Occurring to me that AIPAC has $30m less to spend on conservatives in general elections than they would have.
A.R. Moxon
@juliusgoat.bsky.social
We call upon your boss. Author of THE REVISIONARIES (2019) and VERY FINE PEOPLE (2024). Preorder FIGHTING IN THE DARK (August 4). He/him. Author site: armoxon.com Weekly essays on my free newsletter, The Reframe.
If Stevens had made it to the general election and lost in the fall, the argument would have been that the left cost the Dems the Senate. The left is pretty used to the media narrative always being “the left is at fault.”
If sayed loses in the fall then the argument will be the left cost the Dems the senate which would be bad IMO
I think this shows polling is untrustworthy. I believe that the case for Stevens being “more electable” is … polling. This suggests to me that maybe we should back the candidate with a vision and fresh ideas who can win without corporate money against a PAC gorged candidate.
Was this wrong? “But that marginal lead was a far cry from what El-Sayed and his allies had expected. Public polling in the campaign’s closing stretch showed El-Sayed ahead of Stevens by double digits. And his campaign projected confidence they would deliver a decisive win”
The media's takeaway from an El-Sayed win is the same as it would have been from a Stevens win, and the same as it will be if El-Sayed wins the general, or if he loses it: everyone, no matter who they are, needs to take several steps to the right.
Leftists winning popular elections is very divisive. How are you supposed to unify a country with this sort of thing. I ask you.
Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe
dipped over into Threads and it's basically nothing but this
Pretty sure when you win the election it's a big election night. Pretty sure when your party's leadership all endorses the loser, it means the leadership is out of touch with the electorate.
Progressives didn’t get the big election night they wanted
LOL. Abdul El-Sayed WON the Democratic Primary in Michigan despite being outspent 10-1! Amazing gaslighting here.
Progressives didn’t get the big election night they wanted
I guess the PACs should have spent the full $64m.
Unfathomable
If you were a notable neo-Nazi, and you are trying to do better, that is good; but if you do not understand that "I will no longer seek power over anyone other than myself" is an essential part of that redemption you are not redeemed at all. You're still a fucking Nazi.
I watched cable news... I thought that less than 2% wins = complete mandate... We were told that this constituted a vibe shift and that the left should get with the fascist program.... What's changed? [OK offline again, lol]
Republicans hate everything we were told was good about this country, and they’re willing to kill anyone who tries to make it true.
Sen. Jim Banks refers to American citizens as "the babies of invaders" and compares them to Nazi spies and terrorists
This will get a fraction of the attention that Zohran Mamdani got for calling Netanyahu a war criminal.
Depicting Jewish people with horns is a centuries-old, dehumanizing, antisemitic trope. Democratic Gov nominee Phil Weiser is outspoken about his mother’s birth in a Nazi concentration camp, his family members killed in the Holocaust, and the threat posed by antisemitism today.
oh cool so you created 5 million new jobs for those people right?
Rollins: "For those who love work and celebrate work and want people to work and not be on food stamps, it's a pretty big win when we've moved 5 million people off food stamps, y'all."
“Because we don’t want to. We like this and it’s what we want. It’s everything we worked for our whole careers. Does that make sense?”
Cornyn: "There's nothing we could do to rein in the president"
Everyone remembers where they were when they first assumed Mitch McConnell has died.
Hey, remember when Mitch died?
Happy Book-Birthday to you, @juliusgoat.bsky.social! 🥳
If this essay appeals to you, it and many like it are in my book FIGHTING IN THE DARK, which is out today. Didn't mean to turn this into a plug but hey my book is out today, that don't happen every day. bsky.app/profile/juli...
Great book, highest recommendation. Digs deep and wide to uncover and name the harsh truths of the world we live in, creating a vocabulary for understanding the atrocities and a framework for how we can build a better world. It’s rage and revelations and reasons for hope all the way down.
If this essay appeals to you, it and many like it are in my book FIGHTING IN THE DARK, which is out today. Didn't mean to turn this into a plug but hey my book is out today, that don't happen every day. bsky.app/profile/juli...
bring back shame www.bostonreview.net/articles/how...
How Can We Live Together?
Ezra Klein is wrong: shame is essential.
bostonreview.net
Everywhere should be a hostile place for Republicans. They should not be able to find a friend anywhere. They should lose all their professional and familial relationships. They should be blocked from signing up to social media platforms, clubs, and yard sales. They should be ejected from fairs.
Nor do we want to be on Truth Social. I would hate to find a welcome home there. I would hate to be somebody who would be palatable to such a place. We don't go on Truth, because nobody needs bullies. They *do* try to come on Bluesky, because bullies need the rest of us.
The burden is always on us lefties to welcome them, debate them, compromise with them, find middle ground, and generally make them comfortable. It’s totally one directional. No one is calling for Truth Social to make any room for us.
My thoughts on Bluesky not being welcoming to Republicans is Trump blocks disaster relief to states voting blue, & is also legally codifying anyone who opposes him as a terrorist deserving violence, & his kidnapping brute gangs terrorize the streets, & there's much more but I'm out of characters
"Bluesky is a political echo chamber" okay but I'm mostly here to chat with fun internet people and post art and make jokes, I cannot stress how much I don't care
Too bad we don't have a press corps that can simply find out and report the truth of the matter instead of just telling us what both sides are saying
if the online right can’t post on bsky without getting blocked by so many people it makes the place too dull for them to hang around, i suggest they go and learn some manners and then try again
I’m getting 1000:1 on February, I can’t afford to NOT take that bet. If you wouldn’t then you just don’t understand math or risk.
I'm starting a prediction market for what next month will be
This is why the people on Bluesky are here, because the self moderation tools completely diffuse attempts to weaponize your followers into harassment.
Bluesky oldheads will remember that brief period of time when the conservative trolls tried to storm the place and were flummoxed by the idea they would have to organically grow an audience and that someone who didn't want to talk to them could nuke every interaction they ever had from orbit
“In recent months, ICE has deployed a round-the-clock digital dragnet to scour the public internet—from Facebook to Instagram to X—for speech that could endanger the agency’s mission.” Speech. www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
How ICE Is Weaponizing Social Media Against its Critics
Agency says its surveillance program searches for threats to agents, but critics see free-speech infringements.
wsj.com
I don't even know what to say. This is real, this is true, so, like, thank you all, from the bottom of my heart. This took over 25 years to happen so if there's any lesson here it's either "keep at it, who knows" or "many people are divorced"