think we all know what's gone wrong here - Labour haven't spent enough time loudly telling voters that immigrants are, in fact, bad, and its urgent they be protected from them. Once Labour really get on that people will see that Reform offer nothing and wise up I am sure.

Britain Elects@britainelects.com · 10mo ago

❗ Reform GAIN from Labour Last week's Thetford Castle (Breckland) council by-election result: REF: 47.3% (+47.3) LAB: 26.7% (-15.8) CON: 15.1% (-13.9) LDEM: 10.9% (+10.9) No UKIP (-14.0) Ind (-14.5) as prev. +/- 2023 Estimated turnout: ~24% (0) andrewteale.me.uk/previews

👏 Essex Government researchers are ranked among the most cited in the world! See our colleagues in the Ioannidis et al. 2025 global ranking of the world’s most cited scientists, in political science, international relations, and security studies. 🌍 #EssexGov #ResearchExcellence

New ICE data show that the court order banning profiling reduced ICE arrests in LA by 66%! In other words, ICE is effectively admitting that TWO THIRDS of LA arrests were unconstitutional profiling. Did they admit this to the court? NO! They lied to the courts...

I think it is valuable for all Americans to watch this speech, 16 years ago. This is what we have lost. What extremists have taken from us.

Senator John McCain Election Night Speech (Full Video)

YouTube video by C-SPAN

youtu.be

🚨🚨🚨Blockbuster paper out today! Bear with me as I explain why this one is so important. 🤔 The *economic* anger about immigration is based on the false notion that immigrants take jobs or lower wages. A major misunderstanding behind this view is that immigrants only increase the supply of labor.

Female academics are much more affected by the birth of a child than are male academics. Academic mothers are much more likely to... ◾temporarily leave the labor force ◾and, if they return, shift away from tenure-track positions. scholar.harvard.edu/files/sdchen...

A week ago there was an open letter signed by politics researchers urging Keir Starmer to abandon his proposed anti-immigrant policies. With the support of the organizers, I've created the same petition but open to all academics. Read and sign the letter here: molliegerver.weebly.com/petition.html.

Petition

An Open Letter to Keir Starmer We, the undersigned, strongly advise against the proposed changes to the UK immigration system of May 12, 2025, and your associated rhetoric. We are UK-based academics.....

molliegerver.weebly.com

Those who are uncomfortable with this Labour immigration announcement, but think it's necessary to satisfy Reform voters, this is for you. You will not satisfy. You will never satisfy.

Cool. We’ve ripped up the social contract with young people, so they can’t afford to buy a home, or settle down and have children or ever retire. Let’s now force half of them to be trained only to do jobs they will hate in order to stop people from other countries moving here for a better life.

Sunder Katwala (sundersays)@sundersays.bsky.social · last yr.

Turning half of unis into voc colleges could cut student immig a lot "To underwrite the industrial strategy half the universities should be turned into vocational colleges linked to the needs of the armed forces+industry We desperately need a skilled workforce that does not rely on immigration"

Come to @uniessexgov.bsky.social and the @essexsummerschool.bsky.social. World class trainining in politics and methods, with low tuition, and in an environment that embraces diversity and fosters exchange of ideas 💡

Brian J. Phillips@brianjphillips.bsky.social · last yr.

Imagine if the UK had a campaign like this. And not just to attract scientists, but also students. Tweets cost very little. Not just the UK, but... any university.

Yes, the US Administration’s illegal obliteration of our Congressionally-mandated aid agency has killed countless people. Now you know the name of one.

David Mack@davidmackau.bsky.social · last yr.

www.nytimes.com/2025/04/19/w...

This is an obvious point, but cannot overstated. There is an enormous difference between deporting someone - where they get off a plane as a free citizen in their home country AND FUNNELING THEM INTO A BRUTAL PRISON FROM WHICH THEY HAVE NO CHANCE OF EVER EMERGING!!!

What explains Trump's immigration agenda? It's not about illegal immigration. He is the most anti-LEGAL immigrant president ever. He is stripping legal immigrants of their status, arresting them, detaining them and deporting them. It's also not about...

Harvard has set an example for other higher-ed institutions - rejecting an unlawful and ham-handed attempt to stifle academic freedom, while taking steps to make sure students can benefit from an environment of intellectual inquiry, rigorous debate and mutual respect. Let’s hope others follow suit.

Donald Tusk has a point here. www.nytimes.com/2025/03/07/w...

Great International Women’s Day discussion with Essex Department of Government and guests! Superstar panel. Allyson Benton, @roxanagutz.bsky.social, @tashlindstaedt.bsky.social , @syysr.bsky.social, @mirandasimon.bsky.social . So valuable, I learned a lot. Thanks to everyone involved.

After six weeks in office, President Trump has not disclosed the names of the donors who paid for his transition planning, despite a public pledge to do so.

Who Paid for Trump’s Transition to Power? The Donors Are Still Unknown.

President Trump has not made good on a promise to disclose who contributed to his transition effort.

nytimes.com

1/ Excited to share our new paper, “Can foreign aid reduce the desire to emigrate? Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial,” w/ Cassilde Schwartz (@rhulpirp) & @profdavidhudson (@iddbirmingham) — published in @AJPSeditor! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/CFSFRF...

I’ll spend a fun half-day on March 4 at @lsemethodology.bsky.social talking about field research prep, funding and logistics to PhD students and early career scholars. I was re-invited after last year’s session, so I presume it was helpful. Feel free to join!

LSE Methodology@lsemethodology.bsky.social · last yr.

🔎 Fieldwork Prep and Logistics: Budgets, Ethics and Participant Recruitment... want to learn more? Join @floriangkern.bsky.social for our MY580 Methods Short Course 📆 4 March, 10.00am - 3.00pm Sign-up today ➡️

I’ll keep pushing this line of analysis because I’m increasingly convinced the clearest path out of this mess is for Dems to adopt a relentless anti-corruption, anti-inequality, anti-oligarchy, pro-democracy platform. The Dem leadership hasn’t realized it yet, but they’re now a reform party.

Adam Bonica@adambonica.bsky.social · last yr.

How many federal workers would DOGE need to fire to make up for Musk not paying his fair share of taxes? Answer: 677,000. That's 44% of the entire non-DoD federal workforce. Again, this power grab is not about the budget. It’s about politics.

Check out this thread for the key results of our recent study.

British Future@britishfuture.bsky.social · last yr.

New British Future research finds 61% of the public would prefer current levels of international student migration to stay the same or increase. Only 27% would reduce or stop student migration, which makes up around 40% of total UK immigration [Thread]

The media need to be careful not to further the narrative that Trump is extracting concessions from trade partners by bullying them into submission. Many so-called concessions were already in place as a result of more cooperative diplomatic approaches. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Analysis | Did Trump cave on his Canada and Mexico tariffs?

Some of the purported concessions that led to a 30-day pause on the tariffs were things Canada and Mexico had already done before Trump’s threat, but it’s complicated.

washingtonpost.com

ICYMI: Will Syrian refugees go 'home'? Looking at the experimental evidence of Syrian refugee return intentions, with work from @loribeaman.bsky.social @aalrababah.bsky.social @dmasterson.bsky.social @mirandasimon.bsky.social @thebraith.bsky.social and others www.compas.ox.ac.uk/article/will...

🌟 Please let us magnify these excellent women’s illustration of how replication is dealt with, with a collaborative approach science critically relies on, and that 99% of the time the point should be to learn, not to infer sufferance on others.

Laura Bronner@laurabronner.bsky.social · 2y ago

A thread about being wrong: 5 years ago, we wrote a paper about how how newly enfranchised 16-year-olds vote in Austria. But we were wrong. This year, @elisabethgraf.bsky.social, @schnizzl.bsky.social, Sylvia Kritzinger and I are setting the record straight: authors.elsevier.com/c/1juT5xRaZk...

go.bsky.app/PLhHQgR